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Thangamayil Jewellery Ltd Q1 FY26: ₹5,252 Cr Sales, 108 Cr PAT, 58x P/E — Madurai’s Glittering Monopoly or Just Another “Gold Loan Uncle”?


1. At a Glance

Welcome to the only jewellery company that runs like your neighborhood auditor’s worst nightmare — inventory full of shiny stones, zero geographical diversification, and expansion dreams that scream “Anna, Chennai la oru flagship store pottu poda vendiyadhu da!”

Thangamayil Jewellery Ltd (TMJL) sits at a market cap of ₹6,267 crore with a current price of ₹2,016. In the last 3 months, it’s up 8.3%, but over 1 year it’s down 14% (gold didn’t lose shine, but investors lost patience). With a stock P/E of 58x and a ROE of ~15%, this is not a stock — it’s basically a gold chain with an EMI plan.

Operating margin? 4%. PAT margin? 2.4%. For context: one badly managed wedding in Tamil Nadu has higher margins than this.


2. Introduction

If Titan is the suave Bengaluru CEO with a global vision, Thangamayil is the local Madurai uncle who knows everyone’s kudumbam and sells you gold bangles on credit, backed by blessings and a prayer.

The company runs 58 stores, all within Tamil Nadu — a state that alone hogs 40% of India’s gold appetite. Instead of conquering India, TMJL decided to double down on Madurai & nearby towns. Forget “pan-India expansion,” these guys are like that IT employee who buys a flat just one street away from his office.

On paper, it looks clean: strong sales growth (28% YoY in FY25), hedging policies at 89%, and an efficient manufacturing setup. But peel the layers like an auditor cross-examining bank vouchers, and you find quirks: rights issues every year like your cousin asking for dowry installments, margins thinner than hospital sambar, and inventory cycles that would make even pawn brokers nervous.

Question for you: would you trust a jewellery company that reports 1.81 Cr per employee in sales but still makes less than ₹35 EPS annually?


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Simple answer: they sell shiny things to emotional Tamilians.

Product lines:

  • Gold jewellery (75% of revenue, the bread, butter, and biryani).
  • Silver, diamond, platinum (the cousins nobody invites to family functions but still show up).
  • Gift items & MRPs (because someone’s nephew wanted a side hustle).

They also run four manufacturing units with in-house goldsmiths. Utilization rate ~75% in FY24, which sounds efficient — but in jewellery, in-house production = less outsourcing cost, more control over designs. Translation: they make money whether it’s a wedding chain or a baby’s “thali.”

Their USP? Regional dominance. Think of it like A2B in Tamil Nadu food — if you’re from TN, you trust it blindly; if you’re from outside, you say, “seri, Titan better da.”

But the catch: all eggs in one golden basket (TN only). If Tamil Nadu sneezes (say, new state tax, floods, or political drama), TMJL catches pneumonia.


4. Financials Overview

Quarterly Comparison (₹ Cr)

MetricLatest Qtr (Jun’25)Same Qtr LY (Jun’24)Prev Qtr (Mar’25)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue1,5581,2221,38127.5%12.8%
EBITDA879257-5.4%52.6%
PAT465731-19.2%48.4%
EPS (₹)14.718.210.1-19.2%45.6%

Commentary:
Revenue keeps climbing like gold prices during Akshaya Tritiya, but profits slide like your friend’s WhatsApp stock tips. PAT margin in Q1 FY26? Barely 3%. One new branch in Chennai eats up half their quarterly PAT.


5. Valuation Discussion – Fair Value Range Only

Method 1: P/E Approach

  • Annualized EPS = Q1 EPS (₹14.7) × 4 = ₹58.8.
  • Industry P/E = ~29x. TMJL trades at 58x.
  • Fair range via P/E = ₹58.8 × (30–45) = ₹1,764 – ₹2,646.

Method 2: EV/EBITDA

  • EV = ₹6,823 Cr.
  • FY25 EBITDA ~₹220 Cr.
  • EV/EBITDA = ~31x. Industry avg ~18–22x.
  • Fair EV = ₹220 × 20 = ₹4,400 Cr. → Fair MCap = ~₹3,844 Cr.
  • Fair range per share = ₹1,230 – ₹1,500.

Method 3: DCF (Sarcastic Auditor Style)

Assume:

  • Growth 20% for 5 years (optimistic like a bride’s father).
  • Discount rate 12%.
  • Terminal growth 5%.

DCF math → arrives at ₹1,600 – ₹1,900.

Overall Fair Value Range: ₹1,200 – ₹2,600.
(Disclaimer: This is for

Eduinvesting Team

https://eduinvesting.in/

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