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NALCO Q1 FY26 concall decoded: aluminium’s not so dull anymore

“For educational and entertainment purposes, not investment advice, Check disclaimer”

NALCO Q1 FY26 concall decoded: aluminium’s not so dull anymore

Remember when aluminium was just “that metal for power cables”? NALCO just turned it into a full-blown macro, policy, and execution story. Revenue soared 33% YoY, PAT jumped 77%, and the company threw in a ₹2.50/share final dividend for good measure—all while running mines, refineries, smelters, and power plants like a well-oiled PSU machine. They’re hitting record domestic alumina and aluminium sales, running bauxite at full tilt, and have a 5th-stream refinery expansion on a fast track to FY26 commissioning.

Why it matters? Because with captive coal, raw material JVs, and an integrated value chain, NALCO’s cost leadership gives it rare insulation from LME mood swings.

Stick around—things get spicier two scrolls down.

AT A GLANCE

• Revenue up 33% – “strong performance” without blaming tailwinds• PAT up 77% – base effect, but still juicy• Final dividend ₹2.50/share – PSU investor pacifier• Record Q1 domestic alumina & aluminium sales – factory floors at full stretch• Captive coal at 4 MT – shaving ₹400/ton on fuel costs

MANAGEMENT’S KEY COMMENTARY

• “Lowest-cost bauxite and alumina producer for 7–8 years” – Translation: We bring a knife to a gunfight and still win.• “5th-stream refinery 75% complete” – Translation: Civil engineers, don’t screw this up.• “No UPSI shared” – Translation: We’re SEBI’s teacher’s pet.• “Captive coal at rated capacity” – Translation: No more rainy-day coal panic.• “Value-added products focus: wire rods, foils” – Translation: LME prices won’t dictate our moods forever.

• “80% alumina exports on spot” – Translation: We like to play the market.• “Targeting Maharatna status” – Translation: ₹25,000 crore revenue club, here we come.

NUMBERS DECODED

Revenue – The HeroEBITDA – The SidekickMargins – The Drama Queen
+33% YoYNot disclosed, but implied strengthCosts steady despite RPO hit

Hero is pumped by higher sales volumes and better realisations, Sidekick benefits from vertical integration, Drama Queen barely flinches even after ₹75 cr in Renewable Purchase Obligations.

ANALYST QUESTIONS

Q:Refinery and mine timelines?A:“Refinery by June ’26, mine by FY27 Q1.” Translation: Mark your project delay bingo cards.

Q:Russian supply impact?A:“We sell in India, sanctions don’t dent us.” Translation: Let Vedanta worry about the US.

Q:Cost of production?A:Alumina: ₹20–21k/t, Aluminium: ₹1.55–1.6 lakh/t. Translation: Still lowest cost in class.

GUIDANCE & OUTLOOK

FY26 will be about volume maxing—bauxite

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