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HFCL Ltd Q2 FY26 | ₹1,043 Cr Revenue, ₹72 Cr PAT – Optical Fibers, 5G Dreams & Margin Nightmares

1. At a Glance – The Telecom Tailor Trying to Stitch Profits

HFCL Ltd (Himachal Futuristic Communications Limited) – India’s original telecom tinker – posted Q2 FY26 revenue ₹1,043 Cr (–4.6 % YoY) and PAT ₹71.9 Cr (–8 % QoQ).
Margins, thankfully, did not go call-drop: EBITDA ₹203 Cr (19.5 %) vs ₹190 Cr last quarter.

Market cap ₹10,886 Cr; CMP ₹ 75.5; P/E 391× (yes, you read that right); ROE 4.4 %; ROCE 7.6 %; Debt ₹ 1,580 Cr (D/E 0.38).
Promoters down to 30 % holding with 56.9 % pledged.

A once-glorious telecom infra player now priced like an early-stage startup. Welcome to Fiber-Fi with family drama.


2. Introduction – The Comeback Kid Who Still Can’t Catch 5G

Remember the 90s telecom boom? HFCL was there — selling dreams, cables, and telecom towers before Jio was even an Ambani PowerPoint. Then came the crash, debt, and jokes about “Himachal Futuristic but Past Profitability.”

Two decades later the company has reinvented itself as a maker of optical fiber cables, Wi-Fi gear, and defence electronics. Yet the stock behaves like it’s still 2002 — volatile, over-hyped, and perpetually “just one order away.”

Every press release starts with “5G,” ends with “capex,” and somewhere in between sneaks a line about delayed utilisation of QIP funds. That’s our HFCL: half engineer, half storyteller.


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

HFCL has two core avatars: Telecom Products (57 %) and Turnkey Contracts (43 %).

1️ Telecom Products – This is the fun part.

  • Optical Fiber & Cables: 14 Mn fkm fiber & 25 Mn fkm OFC capacity. Market leader in domestic OFC supply.
  • Telecom & Networking Products: Wi-Fi 5/6 APs, UBR radios, routers, AI-driven network tools.
  • Defence Electronics: Thermal weapon sights, fuzes, surveillance radars — aka “From Fiber to Firepower.”
  • Passive Connectivity & Custom Assemblies: For data centres and automotive clients.

2️ Turnkey Projects & Services – Think railways, defence communications, rural broadband. Margins low, working-capital hell. Hence management’s shift towards products — cash arrives faster than government payments.

Client list: Jio, Airtel, BSNL, Vodafone, BEL, L&T, Optus, RailTel. In short: everyone from Mukesh Bhai to Mantri Ji.


4. Financial Overview

Source table
MetricLatest Qtr (Q2 FY26)YoY Qtr (Q2 FY25)Prev Qtr (Q1 FY26)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue (₹ Cr)1,0431,094871–4.6 %+19.8 %
EBITDA (₹ Cr)203158190+28 %+6.8 %
PAT (₹ Cr)71.973.0–29–1.5 %— turnaround
EPS (₹)0.470.51–0.22–8 %huge swing

Annualised EPS ≈ ₹ 1.9 → P/E ≈ 39 × realistic (not 391, that’s TTM distortion).

Commentary: Revenue flat, profits erratic, but EBITDA margins recovering. Corporate optimism remains HFCL’s strongest asset.


5. Valuation – Fair Value Range (Educational Only)

(a) P/E Method:
Peer median ≈ 25×; EPS ₹ 1.9 → ₹ 48–₹ 55.

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