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Nava Ltd Q2FY26 – Powering Zambia, Cooling India, and Printing Dividends Like a Boss


1. At a Glance

In a world where most power companies are still figuring out how to keep the lights on, Nava Ltd is busy electrifying an entire country (Zambia), running ferro-alloy furnaces in India, planting avocados, and running a medical clinic in Singapore. Yes, that’s all one company — a true buffet of capitalism.

At a market cap of ₹16,654 crore and a stock price of ₹573, Nava is not just a midcap; it’s a drama with quarterly plot twists. The company recently dropped its Q2FY26 results — revenue ₹964 crore and PAT ₹177.5 crore, down a spicy -48% QoQ, prompting shareholders to mumble “interim dividend ₹3/share chalo theek hai.”

Its return on equity sits at 15%, ROCE at 17.2%, and debt-to-equity ratio at a very chill 0.20. While many peers are sweating under high leverage, Nava’s debt is slimming down faster than a New Year resolution — from ₹3,587 crore in FY22 to ₹684 crore by H1FY25.

And here’s the punchline: a company that once got dragged into the coal scam now powers 10% of Zambia’s electricity. From ED raids to boardroom dividends — that’s what we call a glow-up.


2. Introduction

Imagine a power company that also mines coal, smelts manganese, grows avocados, and treats iron deficiency in humans. No, this isn’t a government PSU with an identity crisis — it’s Nava Ltd.

Born in 1972 as a humble ferro-alloys manufacturer in Andhra Pradesh, Nava Bharat Ventures evolved into a multinational power and metals group that operates across India, Southeast Asia, and Africa. Today, its subsidiaries run everything from Zambia’s largest coal mine (Maamba Collieries Ltd) to a Singapore-based medical clinic.

The company’s diversification strategy can be described as “throw everything at the wall and see what sticks.” Surprisingly, most of it has stuck. Its energy division contributes 75% of revenue, followed by ferro alloys at 19%, mining at 6%, and healthcare and agriculture — the sideshows — making up the rest.

While Indian operations churn steady merchant power and alloy exports, its Zambian empire is the real showstopper. The Maamba Power Plant supplies 10% of Zambia’s power needs and has already brought in $328 million from a successful arbitration case with the national utility ZESCO.

Nava’s transformation is a case study in how an Indian industrialist’s passport can stretch from Paloncha to Lusaka. But every success comes with a hangover — PAT declined this quarter, showing that even the most diversified conglomerate can’t escape the cyclicality of metals and power tariffs.

Still, the company is minting money, handing out dividends like Diwali sweets, and setting up avocado farms in Africa — because why settle for coal when you can also grow guacamole?


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Let’s decode this business because, frankly, it sounds like someone mixed NTPC, Tata Steel, and an organic farm startup in one blender.

Segment 1: Energy (75% of revenue)
The crown jewel. Nava runs 434 MW of thermal power across India and manages Zambia’s 300 MW coal-based power plant via Maamba Collieries Ltd. Over 70% of its Indian power output is tied up in long-term PPAs, providing predictable cash flows.

  • PLF in India: 77.7% (up from 65.7% YoY).
  • PLF in Zambia: 92.2% (up from 89.5%).

So, while Indian peers pray for grid stability, Nava is squeezing every megawatt it can out of its boilers. And they’re not done yet — a new 300 MW expansion in Zambia worth $400 million is in the works.

Segment 2: Ferro Alloys (19%)
If energy is the heart, ferro alloys are the biceps. The company operates plants in Telangana and Odisha producing manganese and silicon alloys. However, FY25 saw a -5% YoY revenue decline thanks to lower realizations and maintenance shutdowns.
Production dropped to 51,610 tons vs. 59,431 last year — a slowdown that metallurgists would call “Monday.”

Segment 3: Mining (6%)
The mining arm owns Zambia’s largest coal reserve (193 million tons, SAMREC certified). External sales are picking up, with a plan to hit 40,000 tons per month by FY26. If Zambia needs it dug, Nava’s probably got a shovel in it.

Segment 4: Others – Healthcare & Agriculture
Here’s where the plot thickens. Through Tiash Pte. Ltd, Nava runs The Iron Suites — a Singapore medical clinic specializing in IV iron treatments. Meanwhile, Nava Avocado is planting 4 lakh avocado trees across Zambia by 2027, alongside a $170 million integrated sugar and ethanol complex.

So, yes, the company is literally turning coal profits into avocados and medical drips.


4. Financials Overview

MetricQ2FY26 (Sep’25)Q2FY25 (Sep’24)Q1FY26 (Jun’25)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue (₹ Cr)9649001,193+7.1%-19.2%
EBITDA (₹ Cr)315414588-23.9%-46.4%
PAT (₹ Cr)177.5332399-46.5%-55.5%
EPS (₹)4.468.6510.61-48.4%-57.9%

Annualised EPS: ₹4.46 × 4 = ₹17.84
P/E: ₹573 / ₹17.84 ≈ 32.1

👉 So much for the 18x P/E label — that’s backward-looking. Forward EPS paints a more inflated reality.

Commentary:
The company’s Q2 numbers are like a Sachin Tendulkar innings post-retirement — nostalgic but not thrilling. PAT halved QoQ thanks to lower alloy realizations and weaker merchant power prices. Yet, OPM at 33% is still elite by industry standards.


5. Valuation Discussion – Fair Value Range

Let’s pull out our calculator and three methods — P/E, EV/EBITDA, and DCF — to derive a fair value range.

a) P/E Method

  • Annualised EPS = ₹31.8 (FY25 actual)
  • Industry P/E = 29.1
  • Apply a conservative range of 15x–22x →
    Fair Value = ₹477 – ₹700 per share

b) EV/EBITDA Method

  • EV = ₹16,464 Cr
  • EBITDA (TTM) = ₹1,735 Cr
  • EV/EBITDA = 9.5x approx.
    Assuming sectoral average ~10–12x,
    Fair EV range = ₹17,350–₹20,800 Cr → Fair price range = ₹500–₹600

c) DCF Approximation

Assuming steady 8% top-line growth, 15% ROE, and 10% cost of equity → intrinsic fair range = ₹520–₹640.

🎯 Fair Value Range (Educational only): ₹480 – ₹650 per share

Disclaimer: This fair value range is for educational purposes only and is not

Eduinvesting Team

https://eduinvesting.in/

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