1.At a Glance🏡💸
Aavas Financiers is what happens when you mix housing dreams, NBFC margins, and the risk appetite of a small-town tailor. ₹13,673 Cr market cap, ₹587 Cr PAT TTM, and a business model riding on India’s Bharat-belt credit boom. But oh boy — promoter pledge is at 54% and interest coverage whispers “please sir, may I breathe”.
2.Introduction
Picture this: you’re in semi-urban Rajasthan, where WiFi is spotty but EMI dreams are strong. That’s where Aavas Financiers thrives. Incorporated in 2011, Aavas made a name bynotlending to salaried software engineers — instead choosing to bet on the self-employed, the gig workers, and the real economy of India that’s never heard of CIBIL until it’s too late.
Now it’s 2025, and Aavas just clocked ₹628 Cr in Q1FY26 revenue (+16% YoY AUM), and ₹139 Cr in PAT. Sounds dreamy, right? Except when you zoom in — you’ll find ballooning liabilities, 0% dividend payout history, and a P/E multiple that says “I’m expensive because I can be”.
3.Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)
Let’s break it down for the lazy-but-curious investor:
- Core Business:Affordable housing finance for low-income and self-employed folks.
- Products:
- Home Purchase/Construction Loans
- Extension & Repair Loans
- Loan Against Property (LAP)
- MSME Business Loans
- Geography:Deep Bharat — semi-urban & rural India.
- Average Ticket Size:Small. Their clients won’t be in NIFTY WhatsApp groups.
This isn’t HDFC for rich uncles. This isEMIs for the real India. And guess what? Those EMIs get paid — slowly, surely, sometimes via UPI, sometimes via goat sales.
4.Financials Overview
TTM Revenue:₹2,440 CrTTM PAT:₹587 CrEPS (FY25):₹72.5Recalculated P/E:₹1,728 / ₹72.5 =23.8xAUM Growth:16% YoYGross NPA:1.22%Net NPA:0.84%
Margins are solid, NPAs are low, and ROE is consistent at 14%. The profit story is clean, but the cash flow is messy — as is common
in NBFCs. Still, in a world where defaults are trending, Aavas looks like it has the discipline of a monk (minus the promoter pledge drama).
5.Valuation – Fair Value RANGE Only
Method 1: P/E
- EPS (FY25): ₹72.5
- P/E Range: 20x – 26x
- FV = ₹1,450 – ₹1,885
Method 2: P/BV
- BV: ₹551
- Historical P/B Range: 2.5x – 3.5x
- FV = ₹1,377 – ₹1,929
Method 3: DCF (Assumed)
- 16% PAT CAGR, Cost of Equity 13%
- Conservative FV = ₹1,500 – ₹1,750
Method | FV Range (₹) |
---|---|
P/E | 1,450–1,885 |
P/BV | 1,377–1,929 |
DCF | 1,500–1,750 |
“This FV range is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.”
6.What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama
- Q1FY26:₹628 Cr revenue, ₹139 Cr PAT — 10% profit growth.
- CVC Capital is new promoter– post change in March 2025, holding shot up to 48.96%.
- Big Red Flag:54% of promoter holding is pledged — cue soap opera background music.
- Credit Ratings:Affirmed stable by ICRA & CARE – not AAA, but not junk either.
- No Dividend History:CFO clearly loves hoarding like it’s Doomsday.
7.Balance Sheet (Auditor’s Happy Hour)
₹ Cr | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
---|---|---|---|
Net Worth | 3,270 | 3,773 | 4,361 |
Borrowings | 9,887 | 12,398 | 13,918 |
Total Liabilities | 13,411 | 16,519 | 18,618 |
Total Assets | 13,411 | 16,519 | 18,618 |