“Everyone Bought Archean at ₹800 — It’s Now ₹636. Buy the Dip or Salt the Wound?”

“Everyone Bought Archean at ₹800 — It’s Now ₹636. Buy the Dip or Salt the Wound?”

At a Glance
Archean Chemical Industries Ltd went from “dark horse IPO” to “what’s going on with margins?” in just under three years. From a loss of ₹36 Cr in FY20 to a profit of ₹162 Cr in FY25, the turnaround sounds dramatic. But growth has flatlined post-IPO, bromine prices cooled off, and margins got eroded like a beach during cyclone season. Is it still India’s marine chemical crown jewel or just a salty rerun of commodity fatigue?


1. 🌐 What Does Archean Even Do?

  • Makes bromine, industrial salt, and sulphate of potash.
  • Based in Gujarat, digs out value from underground brine reserves.
  • Major export play: over 70% of revenue comes from global clients, especially China and Japan.
  • Claimed lowest-cost bromine producer in India. Cool. But…

2. ₹ FY25 Snapshot

MetricFY20FY23FY25
Revenue₹608 Cr₹1,441 Cr₹1,041 Cr
EBITDA₹148 Cr₹634 Cr₹315 Cr
EBITDA Margin24%44%30%
Net Profit₹-36 Cr₹383 Cr₹162 Cr
EPS-18.831.113.1
ROCENA45%13%

Translation: Sales shrank, profits halved, margins got punched.


3. 🤜 The IPO & Post-Listing Honeymoon

  • Listed in Nov 2022 at ~₹507.
  • Immediately popped to ₹740+, rode the bromine price surge.
  • FY23 was a blockbuster year – investors were high on salt.
  • Then bromine prices dipped – and the high wore off.
  • FY25 profits fell 58% from FY23 peak.

4. ⚡ Margins: From Elite to… Eroded

  • FY23: 44% EBITDA margin. Flexed like a pharma company.
  • FY25: Just 30%. That’s more FMCG than specialty chemical.
  • Culprits:
    • Rising raw material costs
    • Price correction in bromine exports
    • Operating leverage unwinding as sales volume fell

5. 🏛️ Balance Sheet = Reasonably Clean

  • Debt: ₹235 Cr (modest, up from ₹69 Cr in FY23)
  • Reserves: Grew from ₹243 Cr (FY22) to ₹1,839 Cr (FY25)
  • Fixed asset base of ₹1,378 Cr, including capacity investments
  • Cash flow from ops fell sharply: ₹379 Cr → ₹176 Cr (FY25)
  • Negative free cash flow for FY25 after capex & finance

6. 🔢 Cost Leader, but No Pricing Power

  • Being low-cost helps, until:
    1. Prices collapse
    2. You can’t raise prices
  • Competitors in China, Israel cut prices in global markets
  • Archean has no strong brand moat – it’s a commodity supplier
  • FY25 results reflect: volume was okay, realisation hurt

7. 🔧 Capacity & Capex

  • Added capacity across bromine and SOP plants
  • But utilisation stayed muted
  • FY26 guidance? “Recovery in exports, stable pricing”
  • Capex in FY25: ~₹246 Cr
  • But ROCE halved from 25% → 13%. Uh-oh.

8. 🕵️ Promoter & FIIs

  • Promoters hold steady at 53.4%
  • FIIs slowly building stake: 6% → 10.9% (in 5 quarters)
  • DIIs trimming exposure: 30% → 23% (FY23 to FY25)
  • Public holding increasing

Interpretation: Smart money took profits when FY23 peak was in, institutions rotated out.


9. 🌕 Global Dynamics

  • Bromine market largely driven by China and flame retardant industry
  • Sulphate of potash demand is stable but not booming
  • FX rates helped in FY23 but normalized later
  • Global slowdown hurt discretionary demand in chemical industry

10. ☑️ Valuation Check

MetricValue
CMP₹636
PE45x
Book Value₹151
P/B4.2x
Market Cap₹7,853 Cr

Fair Value Range (based on historical P/E, margin cycles, and RoCE):
₹450 – ₹550

Above ₹550? You’re paying for a bromine miracle again.


11. 🧩 Risks & Red Flags

  • Margin compression is real and may persist
  • Low float, stock swings wildly
  • Capex ROCE not justifying investment yet
  • Working capital days rising: 67 → 98 in 3 years
  • Inventory days ballooning = demand slowdown?

12. ✨ Verdict: Salty, Not Sweet (Yet)

Archean has all the ingredients: niche chemical focus, export base, cost edge. But it’s stuck in a margin trap, post-IPO slowdown, and price cycles it can’t control. It’s not a scam. It’s not a rocket. It’s just a reality check in saltwater packaging.

If bromine prices bounce back and capex yields kick in, there’s upside. Till then, maybe don’t go all-in on chemicals without diversification.


Tags: Archean Chemical, bromine stocks, specialty chemicals India, IPO 2022, marine chemical exporters, chemical margin compression, EduInvesting


✍️ Written by Prashant | 🗓️ 14 June 2025

Prashant Marathe

https://eduinvesting.in

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