🧨 A2Z Infra is up 60% from its lows – But It’s Still a One-Time Settlement Away from Collapse

🧨 A2Z Infra is up 60% from its lows – But It’s Still a One-Time Settlement Away from Collapse

At a Glance

A2Z Infra Engineering was once an ambitious infra-EPC player focused on power and telecom transmission. Today, it’s a stock trading at 7.7x book value despite a 12-year loss-making streak, ₹366 Cr in contingent liabilities, a recent CARE D credit rating, and 99.7% promoter pledging. Revenues are declining, GST notices are flying, and the only green thing in their business is the Excel color for “Other Income.”


1. 💥 Introduction with Hook

From ₹400 Cr IPO dreams in 2010 to GST demand nightmares in 2025, A2Z has had a true Bharat-to-zero arc.

Yes, the stock has tripled from 52-week lows of ₹6.85 to ₹19.7.
Yes, they technically posted a profit in FY25 of ₹1 Cr.
But no — this isn’t a turnaround story. It’s a turnaround illusion, powered by other income, low volumes, and debt haircuts.


2. 🏗️ WTF Do They Even Do? (Business Model)

A2Z is in the EPC game (Engineering, Procurement, Construction) for:

  • 🔌 Power Transmission & Distribution
  • 📡 Telecom Infra (Optical fiber lines, towers)
  • 🧹 Facility maintenance (earlier focus, now minimal)

They used to do municipal solid waste management and facility management — now exited. Core focus today? Winning any power infra contract they can while dodging auditors and tax demands.


3. 📊 Financials – Profit, Losses, Margins

FYRevenue (₹ Cr)Net Profit (₹ Cr)OPMEPS
FY22₹353₹-180-43%₹-10.22
FY23₹349₹-1260%₹-6.98
FY24₹388₹-7-23%₹-0.32
FY25₹336₹+12%₹0.51

🎯 First “profit” in years — driven by ₹16 Cr other income, not operations
📉 5Y Sales CAGR: -13.6%
⚰️ 10Y PAT: Net loss ₹1,500 Cr+


4. 💸 Valuation – Cheap, Meh or Crack?

  • CMP: ₹19.7
  • EPS: ₹0.51
  • P/E: 223x
  • Book Value: ₹2.56 → P/BV: 7.7x
  • ROE: 4%

🧮 EduFair Value Range™

If we apply 10–12x earnings (and pretend this profit is sustainable):
→ FV Range = ₹5 – ₹6.2
If we go by 1x Book: ₹2.5

📛 Conclusion: Current price is 4x to 8x overvalued, unless this suddenly becomes Kalpataru.


5. 🔥 What’s Cooking – News & Chaos

  • 📉 CARE D credit rating for bank facilities
  • ⚖️ GST demand notices worth ₹40+ Cr received in FY25
  • 💼 Senior management exit (President – Projects)
  • 💸 One-Time Settlement with Union Bank (₹9 Cr)
  • 🧾 Other income ballooned → actual operations still loss-making

This is a debt negotiation drama, not a business revival.


6. 🧾 Balance Sheet – How Much Debt, How Many Dreams?

FYBorrowingsReservesNet Worth
FY22₹394 Cr₹-17 Cr₹159 Cr
FY24₹198 Cr₹-144 Cr₹32 Cr
FY25₹92 Cr₹-131 Cr₹45 Cr

✅ Debt reduced from ₹394 Cr → ₹92 Cr
❌ Negative reserves since FY22
🚨 Net worth dangerously low. They’re surviving on cash settlements.


7. 💸 Cash Flow – Sab Number Game Hai

FYCFOCFICFFNet Cash
FY24₹95 Cr₹-11 Cr₹-94 Cr₹-9 Cr
FY25₹54 Cr₹-12 Cr₹-39 Cr₹+3 Cr

✅ Operational cash generation surprisingly positive
❌ But financing cash flow reflects loan write-offs, not fresh capital
⚠️ No free cash flow story here


8. 📊 Ratios – Sexy or Stressy?

MetricFY25
ROE4.1%
ROCE13.8%
OPM2%
D/E2.0x
P/BV7.7x
Debtor Days114

⚠️ Debtor days still high
🚩 ROE and margins artificially inflated via non-operating income
📛 Negative net worth until this year


9. 📉 P&L Breakdown – Show Me the Money

  • FY25 Sales: ₹336 Cr
  • FY25 EBITDA: ₹7 Cr
  • Other Income: ₹16.3 Cr
  • Actual core EBIT = still negative
  • All profit = accounting magic

And somehow this company trades at ₹350 Cr market cap.


10. ⚔️ Peer Comparison – Who’s in the Game?

CompanyP/EROEOPMMCap (₹ Cr)
L&T32x16.6%13.4%₹4.9 Lakh Cr
NBCC51x25.9%5.1%₹31,000 Cr
KEC41x12.1%6.9%₹23,600 Cr
A2Z223x4.1%2%₹352 Cr

Even the worst infra peers like Ircon or Rail Vikas look like bluechips compared to A2Z.


11. 📉 Miscellaneous – Promoters, Pledges, Red Flags

  • Promoter Holding: 28.1%
  • Promoter Pledging: 99.7%
  • FIIs + DIIs: Combined < 2%
  • No dividend history
  • Auditors flagged “going concern doubts” in FY25 report
  • Company may be capitalizing interest

🚨 This is a 101 case study in financial distress


12. 🧑‍⚖️ EduInvesting Verdict™

This is not a turnaround. This is a delusion priced at ₹19.

If you’re holding this stock, just know:

  • The company has been loss-making for 10 of last 12 years
  • EPS is positive only because of other income
  • P/E is >200
  • Credit rating is D (Default)
  • GST dept. sends love letters every quarter

🎯 FV Range: ₹2 – ₹6

❌ CMP: ₹19.7

🚨 Verdict: “One-Time Profit, Full-Time Problem”


✍️ Written by Prashant | 📅 July 8, 2025
Tags: A2Z Infra, infra EPC stock, turnaround trap, GST penalty stocks, pledged promoter shares, EduInvesting

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