Vedanta Chip Scam: “From Aluminium to Algorithms? Or Just Another Shortcut to Dividend Nirvana?”

Vedanta Chip Scam: “From Aluminium to Algorithms? Or Just Another Shortcut to Dividend Nirvana?”

1. At a Glance

Vedanta Semiconductors Pvt Ltd (VSPL) booked ₹416 Cr in revenue trading metals on paper—without chips, factories or employees—while holding ₹2,500 Cr debt. Parent Vedanta Ltd, meanwhile, flaunts ₹20,535 Cr net profit in FY25 and a 113% dividend payout. Coincidence? Or financial fusion dance?


2. Introduction with Hook

Imagine calling yourself a semiconductor company with no semiconductors. Just paper. Just copper. Just commodity circles.

  • VSPL’s revenue FY25: ₹416 Cr.
  • Vedanta Group’s declared interim dividend via HZL: ₹4,225 Cr (July 2025).
  • Promoter pledging? 100%. And promoter holding dropped from 69.68% to 56.38% in 2 years.
    Nothing says “trust us” like reverse leverage yoga.

3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Vedanta Ltd = India’s mining overlord.

  • Aluminium: 46% market share, ₹58,000+ Cr biz.
  • Zinc, Oil, Gas, Iron Ore: Spread across 6 countries.
  • Glass in Taiwan, Ports in India, Power in Jharsuguda.
    But… semiconductors? Enter VSPL—a 2023 baby, trading commodities, borrowing big, lending bigger. Chips? Not even chiplets.

4. Financials Overview

FY25 (Consolidated)Amount (₹ Cr)
Revenue₹1,52,968
Net Profit₹20,535
EBITDA₹42,343
Dividend Payout113%
Borrowings₹91,479
Promoter Pledge100%
Promoter Holding (Jun 2025)56.38%

If business is booming, why is the cash flow trickling from shell subsidiaries?


5. Valuation

  • Current Market Cap: ₹1.77 Lakh Cr
  • Stock P/E: 12.8
  • Dividend Yield: 9.58% (insanely generous, but is it sustainable?)

Fair Value Range (Ex-VSPL shenanigans):
₹430 – ₹510/share (assuming earnings normalize, chip fog clears)
If VSPL = full scam?
FV falls to ₹350–₹390, especially if regulators pull the power plug.


6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

  • Jul 2025: Viceroy Research drops 87-page bomb—VSPL is a dummy vehicle.
  • 18 Jul: Vedanta gets ex-CJI to say “Nothing to see here.”
  • Dividend declared: ₹4,225 Cr from Hindustan Zinc.
  • Promoter pledging: All 56.38% encumbered.
  • FII & DII share rising: Institutions smelling blood—or undervaluation.

The script is hotter than a Tollywood courtroom thriller.


7. Balance Sheet – Vedanta Ltd FY25

ParticularsAmount (₹ Cr)
Total Assets₹1,99,940
Borrowings₹91,479
Equity Capital₹391
Reserves₹40,821
Investments₹14,532
Fixed Assets₹99,905
CWIP₹33,896

Key Callouts:

  • Reserves fell in FY23 (₹39,051 Cr) but rebounded in FY25—thanks to dividends from zinc and… mysterious routing?
  • CWIP spike = Delay in capex? Misalignment in project disclosures?

8. Cash Flow – FY25

Cash Flow TypeAmount (₹ Cr)
Operating Cash Flow₹39,562
Investing Cash Flow₹(19,158)
Financing Cash Flow₹(19,223)
Net Cash Flow₹1,181

What’s fishy?
Despite huge profits, cash from financing is massively negative. Because it’s funding dividends from internal debt?


9. Ratios – Sexy or Stressy?

MetricValue
ROE (FY25)38.5%
ROCE25.3%
Stock P/E12.8
D/E~2.2x
Dividend Yield9.58%
Promoter Pledge100%

Verdict:
Core biz = sexy
Chip biz = stressy
Overall = borderline bipolar


10. P&L Breakdown – FY25

Item₹ Cr
Revenue₹1,52,968
Expenses₹1,10,625
Operating Profit (EBITDA)₹42,343
Net Profit₹20,535
Other Income₹5,544
Interest Cost₹9,914
Depreciation₹11,096

Note: ₹5,544 Cr “other income” deserves a Netflix doc by itself.


11. Peer Comparison

CompanyCMP ₹P/EROE %Div YieldMCap ₹ Cr
Vedanta45512.838.59.58%1,77,903
Hindustan Zinc67014.134.07.2%1,41,000
NALCO14611.518.95.5%26,500
JSW Steel90516.320.41.4%2,15,000

Vedanta’s P/E is cheap—but the drama isn’t.


12. Miscellaneous – Shareholding, Promoters

CategorySep 2022Jun 2025
Promoters69.68%56.38%
FIIs8.09%10.60%
DIIs10.37%16.47%
Public11.57%16.35%

Flag:
Promoters dumped 13.3% in 2.5 years. FII + DII filled the gap. But why exit a “semiconductor future”?


13. EduInvesting Verdict™

Vedanta’s core business is rock solid—literally. Aluminium, zinc, power = Cash Machines. But the semiconductor saga raises big questions:

  • Was VSPL created to build chips or ship dividends?
  • Was ₹2,500 Cr structured debt or structured drama?
  • Can India’s regulators decode this chipset story before shareholders get fried?

Until the smoke clears, this is more Vedanta VFX than Silicon Valley.


Metadata
– Written by EduInvesting Team | July 22, 2025
– Tags: Vedanta, VSPL, Semiconductor Scam, Anil Agarwal, Viceroy Research, Screener Data, ChipGate, HZL, Dividend Routing

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