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Scoda Tubes Ltd Q3 FY26: ₹152 Cr Revenue, PAT Up 17.8%… But Cash Flow Just Collapsed to -₹51 Cr – Steel Story or Working Capital Trap?


1. At a Glance – The Stainless Steel Story With a Slightly Rusty Smell

If you ever wanted a perfect example of an Indian manufacturing company that looks like a textbook growth story… but behaves like a teenager with a credit card — welcome to Scoda Tubes.

Revenue growing, margins decent, exports booming, ROE flexing at 29% — everything looks like a LinkedIn success post. But then suddenly… BAM.

Operating cash flow goes from +₹22.7 Cr to -₹51 Cr in one quarter

That’s not a dip. That’s a financial cliff dive.

Add to that:

  • Inventory cycles stretching like Delhi traffic
  • Working capital days crossing 200 days
  • Heavy dependence on volatile steel prices
  • Debt still sitting at ₹204 Cr

And suddenly, this “growth story” starts looking like a “funding story.”

But wait — promoters are experienced, exports are rising, and backward integration is kicking in.

So the real question is:

Is this a future stainless steel giant in the making… or just another working capital monster hiding behind EBITDA?

Let’s open the books.


2. Introduction – The IPO Kid Trying to Act Mature

Scoda Tubes is one of those companies that came into the market recently (IPO in June 2025, ₹220 Cr raised) and immediately started behaving like it belongs in the big leagues.

And to be fair:

  • It operates in stainless steel tubes and pipes
  • Supplies to industries like oil & gas, chemicals, power, pharma
  • Exports to 32 countries

Sounds global. Feels global. Talks global.

But financially? Still very Indian SME energy.

The company has grown rapidly:

  • Revenue: ₹194 Cr → ₹485 Cr (FY22–FY25)
  • PAT: ₹1.6 Cr → ₹31.7 Cr

That’s not growth. That’s glow-up.

But like every glow-up story:

  • It’s funded by working capital
  • It’s dependent on raw material prices
  • And it’s constantly juggling cash vs growth

CRISIL literally says:

Working capital is 185–207 days and inventory stays around 120–135 days

That’s not a business. That’s a warehouse with a P&L.

So before we get excited — let’s ask:

Is this scalable efficiency… or just scaling inventory?


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Simple version:

They take stainless steel… turn it into pipes and tubes… and sell it to industries that like pressure (both mechanical and financial).

Product Buckets:

  • Seamless pipes (high pressure)
  • Welded tubes (low pressure)
  • U-tubes (heat exchangers, boilers)

Basically:
If something needs to transport fluid, heat, or pressure — Scoda is involved.

Customers:

  • Oil & Gas
  • Chemicals
  • Power
  • Pharma
  • Railways

Translation:
If GDP grows → demand grows

What’s Interesting:

  • Backward integration: making their own mother hollow (raw material)
  • Export focus: Europe + US heavy
  • Capacity doubling story

What’s Risky:

  • Steel = 70–75% of cost
  • Inventory = huge
  • Lead time = ~6 months

So the business model is basically:

Buy expensive steel → wait → process → sell → wait for

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