🎲 Why 95% Traders Are Doomed to Fail: The Great Indian F&O Fantasy Busted

🎲 Why 95% Traders Are Doomed to Fail: The Great Indian F&O Fantasy Busted

Meta Description: 95% traders lose money — here’s why you’re not the next Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, and probably just donating brokerage to Zerodha.


📌 At a Glance:

If you’re trading intraday and wondering why your P&L looks like a crypto rug-pull chart — it’s not because of the stars, it’s because of your strategy.
And here’s the not-so-fun fact:

95% of retail traders in F&O lost money in FY23, says SEBI.
And 90% of them made less than ₹1.1 lakh annually — that’s less than a Zomato delivery boy with surge pricing.

So unless you’re married to volatility, trading on caffeine, and live for stop-loss hits, welcome to the harsh reality of why most traders are statistically screwed.


🎰 1. The Casino Called “Trading Desk”

  • Ever seen a casino where the gamblers win more than the house?
    That’s the stock market — except you don’t even get free drinks.
  • Brokers win: Every time you buy/sell, they make money. You? Not so much.
  • Platforms win: With your losses, they can sponsor cricket teams and IPL stadiums.
  • Taxes win: 15% on short-term profits, but 100% tax on stupidity.

💡 And yet, retail traders still believe they’re different.


🧠 2. The Cognitive Bias Buffet

Your brain is your worst enemy. Here’s why:

BiasWhat You DoWhy It Screws You
Overconfidence Bias“This breakout is 100% confirmed.”You YOLO in, it fake-outs.
Recency Bias“Last 3 trades were green.”You size up. 4th trade wipes you out.
Confirmation Bias“Twitter says this stock is bullish.”You ignore all red flags.

“Most traders don’t trade the market. They trade their ego.” – some dude on FinTwit, probably down 70%.


💸 3. No Edge, Just RSI + Reliance

  • Everyone’s trading the same thing: RSI 14, MACD, 200 DMA.
  • You know who else uses that? Every algo bot on Dalal Street… but with 0.0001s execution time.
  • Retail trader: Hits buy on laptop with Wi-Fi from Airtel.
  • Algo bot: Already sold it 1,000 times before your order hits.

Edge ≠ Indicator.
Edge = Data + Discipline + Risk Management + Probabilities.
You have YouTube Shorts.


🏦 4. Your Broker Loves You — You’re His SIP

Remember, brokers don’t trade. They enable you to lose money:

  • For every ₹100 you gain, you might pay ₹20–₹30 in brokerage + STT + GST + stamp duty + other “who-even-knows” charges.
  • You exit at profit = Broker smiles.
    You exit at loss = Broker still smiles.

Brokers made ₹28,000 crore in FY23. You made… tears?


⚠️ 5. Trading is NOT Investing

Let’s be clear:

TraitTradingInvesting
HorizonMinutes to HoursYears to Decades
Based onPrice PatternsBusiness Fundamentals
RiskHigh AFManageable
Tax15% + BracketLTCG Benefit after 1 year
  • Trading is like playing Squid Game in the market.
  • Investing is like building a house slowly — maybe ugly, but it stands.

🧨 6. Position Sizing? What’s That?

  • Most traders go all in.
  • They hear “Reliance will hit 4000!” — and dump their rent money into call options.

Result?
RIP margin, and then the dreaded margin call — and not the Netflix kind.

🧾 Pro traders risk 1–2% per trade.
You? 100% and dreams.


😭 7. Lack of Risk Management = Financial Suicide

  • No stop loss.
  • Averaging down like it’s an Olympic sport.
  • Revenge trading because Tata Motors hit your SL?

Bro… it’s not the market. It’s you.

🚨 “Cut your losses short, let your profits run”
Most traders: “Cut profits fast, hold losses forever.”


📊 SEBI Data That’ll Crush Your Hopes

SEBI’s F&O Trader Report (FY23):

MetricValue
% of traders who lost money89%
Median loss per trader₹50,000
Top 1% profit-makersTook 51% of all gains
Bottom 90%Earned < ₹1.1 lakh annually

And yet, Insta is full of 22-year-olds flexing “₹1.2 Cr intraday gain” on demo accounts.


📉 8. Trading Courses = Modern Snake Oil

  • “Join my mentorship, earn ₹5K per day!”
  • “Learn options trading secrets in 3 days!”
  • “Bank Nifty sniper entry hacks!”

These courses make more money than most of their students.

If the guy had a secret formula, why’s he teaching… not trading?


🚀 9. Survivorship Bias & Social Media Fakery

  • You only see the winners posting gains.
  • The 1,000 traders who blew up? Quiet as LIC agents in 2020.

Social Media Logic:

“He posted ₹5 lakh profit!”
Reality: He lost ₹10 lakh last week, posted the one green day.


✅ So… Is Trading Always Bad?

No. But it’s a profession, not a side hustle. Here’s what makes good traders rare:

  • Deep understanding of risk and position sizing
  • Iron discipline (read: no FOMO)
  • Back-tested edge with large sample size
  • Systems > Emotions
  • Humility to accept losses

🧠 EduInvesting Take:

Retail trading is like attempting heart surgery after watching a reel.

You don’t have to avoid markets. Just know which game you’re playing.

Investing builds wealth. Trading builds Instagram reels (and anxiety).

You want to try trading? Great.
But start with:

  • A fixed capital you can afford to lose
  • No leverage
  • Strict rules
  • No Twitter tips
  • And a backup plan (like a real job)

🎯 Final Verdict:

💀 95% fail because they never planned to succeed.
🎓 If you wouldn’t open a restaurant without learning how to cook,
then don’t open a trading terminal without learning how to lose.


🏷️ Tags:

trading vs investing, why traders lose money, SEBI trading report, intraday myths, options trading truth, retail trading failure, eduinvesting satire, stock market humor


Prashant Marathe

https://eduinvesting.in

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