Q3 FY26 Concall · January 17, 2026
RBL Bank Q3 FY26
Concall Decoded:
₹214 Cr Profit. Secured Assets At 30% Growth. But Credit Cards Are Still A Dumpster Fire.
The bank posted a quarterly PAT of ₹214 crore—up 555% YoY (thanks, low base)—but don’t pop the champagne yet. Credit card slippages remain elevated, Emirates NBD merger approvals are pending, and the management is basically saying “trust the process” on NPA recovery. Spoiler: the recovery is real, just painstakingly slow.
Q3 PAT₹214 Cr
Stock Price₹304
P/E Ratio28.4x
ROE4.57%
Advances Growth14% YoY
01 — Opening Hook
RBL Bank Just Told Analysts It Will Take 2 More Quarters For Credit Cards To Stop Bleeding
Remember when RBL Bank was India’s next big retail banking disruptor? Now it’s the bank that keeps telling investors “trust us, the cards business will normalize soon” while simultaneously taking massive provisions and admitting entire geographic pin codes are still dumpsters of defaults. Net profit is up 555% YoY, but that’s mostly because the base was a disaster (₹33 crore in Q3 FY25 was basically a rounding error). Real earnings power? Still rebuilding. Management is executing on secured retail (growing at 25-30%, now profitable!), expanding branches like a man possessed (600 by March exit, 800 by next March), and waiting for the Emirates NBD capital infusion to unlock growth. But card slippages? That’s the Sword of Damocles hanging over every analyst call.
The real story isn’t Q3’s profit. It’s the management’s brutal honesty: cards peak in June 2026, then improve. New originations are 99.5% collectible. And they’re done chasing volume—now it’s all about unit economics. Read on, because the turnaround is real, but the valuations haven’t caught up to the execution risk. Yet.
02 — At a Glance
The Numbers: Profit Up 555%, But Read The Fine Print
- Q3 Revenue₹3,667 Cr
- QoQ Growth+3.69%
- Net Interest Margin4.63%
- NIM Sequential Growth+12 bps
- Cost-to-Income Ratio66.3%
- GNPA1.88%
- GNPA Improvement-45 bps QoQ
- Net NPA0.55%
- Advances Growth (YoY)14%
- Credit Cost64 bps
The Raw Truth: Q3 PAT of ₹214 crore looks good on paper until you remember Q3 FY25 was a ₹33 crore demolition derby. Sequentially, profit is up 20% from Q2’s ₹179 crore—now that’s real. NIM expanded 12 bps to 4.63% thanks to CRR cuts and deposit repricing, but the full impact of the 25 bps December repo cut will hit Q4. Secured retail assets grew 25% YoY, unsecured finally stopped the bleeding with 1% sequential growth, and the wholesale commercial banking grew 30%. But JLG and credit cards combined threw ₹669 crore in slippages in a single quarter. That’s the real story.
03 — Management’s Key Commentary
What The Concall Revealed (Plus Our Sarcastic Translation)
“Our retail secured businesses as a cohort have now turned profitable at the operating level. And as scale builds, we expect operating leverage to progressively translate into improved performance.”
💡 Translation: We finally stopped losing money on gold loans, housing loans, and LAP. The bleeding has stopped. Now we’re in the “maybe we’ll make money next year” phase of the business maturity curve.
“The credit card slippages continue to be slightly elevated, and we expect this trend to continue for 2 more quarters. The good part is that we are quite confident of where we see this resolutions improving.”
😏 Translation: Peak pain in June 2026. Then it gets better. We think. The “slight elevation” is actually ₹539 crore a quarter, which is roughly 1/3 of our total quarterly slippages. Slight like a sledgehammer to the kneecaps is slight.
“Our wholly owned subsidiary, RFL, as a sourcing channel for affordable housing and small business loans is now gaining traction and has the potential to become a meaningful contributor.”
🎯 Translation: We’re using our 1,300 RFL touchpoints to sell secured loans to customers Bajaj doesn’t have. It’s basically a geographic arbitrage play. Expected to be “meaningful” by FY27. Maybe. If the collection infrastructure doesn’t implode.
“With the capital, with an expansion of footprint, naturally, it has to be much above the 25% what you’re talking about, another 10%. So the growth is something which is given and assured.”
📊 Translation: Emirates NBD capital will arrive in Q1 FY27 (pending RBI/CCI/SEBI approvals—all very speedy in government transactions). Post-capital, growth will accelerate from current 25% to 35%. They’re “assured” of this, which in banking parlance means “we hope so, but LCR ratios are capricious.”
“We have adopted a calibrated approach to deposit repricing, including savings account rates and remain confident of continuing this gradual normalization in a measured manner.”
🏦 Translation: We cut savings rates from 6.5% to 6% because we’re tired of paying money to people who just park cash. Deposits were being bid away by ICICI and Axis at higher rates. Now we’re clawing back. The “measured manner” part is code for “we won’t get murdered on customer attrition if we time this right.”
04 — Numbers Decoded
The Actual Math Behind The Concall Chaos