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Surya Roshni: 63% Profit Fall – When the Light Bulb Flickers and the Pipe Leaks

“For educational and entertainment purposes, not investment advice, Check disclaimer”

Surya Roshni: 63% Profit Fall – When the Light Bulb Flickers and the Pipe Leaks

1. At a Glance

Q1FY26 wasn’t kind to Surya Roshni — revenue slipped15.25% YoY, and net profit collapsed63.64%. For a company that’s India’s largestERW & GI pipeproducer and #2 in the lighting segment, this quarter looked more like a tripping circuit than a power surge. Management reshuffles in both Steel and Lighting divisions add to the drama — either it’s a strategic refresh or the corporate version of musical chairs.

2. Introduction

Surya Roshni’s story is like two parallel Bollywood plots. One is a gritty industrial saga about steel pipes dominating domestic and export markets. The other is a glitzy consumer play in lighting and durables. When both scripts work, the box office (read: stock price) cheers. But right now, one reel’s running slow, and the audience is checking their watches.

3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)

  • Steel Pipes Division– ERW pipes, GI pipes, 3LPE coated pipes, value-added steel products.
  • Lighting & Consumer Durables– LED lamps, streetlights, appliances.
  • Dual-segment strategy gives diversification, but also means getting punched by both construction and consumer cycles at once.
  • Strong export base in pipes (60% market share in ERW pipe exports).

4. Financials Overview

Quarterly Numbers – Q1 FY26 (₹ Cr)

MetricLatest Qtr (Jun’25)YoY Qtr (Jun’24)Prev Qtr (Mar’25)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue1,6041,8932,146-15.3%-25.3%
EBITDA70151202-53.6%-65.3%
PAT33.692.0130.0-63.6%-74.2%
EPS (₹)1.544.255.98-63.8%-74.2%

P/E ~22.6 – clearly, the market is still valuing them like it’s last year.

Commentary:

A brutal quarter — revenue decline plus margin compression crushed profitability. Lighting might be dim, but pipes also lost water pressure.

5. Valuation (Fair Value RANGE only)

Method 1 – P/E

  • EPS (TTM): ₹13.31
  • Industry multiple range: 14x–20x → FV ₹186 – ₹266

Method 2 – EV/EBITDA

  • EBITDA (TTM): ₹498 Cr
  • Net debt ≈ zero → EV ≈ Market Cap ₹6,546 Cr
  • EV/EBITDA ~13.1x; fair range 9x–12x → FV ₹230 – ₹307

Method 3 – DCF (simplified)

  • Base FCF: ₹350 Cr, growth 5%, 5% terminal, 12% discount → ₹200 – ₹280

Educational FV Range (not advice): ₹190 – ₹300

6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

  • CEO exits– Lighting & Consumer Durables CEO resigns. New CEO for Lighting: Vasu Mitra Pandey. New CEO for Steel: Kumar Gaurav Jain.
  • Market slump– Both segments saw volume/margin pressure.
  • Exports edge
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