SAIL Q1 FY26: From Rust to Robust or Still Rusty?

SAIL Q1 FY26: From Rust to Robust or Still Rusty?

1. At a Glance

Steel Authority of India (SAIL) reported Q1 FY26 net profit of ₹685 Cr, revenue ₹25,922 Cr, OPM at 11%. Margins improved but volumes flat. Stock trades at 0.92x book value and P/E 17.7x. Contingent liabilities ₹42,242 Cr loom like a grey cloud.


2. Introduction with Hook

Imagine an old warhorse trying to run a Formula 1 race. That’s SAIL—India’s Maharatna steelmaker balancing decades-old plants with modern market expectations. Q1 FY26 was solid, but investors are still asking: “Can a PSU actually sprint?”


3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)

  • Core: Makes steel (flats, longs, special steels).
  • Plants: 5 integrated + 3 special steel plants near raw material hubs.
  • Clients: Infrastructure, railways, construction, auto.
  • USP: Backed by GOI (65% stake) and has “Maharatna” status.
  • Punchline: “SAIL takes iron ore, adds some government pride, and ships steel.”

4. Financials Overview

  • Q1 FY26 Sales: ₹25,922 Cr (-0.6% YoY)
  • EBITDA: ₹2,769 Cr (Margin 11%)
  • PAT: ₹745 Cr (+261% YoY)
  • FY25 PAT: ₹2,372 Cr (-23% YoY)

Margins bounced back this quarter, but long-term growth is as slow as a Kolkata tram.


5. Valuation

  • P/E: 17.7x (cheap vs JSW’s 49x, but PSU discount applies).
  • CMP/BV: 0.92x – stock is trading below book.
  • Fair Value Range: ₹120 – ₹150.

“If you like safe bets and dividends, this is your chai. If you want multi-baggers, look elsewhere.”


6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

  • Audit qualifications on entry tax and DVC advances.
  • ₹42,000+ Cr contingent liabilities (ouch).
  • New leadership appointments at Burnpur & Durgapur.
  • No major capex drama but global steel prices remain volatile.

“SAIL doesn’t do gossip—only government notifications.”


7. Balance Sheet

(₹ Cr)FY24FY25
Borrowings36,32336,934
Net Worth57,10258,906
Total Assets1,41,0221,36,371

Takeaway:
Debt is stable. Equity growing slowly. Asset-heavy, PSU-style.


8. Cash Flow – Sab Number Game Hai

(₹ Cr)FY23FY24FY25
Operating CF-5,2902,9119,914
Investing CF-3,371-4,261-5,268
Financing CF8,5871,362-4,424

Positive operating cash flow FY25; but investments continue to eat cash. Financing outflows show debt repayments.


9. Ratios – Sexy or Stressy?

MetricValueComment
ROE4.5%Low. Needs a booster.
ROCE6.7%Meh.
D/E~0.6xSafe for a PSU.
OPM11%Decent comeback.

10. P&L Breakdown – Show Me the Money

(₹ Cr)FY23FY24FY25
Revenue1,04,4481,05,3781,02,479
EBITDA8,03811,14910,646
PAT2,1773,0672,372

Topline stagnant. Profits volatile. Classic steel cycle.


11. Peer Comparison

CompanyP/EROECMP/BV
JSW Steel49.6x4.9%1.6x
Tata Steel60.7x3.6%1.2x
Jindal Steel28.5x7.8%2.2x
SAIL17.7x4.5%0.9x

Observation:
Valuation cheap, but growth uninspiring. PSU tag keeps a lid on multiples.


12. Miscellaneous – Shareholding, Promoters

  • Promoter (GOI): 65%
  • FII: 3.7% (falling)
  • DII: 17.3% (rising)
  • Public: 14%

PSU control = stability + bureaucracy.


13. EduInvesting Verdict™

SAIL is the classic PSU steel story: solid assets, low valuation, good dividends, but slow growth and regulatory baggage. Q1 FY26 shows margins improving, but long-term re-rating needs better profitability and reduced liabilities.

Final Word:
“A strong metal base, but don’t expect it to turn into stainless returns overnight.”


Written by EduInvesting Team | 26 July 2025
Tags: SAIL, Q1 FY26 Results, Steel PSU, Contingent Liabilities, EduInvesting Premium

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