KEC International Ltd: Global EPC Giant’s Towering Ambitions or Valuation Overreach?

KEC International Ltd: Global EPC Giant’s Towering Ambitions or Valuation Overreach?

🟢 At a Glance
A flagship of the RPG Group, KEC International delivers turnkey EPC solutions across power T&D, railways, civil, solar, oil & gas pipelines and cables. With a ₹21,847 Cr topline in FY24 (10% 5-yr CAGR) and ₹571 Cr PAT in FY25, it trades at 42× trailing EPS, banking on a ₹2.7 B order win pipeline—but margin swings and working-cap cycles raise risks.


About the Company

  • Incorporated: 1945 (as Kamani Engineering)
  • Listed: 1992 (BSE: 532714, NSE: KEC)
  • Headquarters: Mumbai
  • Business Verticals:
    • Power Transmission & Distribution (40% FY25 revenues)
    • Railways & Metro Systems (15%)
    • Civil & Urban Infrastructure (17%)
    • Solar EPC (10%)
    • Oil & Gas Pipelines (8%)
    • Cables & Conductors (10%)
  • Global Footprint: 100+ countries across Asia-Pacific, Africa, Middle East & Americas
  • Order Book: ₹22,500 Cr as of Q1 FY26; targeting 1.0× sales cover

Key Managerial Personnel (KMP)

  • Mr. Harsh V. Goenka – Chairman
    Visionary oversight as head of RPG Group.
  • Mr. Vimal Kejriwal – Managing Director & CEO
    Steers global operations and integration of digital execution tools.
  • Mr. Rajeev Aggarwal – Chief Financial Officer
    Manages debt mix, hedging, and investor relations.
  • Mr. Milind Apte – Chief Human Resources Officer
    Leads talent strategy for 40,000+ workforce.
  • Mr. Suraj Eksambekar – Company Secretary
    Ensures compliance with SEBI/LODR norms.

Key Financials (Consolidated)

MetricFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue (₹ Cr)13,74217,28219,91421,84722,180
EBITDA (₹ Cr)1,0019201,3531,5041,504
EBITDA Margin7.3%5.3%6.8%6.9%6.8%
Net Profit (₹ Cr)332176347571571
EPS (₹)12.926.8513.4921.4421.44
ROCE / ROE14% / 13%12% / 14%16% / 15%16% / 12%16% / 12%
Net D/E (x)0.860.910.990.750.75
Working-Cap Days10184919898

Strategic Events & Business Triggers

  • SAE Towers Acquisition (2010): Cemented leadership in steel lattice towers.
  • Cables Merger: Brought downstream integration, capturing cable-margin.
  • Digital Rollout: Deployed BIM and ERP across sites, cutting cost overruns by ~5%.
  • Order Wins: ₹2,211 Cr fresh EPC orders in June 2025 across T&D, pipelines & cables.
  • Renewables Pivot: Solar EPC capacity target 2 GW by FY27; first 500 MW booked.
  • Green Finance: ₹500 Cr Green Bonds in 2024 funding clean-energy projects.

⚖️ Fair Value Estimate

  • Assume FY26 EPS +10% → ₹23.6
  • Target PE: 20–24× (peer average 18–32×)
  • Implied Price: ₹472 – ₹567
  • CMP: ₹901 implies lofty 38× FY26 EPS

📌 EduInvesting Take

KEC is a bellwether EPC play with:

  • 🌍 Global diversification hedging India cycle
  • 🏗️ Multi-vertical strength from T&D to pipelines
  • 💹 Healthy order book sustaining 10% sales CAGR

Yet, at 42× trailing EPS:

  • 🔴 Profit volatility (FY22 dip vs. FY25 peak)
  • 🔴 Working-cap drag (~98 days tying ₹600 Cr)
  • 🔴 Execution risk on mega projects

Buy only on dips to ₹800 (35×) or on clear evidence of order-book scaling to ₹30,000 Cr+.


🚩 Risks & Red Flags

  • Order-inflow Cyclicality: Volatile award cycles can dent margins
  • Input-cost Inflation: Steel/cement volatility hits contracts
  • Forex Exposure: INR swings affect 50% export revenues
  • Execution Delays: Time/cost overruns could compress 7% EBITDA buffer
  • High Valuation: 42× EPS factors in perfect execution

Final Word

KEC International towers over peers in scale and diversification—but the valuation bar is sky-high. A pragmatic entry around ₹800–₹850 or after a demonstrable uptick in order-book momentum is prudent.


✍️ Author: Prashant Marathe
📅 Date: June 17, 2025
Tags: kec international, epc, transmission towers, renewables, rpg group, global infrastructure, order book, valuation, working capital

Prashant Marathe

https://eduinvesting.in

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