Author: Prashant Marathe
Date Published: May 21, 2025
🧾 At a Glance
- Total Income (Q4): ₹2,389.70 Cr
- Net Profit (Q4): ₹210.50 Cr
- EPS (Q4): ₹5.20
- CMP: ₹1,057
- EduFair Value: ₹1,050–₹1,150
👉 Verdict: A PSU for the digital decade. But priced like a premium tech stock.
🏢 About the Company
Protean eGov Technologies Ltd (formerly NSDL e-Gov) is the digital infrastructure PSU that powers:
- Aadhaar issuance
- PAN card systems
- National Pension Scheme (CRA)
- Tax filing back-ends
This is the invisible backend of Indian governance — secure, scalable, and run with clockwork precision.
📊 FY25 Performance
Quarter | Revenue (₹ Cr) | Net Profit (₹ Cr) | EPS (₹) |
---|---|---|---|
Q1 | ~₹2,350 est | ~₹185 est | ~₹4.60 |
Q2 | ~₹2,375 est | ~₹200 est | ~₹5.00 |
Q3 | ~₹2,310 est | ~₹195 est | ~₹4.80 |
Q4 | ₹2,389.70 | ₹210.50 | ₹5.20 |
FY25 EPS (est): ₹19.60 – ₹20.40
Annual PAT: ₹790–820 Cr
🧠 EduInvesting Take
“Protean isn’t sexy. It’s secure. And that’s why it should be in your long-term core.”
✅ Monopoly-style contracts
✅ No marketing spend
✅ Government-mandated work
✅ Margin-rich and data-heavy
But…
❌ Low float
❌ Expensive at 50x earnings
❌ Still new to the market
This is like India’s CDSL + TCS hybrid, but inside a PSU wrapper.
🧮 EduFair Value Estimate
- EPS FY25 = ₹20.00
- Fair P/E = 50–55x (given SaaS + e-Gov moat)
✅ EduFair Value = ₹1,050 – ₹1,150
CMP = ₹1,057 → Fairly priced
This is a rare case where the market got it right early.
⚠️ Risks
- 🧾 Delays in contract renewals or central tenders
- 👀 Market not yet fully aware of what they do
- 🧯 Slower growth in years without major policy changes
- 📉 If classified wrongly as a “tech PSU” = derating risk
💸 CMP vs EduFair Value
Metric | Value |
---|---|
CMP | ₹1,057 |
Fair Value | ₹1,050–₹1,150 |
P/E at CMP | ~52x |
Dividend Yield | Low (<1%) |
Verdict | Neutral ⚪ |
🏁 EduFinal Word
Protean is:
- Highly profitable ✅
- Government-linked ✅
- Premium priced ❗
- Future-ready ✅
Edu Verdict:
Hold if you got it via IPO.
Buy small if you want secure digital PSU compounding.
Wait for dips below ₹950 for value entry.