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Nitin Castings Ltd Q2 FY26 – ₹36.5 Cr Revenue, 65% QoQ Profit Collapse & a ₹521 Stock Asking Existential Questions


1. At a Glance – Blink and You’ll Miss the Punch

₹268 crore market cap. ₹521 stock price. 71.4% promoter holding. Zero pledge. ROCE at a respectable 17.4%. Sounds calm, stable, shaadi-material company, right? Now zoom into the latest numbers and suddenly the background music changes. Q2 FY26 revenue came in at ₹36.45 crore, down 4.9% YoY. Net profit? ₹1.48 crore, down a brutal 64.8% YoY. EPS slipped to ₹2.88 for the quarter, which annualises to ₹11.52, while the stock is trading at a trailing P/E north of 23.

This is a 40-year-old alloy steel casting company supplying cement, petrochemical, steel and valve industries. Basically, if heavy industry had a WhatsApp group, Nitin Castings would be quietly reading messages without typing much. Over five years, profits have compounded at 51% CAGR, which looks spicy on paper. But the last one year has been ugly: stock down 24.5%, TTM profits down 25%, and quarterly margins playing hide and seek.

So is this a cyclical hiccup, margin pain, or the beginning of “uncle company got tired” phase? Strap in. This detective is opening the casting mould.


2. Introduction – Old School Foundry, New Age Confusion

Nitin Castings Ltd was incorporated in 1982, when Indian industry meant landlines, ambassadors, and cement plants running without PowerPoint decks. The company is part of the Nitin Group, promoted by the Kedia family, and specialises in alloy steel castings across static, centrifugal and investment casting formats.

This is not a flashy business. No AI. No EV. No lithium. Just molten metal, moulds, and long-term industrial relationships. That’s both the charm and the curse. When demand is strong, cash flows gush like molten steel. When clients delay orders or capex slows, profits freeze faster than a kulfi in Matheran.

FY23 to FY25 looked decent on an annual basis. Revenues crossed ₹150 crore. PAT touched ₹12 crore. ROCE peaked at 24% in FY24 before cooling off. But FY26 started on a weird note. Q1 looked okay. Q2 came with margin compression, lower profits, and investors asking uncomfortable questions on concalls (in their heads, mostly).

Is the company structurally broken? No evidence of that. Is it immune to cycles? Absolutely not. And cycles don’t ask for permission.


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Let’s simplify this for a lazy but smart investor. Nitin Castings melts alloy steel and pours it into shapes that heavy industries desperately need but never brag about on Instagram.

Their product basket includes industrial valve components like valve bodies, discs, cages, bonnets and seat rings. Cement plants buy their grate plates, dip tubes, diaphragm liners and bimetallic rollers. Steel plants use their grate bars, tip casting blocks and chain links. Pump manufacturers take impellers, sleeves, stuffing boxes and bushes.

They operate across sand casting, centrifugal casting, shell moulding and static castings. Translation: they don’t bet on one casting technique. That diversification reduces operational risk but doesn’t eliminate demand risk.

Geographically, this is a very desi company. FY23 revenue was ~99% domestic, exports barely 1%. No forex tailwinds, no Europe slowdown drama, no US rate cut hopes. If Indian cement and steel sneeze, Nitin Castings catches cold.

This is a classic B2B, order-driven, project-linked business. Margins depend on raw material prices, order mix, and capacity utilisation. There is no pricing power swagger here. You negotiate, you deliver, you pray your client pays on time.


4. Financials Overview – The Table That Hurts a Little

Result Type Lock: Quarterly Results
EPS Annualisation Rule Applied: Latest quarterly EPS × 4

Figures in ₹ Crores

Source table
MetricLatest Qtr (Sep 2025)YoY Qtr (Sep 2024)Prev Qtr (Jun 2025)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue36.4538.3235.75-4.9%+2.0%
EBITDA2.374.015.51-40.9%-57.0%
PAT1.484.205.71-64.8%-74.1%
EPS (₹)2.888.1711.11-64.8%-74.1%

Annualised EPS based on latest quarter = ₹2.88 × 4 = ₹11.52

Now take a breath. Revenue is relatively stable. The real carnage is in margins. EBITDA margin fell to 6.5% from 10.5%

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