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Mufin Green Finance Ltd – 600x AUM Growth, 700 Cr Debt, and Still No Chill


1. At a Glance

Mufin Green Finance looks like that startup which discovered climate buzzwords before Excel formulas. From just ₹48 Cr AUM in FY22 to ₹624 Cr in FY24, this NBFC has expanded faster than Ola drivers during surge pricing. They finance EVs, charging infra, and swappable batteries — basically funding your neighborhood e-rickshaw. But with a P/E of 76, Debt/Equity of 2.65, and promoters slowly diluting like nimbu in soda, the company feels less like “green finance” and more like “green stress.”


2. Introduction

Once upon a time, in 2016, APM Finvest was born as a humble NBFC. Then came the climate wave, ESG funds, and EV boom. Smart rebranding happened: “Mufin Green Finance.” Because if you can’t beat the climate crisis, at least fund it.

They built a model around financing EV assets for both fleet operators (B2B) and individuals (B2C). So the next time you’re in Delhi riding an e-rickshaw, chances are, Mufin owns part of that battery pack.

But here’s the catch: NBFCs survive on spreads and scale. Mufin’s spreads are impressive (NIM ~12%), but returns to shareholders are meh (ROE <8%). Why? Because interest eats most of the profit, and expansion means more debt.

Their attempt to buy 45% of LKP Finance in 2024 was blocked by RBI. Translation: “Beta, abhi tumhari aukaat nahi.” To add spice, CEO Pankaj Gupta resigned in July 2024 — possibly because even he was tired of explaining why profits aren’t keeping up with disbursements.

Still, Mufin is at the center of India’s EV financing boom. The question is: will it become the Bajaj Finance of green mobility, or just another NBFC footnote in RBI’s pending file?


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Two models:

  1. B2B (Fleet Operators): They buy assets (e-rickshaws, chargers, batteries) and lease them out. Basically, Uber for batteries.
  2. B2C (Retail Customers): Partnering with OEMs and dealers to provide EV loans. Think EMI on scooters, except your collateral is a removable battery.

They cover 19 states, 47,000 borrowers, with 57% AUM from B2C and 43% from B2B.

Revenue split isn’t published like FMCG companies, but let’s just say: most of their customers don’t care about Excel models, they just want a working rickshaw.


4. Financials Overview

MetricLatest Qtr (Jun’25)YoY Qtr (Jun’24)Prev Qtr (Mar’25)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue (₹ Cr)48.936.949.632.3%-1.4%
EBITDA (₹ Cr)30.526.728.114.2%8.5%
PAT (₹ Cr)3.484.393.44-20.7%1.2%
EPS (₹)0.210.270.22-22.2%-4.5%

Commentary:
Sales booming, profits sulking. Annualised EPS = ₹0.84 → P/E ~102x at CMP. Even Tesla looks cheap in comparison.


5. Valuation – Fair Value Range Only

Method 1: P/E Multiple

  • Annualised EPS = ₹0.84
  • Assign NBFC P/E = 15–20x (Bajaj Finance at 30+, but Mufin isn’t Bajaj).
  • Fair value = ₹12 – ₹17

Method 2: EV/EBITDA

  • EV = ₹1,978 Cr, EBITDA = ₹121 Cr
  • EV/EBITDA = 16.3x vs peers 10–12x
  • Fair value range = ₹60 – ₹80

Method 3: DCF (Desi Cash Fantasy)

  • Assume AUM grows 25% CAGR, NIM stays at 10%, discount at 13%.
  • Value range = ₹55 – ₹75

Overall Fair Value Range: ₹12 – ₹80

Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only, not investment advice. Do not pledge your e-rickshaw to buy shares.


6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

  • Failed LKP Finance Deal (2024): RBI said “Nope.” Mufin’s attempt at inorganic

Eduinvesting Team

https://eduinvesting.in/

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