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🎒 Nicco Parks & Resorts Ltd Q3 FY26: Sales Crash 30%, Profit Down 81%, Yet ROCE 28% β€” Is Kolkata’s Disneyland Having a Hangover?


1. At a Glance – Roller Coaster or Slow Carousel?

Nicco Parks & Resorts Ltd is currently trading at β‚Ή72.8 with a market cap of β‚Ή341 crore. In the last 3 months, the stock has quietly slipped 15.4%, and over 1 year it has fallen nearly 39.5%. That’s not a thrill ride β€” that’s motion sickness.

The company reports a Stock P/E of 46.6 while the industry median stands at 43.2. ROCE is a handsome 28.2%, ROE at 21.8%, debt-to-equity is zero (yes, zero), and dividend yield sits at 1.65%. On paper, this is a debt-free amusement business throwing decent returns.

But wait.

Latest quarterly sales came at β‚Ή13.2 crore, down 30.2% YoY. Quarterly PAT? β‚Ή0.92 crore β€” down 81.1%.

So what is happening? Is the water park drying up? Or is seasonality playing villain?

Let’s open the gate, buy a ticket, and take the ride.


2. Introduction – Eastern India’s Disneyland, Without the Disney Valuation

Established in 1989, Nicco Parks was Eastern India’s first theme-based amusement park. Located in Kolkata across 40 acres, it was built with technical advice from Blackpool Leisure and Amusement Consultancy Ltd, UK.

It is a joint venture between Nicco Corporation and the Government of West Bengal, represented by WBIDC and WBTDC.

Translation?

This isn’t a startup run from a garage. It’s a semi-government-backed entertainment machine.

In FY23, the park recorded 14.45 lakh visitors:

  • 6.16 lakh at the waterpark
  • 5.79 lakh at the main park

The business isn’t just rides. It includes:

  • Retail merchandising
  • Food & beverages
  • Consultancy for other amusement parks
  • Manufacturing and supplying rides

This is basically: β€œCome scream on a roller coaster, then we’ll sell you popcorn and engineering consultancy.”

But here’s the twist.

The business boomed post-COVID (FY23, FY24). FY25 and TTM numbers suggest cooling momentum. Profit growth TTM: -70%.

Is this normalization? Or is this a warning sign?

Let’s dig deeper.


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Nicco Parks earns revenue from multiple streams:

FY23 Revenue Mix:

  • Entry Fees – 17%
  • Rides & Games – 50%
  • Licence Fees – 5%
  • Recreational Facilities – 9%
  • Food & Beverages – 6%
  • Traded Goods – 9%
  • Other Income – 3%

Segment-wise FY23:

  • Park Operations – 83%
  • F&B & Recreational – 16%
  • Consultancy & Ride Components – 1%

So 83% of revenue depends on people physically showing up.

This is not SaaS.
This is not digital.
This is β€œweather, school holidays, and mood of Bengal”.

The company also provides consultancy and has set up 7 amusement/water parks in India and 1 in Bangladesh.

But that segment contributes just 1%.

So let’s be clear.

This is fundamentally a Kolkata-based footfall-driven business.

Question for you: If one weak tourist season hits, what happens to earnings?

Exactly.


4. Financials Overview – The Numbers Don’t Lie (But They Scream)

Q1 EPS: β‚Ή2.32
Q2 EPS: β‚Ή1.02
Q3 EPS: β‚Ή0.20

Average = (2.32 + 1.02 + 0.20) / 3 = β‚Ή1.18
Annualised EPS = β‚Ή1.18 Γ— 4 = β‚Ή4.72

Let’s compare quarterly:

MetricLatest Qtr (Dec 2025)YoY (Dec 2024)Prev Qtr (Sep 2025)YoY %QoQ %
Revenueβ‚Ή13.20 Crβ‚Ή18.91 Crβ‚Ή11.50 Cr-30.2%14.8%
EBITDA-β‚Ή0.25 Crβ‚Ή5.10 Cr-β‚Ή0.24 CrNANA
PATβ‚Ή0.92 Crβ‚Ή4.86 Crβ‚Ή0.24 Cr-81.1%283%
EPS (β‚Ή)0.201.040.05-80.8%300%

EBITDA went negative.
PAT collapsed 81%.
Sales down 30%.

Yet stock P/E = 46.6.

At CMP β‚Ή72.8 and annualised EPS β‚Ή4.72:

Recalculated P/E = 72.8 / 4.72 = 15.4

Now that’s interesting.

The reported P/E uses TTM EPS β‚Ή0.29 (post sharp decline). But normalized annualised EPS tells a different story.

So which one is reality?
Are we in a temporary slump or structural decline?


5. Valuation Discussion – Fair Value Range

1️ P/E Method

Assume reasonable sector P/E range: 20–30
Annualised EPS = β‚Ή4.72

Fair Value Range =
β‚Ή4.72 Γ— 20 = β‚Ή94
β‚Ή4.72 Γ— 30 = β‚Ή142

2️ EV/EBITDA

Enterprise Value = β‚Ή298 Cr
EV/EBITDA = 13.1

Assuming EBITDA normalizes to β‚Ή21–25 Cr annually (FY25 operating profit β‚Ή21.71 Cr):

Fair EV Range at 10–15x = β‚Ή217 – β‚Ή375 Cr

After adjusting negligible debt, equity value range roughly β‚Ή217 – β‚Ή375 Cr
Per share range approximates β‚Ή46 – β‚Ή80

3️ DCF (Conservative)

Assume:

  • Growth 5–8%
  • Discount rate 12–14%
  • Stable margins

DCF implied range lands roughly between β‚Ή60 – β‚Ή110

Final Fair Value Range:

β‚Ή60 – β‚Ή140

This fair value range is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.


6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers & Drama

Recent events:

  • New Chairman appointed: Mr. Barun Kumar Ray (Feb 2026)
  • Rahul
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