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Federal Bank Ltd Q2 FY26 — When Kerala’s Favourite Banker Tried to Out-Yoga HDFC and Ended Up Doing Surya Namaskar on Margins

1. At a Glance

Federal Bank — born in 1931 as Travancore Federal Bank, now Kerala’s biggest private sector darling and India’s most disciplined middle-class banker — just dropped its Q2 FY26 results. The market yawned.
CMP ₹212, Market Cap ₹52,235 Cr. In the last 3 months, the stock basically did a yoga stretch — up 0.2%, which is banker language for “I’m trying, okay?”.

NIM slipped to 3.12% (the financial equivalent of a diet cheat day), while profit fell 9.5% QoQ to ₹955 Cr. Deposits? ₹2.84 lakh crore. Advances? ₹2.43 lakh crore.
Gross NPA: 1.84%, Net NPA: 0.44%. CRAR still a robust 16.4%.
In Kerala, this is the “mother-in-law-approved” bank — safe, steady, not flashy, but always somehow better than your cousin’s stock pick.


2. Introduction – The Bank That Became a Habit

Once upon a time, Federal Bank was that conservative uncle who always wore tucked shirts, quoted RBI circulars at weddings, and refused to buy crypto. Fast-forward to FY26 — the uncle learned APIs, RPA, and even has 790 of them. But he still eats his payasam on time.

In a world where HDFC marries HDFC Ltd, Axis tries to look cool, and Yes Bank goes to therapy, Federal quietly compounds at 15% CAGR. No scandals, no tantrums, just good old South Indian compounding — the sambhar of the banking world.

And let’s face it: being the second-largest bank from Kerala is like being the second most famous actor from Trivandrum — Mammootty exists, but you still show up in commercials.


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Federal Bank runs a perfectly predictable playbook. It takes your deposits, lends to gold borrowers, small businesses, and the occasional over-leveraged wedding planner, and earns 3.1% NIM.
The split is elegant:

  • Retail (56%) – where EMIs are like temple bells: regular, rhythmic, holy.
  • Wholesale (44%) – where corporate clients still send balance sheets in Excel 2007.

Gold Loans are Federal’s love story — ₹30,505 Cr worth, at 10% yield and 62 tonnes of shiny insurance against stupidity. Microfinance adds 4,110 Cr, because someone has to lend to the real Bharat.

Corporate tie-ups? All the usual suspects — DRDO, ISRO, L&T, and now Chola Insurance for CV loans. Because even trucks need blessings before potholes.


4. Financials Overview

Source table
MetricLatest Qtr (Q2 FY26)YoY Qtr (Q2 FY25)Prev Qtr (Q1 FY26)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue₹7,216 Cr₹6,728 Cr₹7,151 Cr7.25%0.9%
Net Interest Income (NII)₹2,495 Cr₹2,328 Cr₹2,466 Cr7.2%1.2%
Profit After Tax (PAT)₹955 Cr₹1,115 Cr₹992 Cr-14.3%-3.7%
EPS (₹)3.884.474.03-13.2%-3.7%

Commentary:
The PAT graph looks like Kerala’s monsoon: heavy at the start, drying up by September. Interest income grew slower than inflation, but fee income saved the day with ₹885 Cr — meaning more people paid charges than ever. Who said inflation hurts everyone equally?


5. Valuation Discussion – Fair Value Range Only

Let’s use our three holy grails of number-worship:

(a) P/E Method

EPS (FY25): ₹16.1
Peer median P/E (ICICI 19.2, Axis 14.3, HDFC 21.3, Kotak 22.9) → let’s be realistic — Federal doesn’t get the posh Mumbai premium.
Assign 11–14× P/E range.
👉 Fair Value Range: ₹177 – ₹225

(b) EV/EBITDA Method

EV = ₹3.52 lakh Cr, EBITDA (TTM) ~₹23,000 Cr → EV/EBITDA ~15.1×.
Peer range (HDFC 17×, ICICI 14×).
Normalised valuation range: 13×–16× EBITDA → ₹190–₹235 range.

(c) DCF (Discounted Compounding Formula)

Assume PAT growth 12% CAGR for 5 yrs, CoE 12%,

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