At a Glance
Godrej Properties (GPL) pulled off a consolidated profit of ₹598 crore (↑15% YoY) in Q1 FY26, despite sales tanking 41% to ₹435 crore. Yes, you read that right—profit up, sales down. Blame it on other income (₹1,186 crore) doing the heavy lifting like a real estate version of a sugar daddy. The stock still fell 2% to ₹2,058 because Mr. Market doesn’t trust profits fueled by accounting magic.
Introduction
When a real estate giant makes more money from “other income” than actual construction, you know something’s spicy. Godrej Properties, India’s most awarded developer (400 awards in 5 years, who’s counting?), is flexing its asset-light model and land monetization tricks.
But investors are jittery: sales fell, OPM collapsed to -62%, and the company is now leaning heavily on non-core gains. Meanwhile, debt balloons, promoters dilute stake, and land acquisitions continue aggressively. This is either a masterstroke or a red flag wrapped in a glossy brochure.
Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)
Godrej Properties develops residential and commercial real estate projects across India, operating mostly on an asset-light joint venture model. This reduces capital requirements but makes revenue lumpy, depending on project recognition.
Revenue Streams:
- Residential Sales (80%) – high-end, mid-income, affordable.
- Commercial Projects (15%) – office spaces.
- Other (5%) – land sales, miscellaneous.
Its brand power and pre-sales dominance (largest by units sold in FY23) make it formidable. But the business is cyclical, cash-hungry, and prone to accounting surprises.
Financials Overview
Q1 FY26:
- Revenue: ₹435 Cr (↓41% YoY)
- EBITDA: ₹(270) Cr (loss), OPM -62%
- PAT: ₹598 Cr (↑15% YoY)
- EPS: ₹19.9
FY25 Snapshot:
- Revenue: ₹4,923 Cr (↑62% YoY)
- PAT: ₹1,389 Cr (↑86% YoY)
- Margins: OPM -2%, PAT 31% (thanks to other income).
Commentary: Core operations weak, other income saves the day. A classic case of profit without performance.
Valuation
Current price ₹2,058. P/E 50.9. P/B 3.6. Premium pricing for a premium brand, but only if core performance picks up.
Fair Value Range
- P/E Method:
Sector P/E ~40. Applying 38× FY26E EPS (₹45):
→ Fair Price ≈ ₹1,710 - EV/EBITDA Method:
EBITDA is negative this quarter; use FY25 EBITDA (₹-74 Cr) – meaningless for valuation. - DCF (Quick & Dirty):
Assume 12% growth, 10% WACC, terminal 3% → FV ≈ ₹1,850
Fair Value Range: ₹1,700 – ₹1,850
(Current price ₹2,058 is overpriced unless margins rebound.)
What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama
- Vadodara Land Grab: Acquired 34 acres for premium plotted project.
- Promoter Stake Dip: Now at 46.7% (↓11.7% in 3 years) – dilution alert.
- Debt Rising: Borrowings jumped to ₹12,641 Cr – leverage creeping in.
- Risk: Heavy reliance on other income, project delays, high interest costs.
Balance Sheet
Particulars (₹ Cr) | Mar 23 | Mar 24 | Mar 25 |
---|---|---|---|
Assets | 23,105 | 35,735 | 55,450 |
Liabilities | 13,980 | 25,882 | 38,288 |
Net Worth | 9,125 | 9,853 | 17,313 |
Borrowings | 6,431 | 10,679 | 12,641 |
Auditor Remark: Assets ballooning, debt rising, interest costs capitalized – the balance sheet is playing Jenga.
Cash Flow – Sab Number Game Hai
(₹ Cr) | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
---|---|---|---|
Operating CF | -452 | -2,861 | -2,242 |
Investing CF | 127 | -1,974 | -4,273 |
Financing CF | 235 | 3,258 | 6,710 |
Remark: Operating cash deeply negative – classic real estate cash burn masked by financing inflows.
Ratios – Sexy or Stressy?
Ratio | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
---|---|---|---|
ROE | 7% | 9% | 8.9% |
ROCE | 6% | 6% | 6.6% |
P/E | 61 | 53 | 50.9 |
PAT Margin | 27% | 31% | 31% |
D/E | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Comment: ROE mediocre, D/E rising, P/E sky-high – the numbers are as stretched as the Mumbai skyline.
P&L Breakdown – Show Me the Money
(₹ Cr) | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 2,252 | 3,036 | 4,923 |
EBITDA | 207 | -130 | -74 |
PAT | 621 | 747 | 1,389 |
Remark: PAT doubled, but EBITDA negative – investors should squint hard before cheering.
Peer Comparison
Company | Revenue (₹ Cr) | PAT (₹ Cr) | P/E |
---|---|---|---|
DLF | 7,994 | 4,657 | 41 |
Lodha Developers | 14,425 | 2,964 | 41 |
Prestige Estates | 7,349 | 468 | 148 |
Godrej Prop. | 4,923 | 1,469 | 51 |
Remark: Godrej trades at a premium despite weaker core profitability.
Miscellaneous – Shareholding, Promoters
- Promoters: 46.7% – diluted from 58% three years ago.
- FIIs: 30.5% – stable.
- DIIs: 9.1% – inching up.
- Public: 13.7% – retail participation rising.
Promoter Bio: The Godrej family – masters of brand trust, but current strategy seems to rely more on financial engineering than brick-and-mortar.
EduInvesting Verdict™
Godrej Properties is a premium brand stuck in a paradox: profits rising due to non-core items, while core operations bleed. Debt is creeping up, cash flow is ugly, and valuations are lofty. For investors, this is a “hope trade” banking on pre-sales recovery and project launches.
SWOT
- Strengths: Strong brand, land bank, asset-light model, pre-sales leadership.
- Weaknesses: Negative OPM, high reliance on other income, ballooning debt.
- Opportunities: Urban housing demand, premium launches, JV partnerships.
- Threats: Interest rate risks, regulatory issues, margin compression.
Conclusion:
Godrej Properties looks glamorous on the outside but has cracks in its financial foundation. Unless core profitability recovers, the stock’s P/E party may end abruptly.
Written by EduInvesting Team | 01 August 2025
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