📅 Holding Since 2018 = Belief or Denial?

📅 Holding Since 2018 = Belief or Denial?

Meta Description: Still holding that stock from 2018? You may call it conviction. We call it financial Stockholm Syndrome. Here’s why your “long-term play” might just be a long-term mistake.


📌 At a Glance:

You bought a stock in 2018.
It fell in 2019.
Cracked in 2020.
Sideways in 2021.
Dead in 2022.
And now in 2025, you tell people:

“I’m a long-term investor.”

Bro, you’re not investing.
You’re in denial.

What you call conviction… the market calls delusion.


📉 1. The Timeline of a Bagholder

Let’s break down your 7-year relationship with this stock:

YearEmotionMarket Comment
2018Optimism“Multibagger soon.”
2019Confusion“Sector is under pressure.”
2020Panic“Covid impact, bro. Temporary.”
2021Hope“It’ll bounce back, fundamentals strong.”
2022Denial“I’m not booking a loss at this level.”
2023Silence“I don’t check portfolio daily anymore.”
2025Coping“True wealth takes time. Like Warren Buffett.”

🧠 2. The Truth Hurts: You Missed the Exit Long Ago

You had chances:

  • When it bounced after Covid
  • When it gave one green candle in 2021
  • When your friend warned you

But instead, you opened YouTube and searched:
“How long does it take for stocks to recover?”

The answer?

Some never do.


🪦 3. Holding Is Not the Problem. What You’re Holding Is.

See, “long-term” works when:

  • You’re holding Infosys, Asian Paints, or HDFC Bank
  • The business is compounding profits
  • Management is transparent
  • There’s sector tailwind

But if your “hold” is:

  • A penny stock with no revenue
  • A loss-making SME IPO
  • A company where even the promoter exited…

Then congrats.
You’re not holding a stock.
You’re holding a memory.


🏚️ 4. Real-Life Case Study (You Know the One)

Let’s say you bought a stock at ₹125 in 2018.
Now it’s ₹28.

You’ve told yourself:

  • “I’ll exit once I break even.”
  • “I’ll exit when it doubles from here.”
  • “I’ll exit once it hits ₹40. Promise.”

But your mental target keeps moving.

This isn’t strategy.
It’s emotional paralysis.


🧾 5. The Lies We Tell Ourselves

What You SayWhat It Means
“I’m in for the long haul”I have no exit plan
“It’s a portfolio stock”I can’t admit I was wrong
“I trust the promoter”I’ve never read an annual report
“Once elections pass, it’ll fly”I have no clue what the company does

📊 6. If You’d Switched in 2020…

Here’s what your ₹1 lakh would be worth in 2025:

AssetReturn
Holding Dead Stock₹28,000
Index Fund₹2.1 lakh
Gold₹1.9 lakh
Nifty Bees₹2.15 lakh
Your Ex’s Startup₹0 (but at least it had vision)

🔥 EduInvesting Take:

“Time in market beats timing the market”
— Only applies when you hold something worth holding.

If you’re holding since 2018, ask:

  • Is the company better now?
  • Are profits up?
  • Has promoter stake increased?
  • Is the industry growing?

If not?

You’re not patient. You’re passive.
You’re not investing. You’re stuck.


🧠 The Therapy You Need

Ask yourself:

  • Would I buy this stock fresh today at CMP?
  • Or am I holding it because I can’t face the loss?

Because:

“Loss booked = pain once.”
“Loss ignored = pain forever.”


🏁 Final Verdict:

ThoughtReality
“I’m a long-term investor”You missed the exit
“It’s consolidating”It’s comatose
“It’ll come back”It may not
“Conviction!”Coping mechanism.

Don’t let one bad decision define your portfolio.
The best investors cut losses and move on.
Not because they’re weak — but because they’re smart enough to change their minds.


🏷️ Tags:

holding bad stocks too long, retail investor denial, long term investing myth, eduinvesting psychology, stock market regret, bagholder therapy

Prashant Marathe

https://eduinvesting.in

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