Is Amara Raja Running on Gigafactory Dreams or Just Hot Air?”

Is Amara Raja Running on Gigafactory Dreams or Just Hot Air?”

At a Glance (50 words)
Amara Raja Energy & Mobility’s lead-acid battery AUM has jumped from ₹6,839 cr in FY20 to ₹12,405 cr in FY25, PAT rose from ₹661 cr to ₹964 cr, working-capital days shrank to 41, and ROCE sits at 17%. Trading at P/E≈20 and P/B≈2.4 across auto and telecom segments, is its spark still bright today?


1️⃣ TL;DR ⚡

  • AUM & Profits: Asset base grew 81% in 5 years; PAT +46%
  • Margins & Returns: OPM eased from 16%→13%; ROCE steady at 17%
  • Balance Sheet: Net-debt near zero; WC days compressed from 62→41
  • Dividend & Yield: ₹20/sh payout; 1.0% yield
  • Valuation: Trades at P/E 20.2, P/B 2.4 vs peer median P/E ~27, P/B ~1.5
  • Fair-Value Range: ₹252–₹328 (P/B model)
  • Verdict: ★★★☆ business, ★★★ valuation, ★★★☆ growth spark

2️⃣ Business Snapshot 🏭

AspectDetail
CoreLead-acid batteries (96% of revenues)
SegmentsAutomotive (Amaron, Powerzone), Industrial VRLA (telecom, UPS, railways)
GeographyIndia + exports to 50+ countries
ScaleAUM ↑ from ₹6,839 cr (FY20) → ₹12,405 cr (FY25)
ClientsMaruti, Tata, Hyundai, Airtel, Indian Railways, Indus Tower
EdgeProprietary battery chemistry, deep OEM ties, backward integration in key inputs
New Energy Push₹1,200 cr capex in gigafactory; Li-ion JV on the horizon

Amara Raja’s moat is its Amaron brand recall—“Amaron kya?” is virtually battery-speak for “best in class.”


3️⃣ Five-Year Scorecard 🔋

Metric / FYFY20FY21FY22FY23FY24FY255-yr CAGR
AUM / Sales6,8397,1508,69610,39011,26012,40515%
OPM %16%16%12%14%14%13%
PBT (₹ cr)8736909971,2111,2991,2999%
PAT (₹ cr)6615117319069649648%
ROCE %22%16%20%19%19%17%
ROE %38%29%25%23%23%12.5%
WC Days625552625141
Net Debt(Net cash)(Net cash)(Net cash)201153258

Narrative: AUM nearly doubled; profits climbed in four of five years. Margins dipped on raw-material volatility, but a net-debt-free sheet and working-capital control underpin credit strength.


4️⃣ Meet the KMP 🧑‍💼

  • Mr. A. SrinivasanChairman & MD, veteran of ARBL since ’93
  • Mr. S. ShivakumarCEO & Joint MD, driving gigafactory strategy
  • Mr. S. SankaranCFO, steers treasury, IR, and capital allocation
  • Ms. A. RadhikaCompany Secretary & Compliance Head

No headline-grabbing celebrity execs—just seasoned leaders who keep the power flowing.


5️⃣ Green Flags 🌱 vs Red Flags 🔴

✅ Green Flags

  • Strong Brand Power: Amaron #1 aftermarket battery in India
  • Net-Debt Zero: Financial flexibility for capex push
  • Working-Capital Efficiency: WC days down to 41 from 62
  • Dividend Consistency: ≥15% payout for 5 years

🔴 Red Flags

  • Margin Pressure: OPM slipped from 16%→13%
  • ROE Compression: 38% → 12.5% (FY25) on equity base reset
  • Other Income Variability: ₹204 cr in FY25 vs ₹27 cr in FY23
  • Execution Risk: Gigafactory capex ₹1,200 cr could strain near term

6️⃣ Peer Positioning ⚖️

CompanyP/EP/BROCE %ROE %WC Days
Amara Raja Ener.20.22.41712.541
Exide Ind.17.92.21915.452
Luminous Power354.0141058
HBL Power251.812972
Median Battery Peers262.6151255

Amara Raja trades slightly below peers on P/E and P/B, despite sharper ROCE and cleaner balance sheet.


7️⃣ Fair-Value (FV) Range 🧮

Using the P/B model:Justified P/B=ROE–gr–g\text{Justified P/B} = \frac{\text{ROE} – g}{r – g}Justified P/B=r–gROE–g​

  • ROE: 12.5%
  • r (Cost of Equity): 14%
  • g (Growth): Bull 6%, Base 8%, Bear 10%
  • BV: ₹403
ScenariogP/BFV (₹)
Bull6%(12.5–6)/(14–6)=0.8125₹328
Base8%(12.5–8)/(14–8)=0.75₹302
Bear10%(12.5–10)/(14–10)=0.625₹252

Fair-Value Range: ₹252 – ₹328
At ₹970, the stock is priced for perfection in gigafactory payoffs and margin rebounds.


🏁 EduInvesting Verdict

“Amara Raja’s lead-acid legacy powers on with strong brand pull and a squeaky-clean balance sheet. But margin fade, a massive capex binge, and a big rerate baked into ₹970 raise the stakes. Only deep conviction in its gigafactory and Li-ion pivot should tempt long bets—otherwise, wait for a shock to spark a pullback.”

Tags: Amara Raja, lead-acid batteries, 5-year recap, gigafactory, fair-value, P/B valuation, EduInvesting

✍️ Written by Prashant | 📅 22 June 2025Tools

Prashant Marathe

https://eduinvesting.in

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