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Vishal Mega Mart: 645 Stores, 97x P/E, and Still No Loyalty Card for Investors

“For educational and entertainment purposes, not investment advice, Check disclaimer”

Vishal Mega Mart: 645 Stores, 97x P/E, and Still No Loyalty Card for Investors

1. At a Glance

Vishal Mega Mart is the hypermarket chain that went from being the “cheap-but-cheerful” place your mom took you for bulk shopping, to a ₹67,000 crore retail beast… and apparently, investors think it’s the next Avenue Supermarts. Witha P/E of 97.7, you’d think they were selling gold biscuits disguised as atta packets. Q1 FY26 saw 23 new stores, strong same-store sales growth (SSSG) of 10.5%, and a PAT jump of 37%. Not bad for a chain that still makes you pay ₹5 for a plastic bag.

2. Introduction

Vishal Mega Mart started in 2001 and now sits comfortably in 414 cities, serving India’s middle and lower-middle-income shoppers. They sell everything from T-shirts that shrink after two washes, to kitchen mixers that sound like helicopters, to rice sacks bigger than your nephew. The e-commerce platform exists, but the real action is in brick-and-mortar — because nothing beats the thrill of finding buy-one-get-three-offers while fighting over the last discounted bedsheet.

3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)

  • Apparel– From office formals to “home shorts” that you’ll never wear outside
  • General Merchandise– Plastics, electronics, utensils, home goods
  • FMCG– Edibles, packaged foods, daily essentials
  • Hub-and-Spoke Distribution– Central warehouses feeding stores to keep supply chains lean (and hopefully shrinkage rates low)

They target value-conscious buyers who want brands without paying mall prices. The pricing strategy:be cheaper than the mall, but classier than the local bazaar.

4. Financials Overview

MetricQ1 FY26Q1 FY25Q4 FY25YoY %QoQ %
Revenue (₹ Cr)3,140.322,596.002,548.0020.95%23.25%
EBITDA (₹ Cr)45936635725.41%28.57%
PAT (₹ Cr)206.07150.00115.0037.38%79.19%
EPS (₹)0.440.330.2533.33%76.00%

Commentary:

  • YoY growth across the board— even EBITDA margin inched up to 15%.
  • QoQ explosion in PAT(+79%) — probably due to seasonal sales and higher operational leverage.
  • EPS still under ₹1, but at this valuation, investors clearly expect ₹10 someday.

5. Valuation (Fair Value RANGE only)

Method 1: P/E Approach

  • EPS (TTM) = ₹1.50
  • Sector median P/E (ex-DMart hype) = ~40
  • FV = 1.50 × 40 = ₹60

Method 2: EV/EBITDA

  • FY25 EBITDA (TTM) = ₹1,624 Cr
  • Sector median EV/EBITDA = 20 (retail premium)
  • Net Debt ≈ ₹1,342 Cr (Borrowings ₹1,729 Cr – Cash ₹387 Cr)
  • FV per share ≈ ₹90

Method 3: DCF (Basic)

  • Avg FCF past 3 years ≈ ₹1,050 Cr
  • Growth = 12% (aggressive retail expansion)
  • Discount rate = 10%
  • FV ≈ ₹110

Educational

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