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Likhitha Infrastructure Ltd Q1 FY26 / FY25 – Gas Pipes, Saudi JVs, and a Balance Sheet Cleaner than Your Kitchen Sink


1. At a Glance

Likhitha Infrastructure Ltd (LIL) trades at ₹238 a share (as of 25th Sept), wearing the crown of a ₹939 Cr market cap smallcap that thinks it’s a mini-L&T. The stock is down –38% YoY, because apparently the market doesn’t give brownie points for being debt-free if your quarterly profit dips by –18.5%. The P/E is a humble 14.2x versus the industry’s 20.9x, ROE is a solid 20.3%, and ROCE is a punchy 27.6%. The order book sits at ~₹1,300 Cr (3x annual revenue), which is impressive until you realize EPC companies can burn through order books faster than you burn through Maggi stock during hostel nights.

Question: If a company is almost debt-free, has 20%+ ROE, but the stock is down nearly 40% — is this a hidden gem or a contractor waiting to be ghosted by PSU clients?


2. Introduction

Ladies and gentlemen, presenting Likhitha Infrastructure — a smallcap contractor that specializes in digging trenches, laying pipes, and occasionally pretending to be India’s answer to Bechtel. Incorporated in 1998, the company grew up in the era of Kargil war, Nokia 3310, and “Hum Dil De Chuke Sanam.” Fast forward to FY25, they are laying oil & gas pipelines across 19 states and 2 union territories, while flirting with Nepal and Saudi Arabia.

The stock, however, is behaving like your gym attendance in February — after a decent run in FY22–23, it is currently on sabbatical, down –17.5% in 3 months. Blame order execution delays, policy bottlenecks, or maybe just the fact that investors prefer shiny infra names like L&T or KEC International instead of a ₹1,000 Cr “chhota bhai.”

Still, with an 8x EV/EBITDA, no debt, and promoters holding 70%, the company is screaming “Look Ma, no leverage!” in a sector where debt usually runs deeper than Delhi Metro tunnels.


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Okay lazy investor, here’s the deal. Likhitha Infra is basically the plumber of India’s energy ecosystem — except instead of fixing your leaky tap, they fix India’s gas transmission dreams.

Segments:

  • City Gas Distribution (CGD): Laying steel and MDPE pipelines that bring PNG to your kitchen and CNG to your Uber driver.
  • Cross-Country Pipelines: These are the long-haul, Bharat-Jodo pipelines connecting oil terminals, refineries, and distant cities. Civil, electrical, instrumentation — they’ll even add the “nimbu-mirchi” if client insists.
  • O&M Services: Emergency repairs and maintenance. Basically, the AMC of the oil & gas world.
  • Tankage Projects: Storage depots, mechanical & civil works, and fire & gas systems. Think petrol bunk backend, minus the samosa counter.

And now, the Saudi JV — Likhitha HAK Arabia Contracting Company. Because why only suffer Indian bureaucracy when you can also enjoy Middle Eastern tendering delays?


4. Financials Overview

Here’s the Q1 FY26 scorecard versus history:

Source table
MetricLatest Qtr (Jun’25)YoY Qtr (Jun’24)Prev Qtr (Mar’25)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue (₹ Cr)122125136–2.4%–10.3%
EBITDA (₹ Cr)192424–20.8%–20.8%
PAT (₹ Cr)141718–17.6%–22.2%
EPS (₹)3.534.334.47–18.5%–21.0%

Commentary: Looks like the pipeline had a leakage in Q1. Both YoY and QoQ have gone downhill. Annualised EPS = ₹14.1 → That makes P/E ~16.8x (slightly higher than screener’s 14x, but still below peers). The EBITDA margin at 16% is lower than their historical 22%. Execution delays + cost inflation = reality check.


5. Valuation Discussion – Fair Value Range Only

Three valuation methods, because one is never enough for smallcap contractors.

a) P/E Method:

  • Current EPS (TTM): ₹16.8
  • Industry P/E: ~21x
  • Apply 14x–18x range (since Likhitha is smaller but efficient).
  • Fair Value Range = ₹235 – ₹300

b) EV/EBITDA Method:

  • EBITDA (TTM): ₹90 Cr
  • EV
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