1. At a Glance
Four decades in the business and HPL Electric still has the spark — literally. India’s largest on-load change-over switch maker (50% market share), top 5 in LEDs, and now riding the smart metering wave with an order book big enough to keep production lines buzzing for years. FY25 sales hit ₹1,690 crore, PAT ₹95 crore, and Q1 FY26 saw a consumer segment jolt of +16% with EBITDA margins improving. Stock’s been zapped recently (-18% in a day), but fundamentals? Still humming.
2. Introduction
This isn’t your friendly neighbourhood switchboard shop — HPL is a fully charged electrical equipment manufacturer with 7 factories, 900 dealers, 80,000 retailers, and enough wiring capacity to connect every stubborn ceiling fan in the country.
The real current now flows fromsmart meters— 95% of its ₹3,700 crore order book is from this segment. And with India pushing AMI (Advanced Metering Infrastructure) like it’s the new GST, HPL is in the sweet spot. Consumer and industrial products still bring diversity, from LEDs to cables, though LEDs are fighting price erosion like your neighbourhood grocery store discounts.
3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)
Segments:
- Metering, Systems & Services (61% of Q1 FY25 revenue)
- Smart, prepaid, and net meters under “Emfis.”
- 36% YoY growth in Q1 FY25; capacity of 11M meters/year.
- Consumer, Industrial & Services (39% of Q1 FY25)
- Switchgear, LEDs, wires, cables, and even fans.
- 6.5% YoY growth in Q1 FY25, with wires & cables leading demand.
Geography:
- Domestic 97%, Exports 3% (target to increase via product diversification).
Key Play:Make everything electrical except excuses — and win big government & utility contracts for metering while keeping the consumer business lit.
4. Financials Overview
| Metric | Latest Qtr (Jun’25) | YoY Qtr (Jun’24) | Prev Qtr (Mar’25) | YoY % | QoQ % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (₹ Cr) | 383 | 393 | 493 | -2.51% | -22.3% |
| EBITDA (₹ Cr) | 58 | 56 | 82 | 3.6% | -29.3% |
| PAT (₹ Cr) | 18.4 | 17.0 | 37.0 | 8.28% | -50.3% |
| EPS (₹) | 2.87 | 2.65 | 5.78 | 8.3% | -50.3% |
Commentary:Q1 margins improved 85 bps YoY despite revenue dip. QoQ fall is seasonal (government billing cycles) — meter deliveries bunch up in later quarters.
5. Valuation (Fair Value RANGE only)
Method 1: P/E
- TTM EPS: ₹14.8
- Industry P/E: ~37
- Applying 30–35x (given growth): ₹444–₹518.
Method 2: EV/EBITDA
- EV: ₹3,683 Cr
- EBITDA (TTM): ₹257 Cr
- EV/EBITDA: ~14.3x (close to industry avg).
Method 3: DCF (Simplified)
- Assume FCF ₹138 Cr, 12% discount, 12% growth for 5 years. Range: ₹460–₹520.
Educational FV Range:₹445–₹515.This FV range is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama
- Q1 FY26:PAT up 8.5%, consumer segment +16%, ₹3,000 Cr order book.
- MoU with Guangxi Ramway:Local relay manufacturing.
- Wirepas Partnership:Global RF mesh tech for advanced smart metering.
- New Line:Automated smart
