Bharat Dynamics Ltd: PE so high, even missiles can’t reach it?

Bharat Dynamics Ltd: PE so high, even missiles can’t reach it?

1. At a Glance

Bharat Dynamics Ltd (BDL) is India’s crown jewel in guided missile production. A PSU under the Ministry of Defence, it’s got missiles, margins, and MOUs—yet also comes with painfully slow sales growth and a PE of 122 that screams, “Price me like a SaaS startup!”


2. Introduction with Hook

Imagine this: You manufacture actual missiles. You’re one of the few entities in the country licensed to literally build tools of destruction. Yet your biggest pain point isn’t geopolitical tension—it’s… sales growth.

  • FY25 revenue: ₹3,345 Cr
  • Net profit: ₹550 Cr
  • ROCE: 20% (Solid!)
  • Stock P/E: 122 (Yikes!)

This is the paradox of Bharat Dynamics Ltd, where every AGM includes both defense secrets and balance sheet apologies.


3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)

BDL is in the business of:

  • Missiles (Akash, Milan-2T, Konkurs-M, etc.)
  • Torpedoes (Underwater weapon systems)
  • Countermeasure dispensing systems
  • Lifecycle support, refurbishments for older military stock
  • They also export and collaborate with DRDO and other defence R&D orgs.

Basically: if it blows up or prevents other stuff from blowing up—you’ll find BDL’s name on it.


4. Financials Overview

YearRevenue (₹ Cr)Net Profit (₹ Cr)OPM (%)ROE (%)
FY211,91425818%7.0%
FY222,81750026%13.6%
FY232,48935216%9.6%
FY242,36961323%16.7%
FY253,34555014%14.9%

Pattern: Order lumpiness + margin swings = typical defense PSU heartbreak.


5. Valuation

With a PE of 122, BDL is being priced like it’s Tesla + Lockheed + DRDO.

Valuation Models:

  • Peer Median PE (Astra, Zen, HAL): 55–65
  • Fair EPS (₹15–17) ⇒ FV Range: ₹825 – ₹1,105
  • Current Price (₹1,824) = Priced for war, not peace.

Verdict: Overbaked unless order execution skyrockets.


6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

  • Jun 2024: ₹1,777 Cr revenue reported in Q4—massive jump YoY
  • SEBI fines in May 2025 for non-compliance. PSU tradition.
  • Defence Expo orders & exports pipeline growing
  • Investor Call Transcript (Nov ’24): Mgmt hints at AI-enabled missile systems. No, really.

Drama Level: Moderate. Triggers tied to defence budgets + execution.


7. Balance Sheet

ItemFY25 (₹ Cr)
Equity183
Reserves3,826
Borrowings2
Total Liabilities11,742
Fixed Assets970
CWIP117
Investments4
Other Assets10,651

Key Points:

  • Negligible debt
  • Hefty asset base, mostly gov receivables
  • Net worth: ₹4,009 Cr

8. Cash Flow – Sab Number Game Hai

YearCFO (₹ Cr)CFI (₹ Cr)CFF (₹ Cr)Net Flow
FY232,130-1,171-171+788
FY24412-722-148-459
FY25167-407-220-460

Bottom Line: Defence PSUs operate like delayed payment contractors. CFO volatility is expected.


9. Ratios – Sexy or Stressy?

MetricFY25
ROCE20%
ROE14.9%
Debtor Days90
Inventory Days575
CCC338

Takeaway: CCC is a battlefield. But efficiency ratios hold. ROE is okay-ish.


10. P&L Breakdown – Show Me the Money

FY25 Snapshot₹ Cr
Revenue3,345
EBITDA472
Other Income350
PBT749
PAT550
EPS14.99

Caution: ₹350 Cr is other income. That’s 63% of PBT.


11. Peer Comparison

CompanyP/EROCE (%)OPM (%)EPS
Hindustan Aeronautics3933.931.026.07
Bharat Electronics5639.028.829.3
BDL12220.014.014.99
Zen Tech5836.738.326.08

Observation: BDL has the worst OPM and highest PE. Quite the combo.


12. Miscellaneous – Shareholding, Promoters

  • Promoter Holding: 74.93% (Govt. of India)
  • FII Holding: 3.25%
  • DII Holding: 9.45%
  • Retail Holding: 12.35%
  • Dividend Payout: 58% in FY25
  • Retail Shareholders: 5.67 lakh

13. EduInvesting Verdict™

Bharat Dynamics is a textbook PSU paradox:

  • Near-zero debt, high asset base, monopoly-like business
  • Yet PE is absurd, sales are sluggish, and other income drives half the earnings

If India enters an arms race, BDL becomes a multi-bagger.
If not? You paid 122 PE for a dividend yield of 0.29%.

BDL = Bharat Dividend Less?


Metadata
– Written by EduInvesting | July 15, 2025
– Tags: Bharat Dynamics, Defence Stocks, PSU Watch, Valuation Bubble, Missile Monopoly, EduInvesting Premium

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