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Axis Bank Q4 FY26: ₹7,071 Cr PAT, 1.23% GNPA, 16.42% CAR — Big Bank, Bigger Fund-Raising Appetite

1. At a Glance

Axis Bank’s Q4 FY26 is like a gym bro who says “I’m cutting” while ordering extra cheese fries. On one side, the bank delivered ₹7,071 crore PAT, deposits and advances both grew 6% QoQ, GNPA fell to 1.23%, Net NPA to 0.37%, and CASA improved to 40%. Very respectable. Very polished. Very “private bank annual report cover photo” material. But then comes the drama: the board recommended a tiny ₹1 final dividend while approving fund raising up to ₹55,000 crore — ₹35,000 crore debt and ₹20,000 crore equity. That is not a dividend announcement; that is a capital buffet with a ₹1 dessert spoon.

The bank is still one of India’s largest private-sector banking machines: third-largest private bank, huge branch network, ₹13.35 lakh crore deposits, ₹12.33 lakh crore advances, and serious presence in cards, UPI, wealth, AMC, NBFC, broking and investment banking.

2. Introduction

Axis Bank’s Q4 FY26 result is not bad. In fact, operationally it is fairly strong. The loan book grew, deposits grew, CASA improved, asset quality cleaned up, and subsidiaries performed nicely.

But the market will not simply clap because PAT exists. Investors will ask: why is FY26 PAT down 7% YoY despite balance sheet growth? Why are provisions up sharply? Why raise such a large amount of capital if everything is so comfortable?

This is where the detective hat comes out.

Q4 PAT was almost flat YoY, down 0.6%, but up 9% QoQ. Net Interest Income grew 5% YoY to ₹14,457 crore, but operating profit declined 7% YoY. The villain? Provisions and trading income weakness. Provisions other than tax jumped to ₹3,522 crore in Q4 FY26 versus ₹1,359 crore in Q4 FY25.

Question for readers: is this prudent banking discipline, or is Axis quietly preparing for tougher weather?

3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Axis Bank is a full-stack private sector bank. Translation: it takes deposits, gives loans, earns spreads, charges fees, sells cards, runs digital banking, supports corporates, manages wealth, distributes financial products, and owns subsidiaries that do everything from AMC to broking to NBFC lending.

The loan mix is broad. Retail is 55%, SME is 12%, and corporate is 33% as of March 2026. Retail loans stood at ₹6,73,468 crore, SME at ₹1,47,159 crore, and corporate loans at ₹4,12,943 crore.

Digital is a major weapon. Axis reported 98% digital transactions, roughly 36% UPI payer PSP market share, around 16 million monthly active users, and over 1 million new credit cards acquired in Q4 FY26.

So Axis is not just a bank. It is a giant financial supermarket where the cashier also offers you a credit card, a mutual fund, a loan, insurance, and possibly a lecture on “relationship value”.

4. Financials Overview

Result type locked: Quarterly Results Q4FY26. For valuation EPS, annualised Q4 diluted EPS = ₹91.78.

MetricLatest Quarter Q4 FY26Same Quarter Last Year Q4 FY25Previous Quarter Q3 FY26
Operating Revenue₹20,480 cr₹20,590 cr₹20,512 cr
Core Operating Profit₹10,619 cr₹10,575 cr₹10,815 cr
PAT₹7,071 cr₹7,117 cr₹6,490 cr
Diluted EPS annualised₹91.78₹92.73Not provided in same table

The funny thing: Axis grew deposits and advances strongly, but PAT still came almost flat YoY. This is like running faster on a treadmill and realizing the gym increased the incline secretly.

Management had earlier said deposit quality and granularization still needed work in Q3 FY26. In Q4, deposits grew 14% YoY and CASA improved QoQ, so yes, some “walk the talk” is visible. But NIM still slipped to 3.62%, so the job is not done.

5. Valuation Discussion – Fair Value Range Only

Current price – ₹1,366. Market cap: ₹4,24,599 crore. Reported stock P/E: 16.1.

Method 1: P/E Method

Annualised Q4 FY26 EPS = ₹91.78.

P/E MultipleFair Value
14x₹1,285
16x₹1,468
17x₹1,560

Using the bank’s own latest annualised quarterly EPS, Axis trades at roughly:

₹1,366 / ₹91.78 = 14.9x

That is slightly lower than the screener trailing P/E of 16.1x, because full-year EPS is lower than Q4 annualised EPS.

Method 2: EV/EBITDA Method

EV/EBITDA of 18.4x and EV of ₹19,60,274 crore.

Implied EBITDA:

₹19,60,274 cr / 18.4 = ~₹1,06,537 cr

Educational range:

EV/EBITDAImplied EV
16x₹17,04,592 cr
18x₹19,17,666 cr
19x₹20,24,203 cr

For banks, EV/EBITDA is not the cleanest valuation tool because deposits and borrowings are operating raw material, not normal

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