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Kaveri Seed: ₹318 Cr Profit – From Cotton to Cash Flow (Mostly)

“For educational and entertainment purposes, not investment advice, Check disclaimer”

Kaveri Seed: ₹318 Cr Profit – From Cotton to Cash Flow (Mostly)

1. At a Glance

Kaveri Seed Company is India’s hybrid seed specialist — the kind of business that quietly powers the country’s food chain while everyone else argues over cricket scores. Q1 FY26 was classic Kaveri seasonality — a blockbuster June quarter with₹327 Cr PAT(because farmers actually buy seeds before sowing) and then sleepy numbers in the other quarters. If you judge them in December, you’ll think they’re bankrupt; in June, you’ll think they’re printing money.

2. Introduction

This is a company that has turned seed breeding into a high-margin, low-debt art form. Farmers depend on them, but investors have learned to keep an eye on monsoons, commodity prices, and government MSP policies like hawks.

The stock trades at aP/E of 18.4— not dirt-cheap, not FMCG-rich, but respectable for a business that lives and dies by one big quarter.

3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)

  • Hybrid Seeds R&D– Cotton, maize, rice, bajra, and a bouquet of vegetable crops.
  • B2B + B2C– Selling to distributors, retailers, and directly to farmers.
  • 12 Agro-Climatic Zones– Field trials and research across 18 states.
  • 125+ Hybrids– Engineered for high yield and adaptability.

It’s basically the agricultural version of a fashion house — new season, new hybrids, same customers.

4. Financials Overview

MetricQ1 FY26Q1 FY25Q4 FY25YoY %QoQ %
Revenue (₹ Cr)859803906.98%854.44%
EBITDA (₹ Cr)338295-1714.58%N/A
PAT (₹ Cr)327.17291-2312.45%N/A
EPS (₹)63.3956.28-4.4612.64%N/A

Commentary:

  • That QoQ jump isn’t magic — it’s farming seasonality.
  • EBITDA margin at 39% this quarter is what FMCG brands dream of, but it will vanish next quarter.
  • Debt? Almost zero. Finance team probably has more time for tea than treasury calls.

5. Valuation (Fair Value RANGE only)

Method 1: P/E Approach

  • TTM EPS = ₹61.80
  • Reasonable sector P/E ≈ 18–20.
  • FV = ₹61.80 × 18–20 ≈ ₹1,110 – ₹1,236.

Method 2: EV/EBITDA

  • TTM EBITDA ≈ ₹334 Cr.
  • Sector EV/EBITDA ≈ 12.
  • Low debt keeps EV close to market cap → FV/share ≈ ₹1,150 – ₹1,200.

Method 3: DCF

  • Assuming 5% revenue CAGR, steady margins, discount rate 12%.
  • FV ≈ ₹1,100 – ₹1,250.

Educational FV Range:₹1,100 – ₹1,250This FV range is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.

6. What’s Cooking – News,

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