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Upsurge Investment & Finance Ltd Q3 FY26 – ₹8.99 Cr Revenue, 51% Profit Crash, 25.6% ROCE… Is This NBFC Investing or Just Trading Shares?


1. At a Glance – The ₹159 Cr Mini-Finance That Looks More Like a Stock Trader

₹159 crore market cap. Current price ₹79.1. P/E 16.2. ROCE 25.6%. ROE 20.4%. Debt-to-equity 0.23. Sounds respectable, right?

Now here’s the masala:

Latest quarterly revenue? ₹8.99 crore.
Quarterly PAT? ₹0.85 crore.
Quarterly profit down 51.7%.
Sales down 49.2%.
Stock return in 1 year? -39.2%.

And yet, 5-year sales CAGR stands at 38% and profit CAGR at 42%.

So what is happening here?

Is this a disciplined small NBFC compounding quietly?
Or is it a portfolio-driven, market-sensitive operator riding equity cycles?

Upsurge Investment & Finance Ltd is not your regular lending behemoth. It’s a Non-Systemically Important, Non-Deposit Taking NBFC. Translation? Small, nimble, and not tightly regulated like the big boys.

This one funds SMEs, advises on capital, and—very importantly—earns 86% of its revenue from sale of shares and securities.

Yes. An NBFC whose revenue primarily comes from trading/investing in equities.

Curious? You should be.


2. Introduction – NBFC or Portfolio Manager in Disguise?

Incorporated in 1996, Upsurge Investment & Finance Ltd (UIFL) operates in fund-based financing activity.

But if you think this is another Bajaj Finance-style lending engine, pause.

This is a Non-Systematically Important NBFC. That means:

  • No public deposits
  • Smaller regulatory footprint
  • Focused operations

UIFL provides:

  • Corporate advisory
  • Business strategy
  • Institutional & syndicated financing
  • Financial advisory
  • Retail financing

Sounds like a boutique investment banker + lender hybrid.

But the real twist lies in the revenue breakup.

FY23 revenue composition:

  • Sale of shares & securities: 86%
  • Interest income: 5%
  • Dividend income: 2%
  • Net gain on fair value change: 6%

So technically, yes, they are a finance company.

Practically? They are heavily dependent on capital market performance.

When markets rally, they look like geniuses.
When markets correct, earnings shrink faster than IPO allotments.

Now ask yourself — do you want exposure to a lending book… or a smallcap equity trading engine?


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Let’s decode this like a forensic accountant with a cup of cutting chai.

UIFL’s core activities:

1. Corporate Advisory

Helping SMEs structure capital, raise funds, and possibly list.

2. Institutional & Syndicated Financing

Arranging funding from institutions.

3. Retail Financing

Traditional lending.

4. Investment Activities

Buying and selling equity securities.

Now here’s the key insight:

Loan disbursement in FY23 = ₹3.87 crore.
And that was 77% lower than FY22.

Quoted equity investments stood at ₹13.41 crore in FY23.

So lending activity shrank.
Equity investments remain meaningful.

This business model is closer to:

  • A mini investment holding company
  • A capital allocator
  • A financing intermediary

Instead of earning steady interest margins like large NBFCs, they are exposed to market cycles.

Which means earnings volatility is built into the DNA.

Question for you:
Would you prefer predictable EMI collections or mark-to-market drama?


4. Financials Overview – The Quarterly Reality Check

EPS:
Jun 2025: ₹3.83
Sep 2025: ₹0.47
Dec 2025: ₹0.42

Average = (3.83 + 0.47 + 0.42) / 3 = ₹1.57 approx
Annualised EPS = ₹1.57 × 4 = ₹6.28 approx

Current Price = ₹79.1

Recalculated P/E = 79.1 / 6.28 ≈ 12.6

(Notice how this differs from trailing P/E of 16.2 because earnings momentum has slowed.)

Quarterly Performance Table (₹ Crores)

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