At a Glance
Reliance Power has risen like a phoenix — or more like a magician pulling rabbits (read: “other income”) out of a SEBI-compliant hat. From negative profits to sudden ₹3,000 Cr “income”, the stock is up 1,000%+ from COVID lows. But is the power real, or just electricity in the books?
⚡️ TL;DR
- 💥 Stock is up >1000% from ₹3 lows in 2020 to ₹63 in 2025
- ⚰️ FY20-FY24: Continuous losses, no dividend, and negative ROEs
- ⚖️ FY25: Surprise ₹2,948 Cr profit… but ₹3,905 Cr of it is other income 😬
- ⚡ Power capacity = 5,945 MW (mostly thermal), but execution has lagged
- 🔋 Renewables push: 500 MW in Bhutan + 350 MW in India under NU Energies
- 🧾 Book Value: ₹40.7 | CMP: ₹63.6 → 1.56x P/B, fair for power cos
- 🔄 Debt reduced from ₹30,000 Cr+ to ₹15,153 Cr in 5 years
- 🚩 Still 0% dividend, negative average ROE over 5 years
🕯️ Reliance Power: The Zombie That Refused to Die
Once a poster boy of Anil Ambani’s empire, RPower was dead money for a decade. Losses mounted. Power projects stalled. Investors cried.
And then… suddenly… in FY25:
₹2,948 Cr net profit.
₹3,905 Cr “other income”.
Coincidence? Surely not.
It’s as if CA firm said: “Beta, kuch toh karna padega!”
📊 Financials: Real Power or Excel Power?
Metric | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (₹ Cr) | 7,934 | 7,503 | 7,514 | 7,893 | 7,583 |
Operating Profit (₹ Cr) | 3,575 | 2,735 | 1,886 | 1,160 | 2,108 |
Net Profit (₹ Cr) | 454 | -915 | -403 | -2,068 | 2,948 |
Other Income (₹ Cr) | 486 | 192 | 1,296 | 499 | 3,905 |
ROE | 0.82% | -2.84% | -1.26% | -5.15% | 7.34%* |
EPS (₹) | 0.82 | -2.84 | -1.26 | -5.15 | 7.34 |
* ROE helped entirely by one-time “other income”
Verdict?
If Other Income was a power source, Reliance Power could light up the Moon.
🧨 Projects, Debt & Reality Check
- Installed capacity: 5,945 MW (5,760 MW thermal, 185 MW renewable)
- Debt reduction: From ₹30,000+ Cr in FY15 to ₹15,153 Cr in FY25
- Bhutan solar: ₹2,000 Cr investment — biggest FDI in Bhutan history
- NU Energies (subsidiary): Winning solar + battery storage bids
- But actual revenue growth? Flat. 5-year CAGR: 0%
- Power output hasn’t matched project announcements yet.
🤡 So What’s This “Other Income”?
- ₹3,905 Cr in FY25
- More than 50% of FY25 total income
- Company hasn’t fully broken down the source yet
(Sale of assets? Debt restructuring? Accounting gains? All probable.)
Basically, the company made more money off the grid than from power generation.
🧑🏫 Promoter Drama & Shareholding
Stakeholder | Mar 2020 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2025 |
---|---|---|---|
Promoter | 25.0% | 23.2% | 24.98% |
FIIs | 3.5% | 13.0% | 12.87% |
DIIs | 0.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
Public | 71.5% | 58.8% | 58.9% |
- Retail janta loves RPower again 💕
- No major FPOs or new capital infusion yet
- Small cap index darling? Or sitting duck?
🎯 Fair Value Range
Let’s give it a stab — assuming some sane valuation logic.
- Current P/B: 1.56x
- Power sector avg: ~1.2x for thermal-heavy players
- Book Value: ₹40.7
🧮 Fair Value Range = ₹45 – ₹55, assuming stable ops and no “magical income”
Stock’s at ₹63.6 → slightly overvalued, unless solar pipeline delivers fast.
🚨 Red Flags Investors Can’t Ignore
- 🧾 Operating profit down 60% from FY21
- 📉 Revenues flat since 2015
- 💣 Profits have been one-time gains, not core performance
- 🧂 No dividend in 15+ years
- 📉 Negative 10-year ROE
- 😮 Other income accounts for more than 100% of FY25 PAT
🌈 So… Multibagger or Mirage?
✅ Why Bulls are Excited:
- Solar pivot + clean energy push
- Fewer write-offs recently
- Debt shrinking, balance sheet improving
- Cheap stock when compared to Adani Green/JSW Energy
❌ Why Bears Are Growling:
- Growth missing in action
- Core operations weak
- Profit spike = mostly financial engineering
- Solar projects not yet operational
🧠 EduTake
RPower is no longer the bankrupt beast it once was. But it’s not quite the renewable rockstar either. For now, it’s a halfway house — stuck between redemption and rerating.
If solar bets convert, it might power up again.
If not, the fuse might blow… again.
✍️ Written by Prashant | 📅 June 22, 2025
Tags: Reliance Power, Anil Ambani, Solar Projects, NU Energies, Other Income, Power Stocks, PSU vs Private Power, Renewable Energy, Bhutan Solar FDI, Indian Smallcap Stocks