1. At a Glance
Panacea Biotec Ltd — once the proud crusader in the world’s war against Polio — is currently fighting its own war against profitability. The ₹2,110 crore market cap company, priced at ₹345 a share, has delivered a three-month return of-15.4%, six-month return of-34.8%, and an annual return of-16.6%. The stock’s fall has been faster than a child avoiding vaccines at a rural camp.
ItsRevenue for Q2 FY26 stood at ₹141 crore, down4.22% QoQ, andProfit After Tax (PAT)came in at a depressing–₹14 crore, a staggering–905% collapsecompared to the same quarter last year. With anegative ROE of –4.92%,ROCE of –4.57%, andDebt to Equityof just0.03, the company isn’t drowning in debt — it’s drowning in its own inefficiency.
So here we are, looking at India’s “Vaccine Pioneer” that once supplied billions of oral polio doses globally… now struggling to inoculate itself against operational losses.
2. Introduction
Once upon a time, Panacea Biotec was the pride of India’s biotech story — a company that rubbed shoulders with global vaccine legends. It was part of theGlobal Polio Eradication Initiative, churning out vaccines for over50 countriesunder WHO’s nod.
Cut to FY26, the company seems to have caught a chronic case of “Profit Deficiency Syndrome.” From being the maker of India’s first fully liquidPentavalent vaccine (EasyFive)and the world’s first fully liquidHexavalent vaccine (EasySix), Panacea has shifted from “Easy” vaccines to uneasy earnings.
While its research pedigree is solid, its income statement reads like a tragicomic medical report — declining margins, inconsistent cash flow, and one too many write-backs to make the balance sheet look alive.
But let’s not be too harsh. In biotech, you can go from hero to zero faster than a PCR test result. The company’s vaccine expertise is still world-class, and global orders keep trickling in. UNICEF, PAHO, and CMSS keep calling — though maybe not as often as Panacea would like.
The question now: can Panacea vaccinate its balance sheet before investors immunize their portfolios against it?
3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?
Panacea Biotec operates across three verticals:
- Vaccines– Its crown jewel. The company makes WHO-approved vaccines likebOPV, EasyFive-TT, andEasySix, catering to UNICEF, PAHO, and national immunization programs. In FY23, vaccines contributed~56%of total revenue.
- Pharmaceutical Formulations– This segment produces branded generics inpain, diabetes, cardiovascular, oncology, renal, andosteoporosismanagement. Around44%of FY23 revenue came from this segment.
- Nutraceuticals and Food Products– Smaller but promising, focused on wellness formulations and fortified food supplements.
The company’s export business spans36 countries, including theUS, Germany, Russia, Turkey, and Vietnam. Its subsidiaryPanacea Biotec Pharma Ltdhandles international pharma exports, whilePanacea Biotec Inc.(in the US) serves as a marketing and distribution arm.
So, yes — they make vaccines, sell medicines, and occasionally a miracle happens in their other income line.
But the real kicker? Despite being “almost debt-free,” the company’s profitability has been allergic to consistency. Think of it as a doctor prescribing medicine to others while coughing in his own clinic.
4. Financials Overview
Quarterly Comparison Table (₹ crore)
| Metric | Q2 FY26 (Sep 2025) | Q2 FY25 (Sep 2024) | Q1 FY26 (Jun 2025) | YoY % | QoQ % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 141 | 147 | 167 | -4.1% | -15.6% |
| EBITDA | -18 | 7 | -1 | -357% | -1600% |
| PAT | -14 | 5 | 4 | -380% | -450% |
| EPS (₹) | -2.27 | 0.78 | 0.66 | -391% | -444% |
EBITDA has turned negative faster than a half-boiled vaccine batch. EPS has crashed from ₹0.78 to–₹2.27
in a year.
No wonder P/E is “not meaningful” — because profitability isn’t either.
5. Valuation Discussion – Fair Value Range (Educational Only)
Let’s humour the valuation math before it laughs at us.
Step 1 – P/E MethodSince EPS is negative, P/E valuation is irrelevant. But assuming normalized EPS of ₹3 (historical profitable quarters), with industry P/E of 31x, fair value ≈ ₹93 – ₹124 crore PAT → ₹300–₹370/share.
Step 2 – EV/EBITDAEV = ₹2,052 croreEBITDA (TTM) = –₹38 crore → negative, so EV/EBITDA = N/A. (Yes, investors hate this line.)
Step 3 – DCF (Assumed Educational Scenario)If cash flows revive to ₹50 crore annually with 10% growth, discount rate 12%, the fair value range lies between ₹320–₹390/share.
👉Educational Fair Value Range: ₹300 – ₹390 per share.Disclaimer: This fair value range is for educational purposes only and not investment advice.
6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama
Panacea has been busier than a vaccine lab during flu season:
- Nov 2025:AwardedUS$ 4.75 millioncontract byPAHOfor EasyFive-TT supply (CY2026–2027).
- Oct 2025:Received₹127.2 crore orderfrom CMSS for bOPV supply — delivery in 90–480 days.
- Oct 2025:UNICEFrenewed long-term bOPV contract worthUS$35.65 million(Apr 2026–Mar 2030).
- Jul 2025:Settled arbitration withApotex Inc. (Canada)— Panacea to receiveUS$5 millionand revised profit-sharing terms. Finally, some foreign currency that doesn’t come from fines!
- Jun 2025:EmulsiPan adjuvantadded toCEPI library, a big deal for biotech nerds.
- Apr 2025:AdditionalUNICEF orderforUS$5.2 millionbOPV doses.
But not all headlines were happy:
- Sep 2025:ReceivedGST show-cause noticedemanding ₹11.44 crore for corporate guarantees.
- Nov 2024:ProposedUS$20 million fundraisebacked byDFC, still awaiting closure.
Panacea’s press releases sound like a mix of

