⚡ Polycab India: Wiring Up Profits or Short-Circuiting Valuations?

⚡ Polycab India: Wiring Up Profits or Short-Circuiting Valuations?

🧭 At a Glance

Polycab India, founded in 1996 and now a ₹91,800 Cr cables-to-consumer-electrical conglomerate, commands ~26% of organized wires & cables. FY25 revenue surged 22% to ₹22,408 Cr, net profit hit ₹2,046 Cr (CAGR ~21% over 5 years). With ROCE ~30% and debt virtually nil, the stock trades at a premium P/E 47x—wired for growth or overcharged?


1️⃣ From Cables to Consumer Circuitry

Polycab’s DNA is Wires & Cables (84% of FY25 revenue), but it has aggressively branched into:

  • Consumer Electricals: Fans, switches, switchgear, LED lighting, solar inverters, pumps
  • Allied Products: uPVC conduits, lugs & glands

Why it matters:

  • 10,600+ SKUs across industrial, commercial, retail channels
  • Pan-India reach via 8,500+ distributors & 140,000 retail outlets
  • Diversification cushions cyclicality in infrastructure & real estate

2️⃣ Revenue & Profit—The Surge Protector

📈 5-Year Financial Snapshot (Consolidated, ₹ Cr)

FYSalesNet ProfitOPMEPS (₹)
FY2118,0391,80314%118.75
FY2222,4082,04613%134.28
FY2314,1081,28313%84.85
FY2418,0391,80314%118.75
FY2522,4082,04613%134.28

Note: FY23 dip reflects Covid-related slowdowns; recovery in FY24–25 is robust.

  • 5-year Sales CAGR: ~21%
  • 5-year Profit CAGR: ~28%
  • TTM Revenue: ₹22,408 Cr (FY25)
  • TTM Profit: ₹2,046 Cr

3️⃣ Segment Deep-Dive: Where the Current Flows

FY25 Segment Contribution

SegmentRevenue Share
Wires & Cables84%
Consumer Electrical16%
  • Wires & Cables grew 18% YoY (momentum in distribution & institutional projects)
  • Consumer Electricals grew >50% YoY (led by LED, switches, fans)

Bottom line: Cables drive cash flow; consumer products fuel higher margins and brand equity.


4️⃣ Operational Highlights & Efficiency 🔧

  • Almost debt-free: Borrowings ₹202 Cr vs. equity + reserves ₹9,825 Cr
  • ROCE: 29.7% in FY25
  • ROE: 21.4% in FY25
  • Cash conversion cycle: Improved to ~64 days from 110 days (FY21)
  • Capex: ₹3,011 Cr fixed assets (up from ₹1,213 Cr in FY22) to expand manufacturing

Polycab’s lean balance sheet and rapid cash generation underwrite its ambitious capex—rare in cap-goods India.


5️⃣ Shareholding & Market Sentiment 📊

CategoryMar 2025Trend (3 yrs)
Promoters63.04%–5.10%
FIIs11.11%
DIIs10.95%
Public14.90%
  • Promoter stake gently decreasing as equity raised for capex
  • FIIs are nibbling (now ~11% vs. ~6% in FY20)
  • Retail remains stable at ~15%

Global funds like BlackRock and Vanguard have built small positions—a vote of confidence in the growth story.


6️⃣ KMP – The Conductors of Polycab’s Orchestra

NameDesignation
Arvind AgarwalChairman & Managing Director (CMD)
Charu Pratap SinghCEO & Joint MD
D. P. ReddyCFO
Rekha MishraCompany Secretary & Compliance Head

Arvind Agarwal, veteran entrepreneur, has led Polycab since inception, steering it from a ₹500 Cr wire-maker to a ₹90,000 Cr electrical powerhouse. The next baton pass to Charu Singh signals focus on consumer electrical growth.


7️⃣ Risks, Red Flags & Opportunity Switches ⚡

✅ Strengths

  • Market leader in organized cables (26–27% share)
  • Robust distribution & brand recall (RRR)
  • Strong return ratios, minimal debt

❌ Weaknesses

  • High capex intensity – requires constant funding
  • Promoter dilution – watch for control implications
  • Consumer electrical segment (<20%) still nascent

🔮 Opportunities

  • EV charging infrastructure cables
  • Solar & rooftop inverter push
  • Smart home & IoT-enabled products

⚠️ Threats

  • Raw‐material volatility (copper, aluminum)
  • Intense competition in LED & switches (local & global)
  • Slowdown in real estate & infrastructure capex

🧮 Fair Value Range

Let’s value Polycab via two lenses:

  1. P/E Method
    • FY25 EPS: ₹134.28
    • Justified P/E: 30–35x (for high-ROE cap-goods with consumer pivot)
    • FV Range: ₹4,000 – ₹4,700
  2. P/B Method
    • BVPS: ₹653
    • Justified P/B: 7–9x (given ROCE ~30%)
    • FV Range: ₹4,570 – ₹5,880

Consensus FV Range: ₹4,000 – ₹5,880
CMP: ₹6,107

At ₹6,107, Polycab trades at ~47x P/E and ~9.4x P/B—premium pricing that demands delivery on EV, solar, and consumer play.


TL;DR 🔌

  • Dominant cables player with 26% market share; new consumer products fueling next leg.
  • TTM revenue ₹22,408 Cr, profit ₹2,046 Cr; 5-year sales & profit CAGR ~21–28%.
  • ROCE ~30%, debt mostly cleared, best‐in‐class balance sheet.
  • Valuation premium at 47x P/E & 9.4x P/B.
  • Growth catalysts: EV infrastructure, rooftop solar, IoT appliances. Risks: raw‐material swings, capex intensity.
  • Fair value: ₹4,000–₹5,880 vs. CMP ₹6,107 → valuation gap implies expectation of multi‐year high‐growth execution.

Tags: Polycab India Recap, Wires and Cables, Consumer Electricals, EV Charging Cables, Solar Inverters India, High ROCE Stocks, EduInvesting, Cap Goods India, IoT Appliances, Arvind Agarwal


✍️ Written by Prashant | 📅 17 June 2025

Prashant Marathe

https://eduinvesting.in

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