Search for stocks /

TVS Supply Chain: ₹9,996 Cr Sales, ₹-10 Cr PAT – When Logistics Itself Needs a Roadmap


🧠 At a Glance

TVS Supply Chain Solutions Ltd is trying to deliver profits but keeps missing the delivery window. It has ₹9,996 Cr revenue, operates across 50+ countries, and services government + global clients. Sounds sexy? Here’s the catch: after years of losses, FY25 still ended with ₹-10 Cr PAT. Margins are inching up, but interest, depreciation, and random foreign exchange blunders keep kicking profits into the warehouse.


1. Introduction – The Last-Mile Problem is Profits

If you’ve ever ordered something and wondered how it got from a Chinese port to your Indian doorstep via three rainstorms, four customs clearances, and one unpaid truck driver — that’s where TVS Supply Chain Solutions comes in.

A part of the iconic TVS Group, this isn’t your local courier — it’s an end-to-end integrated supply chain platform for blue-chip clients and defence contracts. But like a GPS in Bengaluru traffic, the company’s path to profitability is convoluted, recalculated, and still “reaching shortly.”


2. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

TVS SCS offers two main services:

1. Integrated Supply Chain Solutions (ISCS) – 55% of revenue

  • Procurement & sourcing
  • In-plant logistics
  • Finished goods and aftermarket
  • Analytics & supply chain consulting

2. Network Solutions (NS) – 45%

  • Multimodal transportation
  • Last-mile delivery
  • Warehousing
  • Customs clearance and freight forwarding

It’s a mix of contract logistics + 3PL + consulting, operating in India, UK, Europe, and the US. Think Mahindra Logistics meets Accenture on a bad day.


3. Financials Overview – Big Bags, Small Profits

Source table
FY25₹ Cr
Revenue9,996
EBITDA673
EBITDA Margin6.7%
PAT-10
EPS₹-0.31
ROCE4.8%
ROE-0.5%

🎯 P/E? Not meaningful (until PAT becomes a real number).
At current market cap of ₹5,409 Cr, you’re paying 8x EV/EBITDA for a business that hasn’t yet exited the red zone.


4. Valuation – Excel Sheet Meets Blind Optimism

Let’s calculate a fair range despite losses:

a. EV/EBITDA Method

  • EBITDA = ₹673 Cr
  • Net Debt ≈ ₹2,088 Cr
  • EV = Market Cap + Net Debt = ₹7,500 Cr
  • EV/EBITDA = ~11x

Fair EV/EBITDA range: 7x–9x
→ Fair EV = ₹4,711 – ₹6,057 Cr

Continue reading with a premium membership.
Become a member
error: Content is protected !!