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Natural Capsules Ltd – Q1 FY26 | India’s Vegetarian Capsule King with Steroidal Side Hustle… but EPS Needs a Protein Shake


1. At a Glance

Natural Capsules Ltd (NCL) — market-cap ₹268 crore, share price ₹259 (down 4.7 % on 03 Oct 2025), is that tiny biotech cousin who shows up at family functions wearing a WHO-GMP badge and pretending to be Pfizer. Over the last 3 months the stock jumped 18.5 %, but long-term investors still nurse a 19 % 1-year hangover. ROE? 0.28 %. ROCE? 2.67 %. Interest coverage? 0.45 — aka “our banker’s patience quotient.”

Revenue for Q1 FY26 came at ₹45.2 crore (+15 % YoY), but PAT plunged to –₹5.6 crore (–1030 % YoY). EPS? –₹5.4 — meaning the only thing growing fast is investor anxiety.

Still, this is India’s first maker of vegetarian capsules and the second-largest gelatin-capsule producer. On paper, they can make 18.75 billion capsules a year — that’s enough to medicate every Indian 13 times or fund a Netflix documentary called “Capsule Cartel – Made in Bengaluru.”


2. Introduction

Back in 1993, when Harshad Mehta was still shouting “risk hai toh ishq hai,” a quiet Bengaluru firm began rolling out hard gelatin capsules. Three decades later, Natural Capsules wants to look less like a boring capsule peddler and more like a steroidal-API innovator.

They proudly shout “WHO-GMP!” and “ISO-14001!” as if these are Hogwarts houses. The factories hum in Bengaluru and Pondicherry, churning out shiny, sweet, fast-release capsules while their new API arm — Natural Biogenex — brews steroids so potent even gym bros take notes.

The catch? The capsule business is cash-rich but low-margin; the API business is high-margin but cash-hungry. The result — financials look like a bodybuilder’s leg day – all upper show, weak lower support.


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Natural Capsules operates in two worlds:

A. Capsules Division:
They make two-piece hard gelatin and cellulose capsules for pharma and dietary supplement industries. Gelatin is for the traditionalists; cellulose (HPMC – plant-based) keeps the vegans and FDA equally happy. Sizes 00 to 4 — basically, from “antibiotic horse pill” to “vitamin micro-missile.”

Special variants include shiny, sweet, fast-release, preservative-free, SLS-free, TSE-free — basically everything except “free profits.”

B. Steroidal API Division:
Through Natural Biogenex, they make Prednisolone, Betamethasone, Dexamethasone, and Hydrocortisone – the who’s-who of anti-inflammatory steroids. With capacities of 10–15 MT each, NCL is among India’s few legitimate producers rather than importers from China.

Clients? Abbott, Pfizer, Aurobindo, Macleods, Ajanta, Hetero — basically, everyone except the chemist who sells you fake “protein” powder.


4. Financials Overview

Source table
MetricLatest Qtr (Jun 25)YoY Qtr (Jun 24)Prev Qtr (Mar 25)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue45.239.245.0+15.4 %+0.4 %
EBITDA0.34.44.4–92.7 %–92.7 %
PAT–5.60.60.5–1030 %–1200 %
EPS (₹)–5.40.60.5NANA

Annualised EPS = –₹21.6 → P/E not meaningful (also painful).

Commentary:
This quarter’s P&L looks like a capsule half full of air. Revenue grew, but costs grew faster; depreciation doubled (new machinery → new EMIs), interest rose 40 %, and profit took an early retirement. The EBITDA margin 0.7 % is so thin it could be used as a capsule film.


5. Valuation Discussion – Fair Value Range Only

Let’s educate, not recommend.

A. P/E Method: Since EPS is negative, P/E is “not meaningful.” But assuming FY24 EPS ≈ ₹6 (after normalisation), and industry P/E ≈ 30–35×,
Fair Value ≈ ₹180 – ₹210.

B. EV/EBITDA Method: EV = ₹368 cr; TTM EBITDA = ₹13 cr; EV/EBITDA = 28×. Sector average ≈ 20× → fair EV ≈ ₹260 cr → Fair Value ≈ ₹185 /share.

C. DCF Method: Assume FCF ₹10 cr FY27 growing 8 % CAGR, WACC 11 %. Intrinsic ≈ ₹190 – ₹220.

→ Fair Value Range (for education only): ₹180 – ₹220.

Disclaimer: This range is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.


6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

Oh, plenty of masala:

  • Mar
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