Ksolves India Ltd: 154% ROE & -40% Share Price – When Excel Formulas Outperform the Stock

“For educational and entertainment purposes, not investment advice, Check disclaimer”

Ksolves India Ltd: 154% ROE & -40% Share Price – When Excel Formulas Outperform the Stock

1. At a Glance

Ksolves is the guy in your tech WhatsApp group who talks about “AI/ML, Generative AI, and LLMOps” but still charges clients in US dollars and pays dividends in rupees. With31.9% operating margins,154% ROE, and5% dividend yield, you’d expect the stock to fly. Instead, it’s down40% in one year. Because while the company’s financials scream “Silicon Valley unicorn,” the market smells “family-owned IT sweatshop in Noida.”

2. Introduction

Founded in 2014, Ksolves does everything buzzword-compliant: AI, Big Data, Salesforce, Odoo, Penetration Testing. If it was 2021, they’d have added “metaverse” too.

On paper, this is a dream: 150+ projects delivered, clientele spread across BFSI, telecom, healthcare, and even EVR Motors. Overseas revenue? 60% from the US, 7% Europe, 6% Australia — basically, global clients minus China (and thank God for that).

But the irony? While revenue has compounded69% over 5 years, profit119% CAGR, and dividends paid like clockwork, the stock still crashed from ₹548 to ₹307. Why? Investors finally looked past the Excel ROEs and realized the company’stop 5 customers = 40% revenue. Too concentrated, too small, and too dependent on repeat orders (82% of revenue). Translation: a couple of clients ghost them, and the Noida HQ starts looking like a WeWork during COVID.

3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)

Ksolves = outsourced tech ninjas. Services offered:

  • AI/ML + GenAI:They slap “Ninja” on products (Lead Manager Ninja, Dashboard Ninja, Mind AI Ninja) because branding is 50% of tech.
  • Big Data & Data Flow Manager:Helps clients not drown in Kafka/NiFi pipelines.
  • Salesforce + Odoo ERP:Connectors, roll-ups, themes. Basically plug-ins to make big platforms less annoying.
  • DevOps + LLMOps:Fancy way of saying they babysit servers and large language models.
  • Custom Apps:BFSI
  • chatbots, EdTech dashboards, telecom analytics — you name it.

Clients? Shaka Wear, Echo360, EVR Motors. Sounds fancy, but revenues are still ₹144 Cr annually — literallyTCS’s training expense for one quarter.

4. Financials Overview

Q1 FY26 (Jun’25):

MetricLatest QtrYoY QtrPrev QtrYoY %QoQ %
Revenue₹37.7 Cr₹31.6 Cr₹33.3 Cr+19%+13%
EBITDA₹9.9 Cr₹12.0 Cr₹8.6 Cr-17%+16%
PAT₹6.4 Cr₹9.0 Cr₹5.9 Cr-28%+10%
EPS (₹)2.713.782.47-28%+10%

Annualised EPS ~₹11. At CMP ₹307 →P/E ~28x run-rate(vs Screener’s trailing 23x).

Commentary: Sales up, but profits shrinking faster than a cold coffee in Gurgaon winters.

5. Valuation (Fair Value RANGE only)

Method 1 – P/E:EPS ~₹11 × 18–22x = ₹200–₹240.Method 2 – EV/EBITDA:FY25 EBITDA ~₹46 Cr; EV ~₹727 Cr → EV/EBITDA ~15.7x. Reasonable 12–16x = ₹220–₹260.Method 3 – DCF:Assume FCF ~₹25 Cr growing 20% CAGR 10 yrs, WACC 12%. PV ≈ ₹550–₹650 Cr → ₹230–₹270/share.

FV Range: ₹200–₹270.This FV range is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.

6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

  • Mega Order:$600K project from a NY-based research firm.
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