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JM Financial Ltd Q1 FY26 – IPO King, Loan Juggler, or Governance Gymnast? 🏦🎭


1. At a Glance

JM Financial (JMFL) just posted a 166% YoY profit jump in Q1 FY26. Yes, the same firm the RBI benched last year for shady IPO funding games. With a β‚Ή17,500 Cr market cap, 56% promoter holding, and a PE of ~16x, the market is treating JM like the comeback kid of Dalal Street. The mix? An IPO-dominating investment bank, a real estate-heavy mortgage book, a growing asset & wealth business, and a once-mighty distressed credit arm now on oxygen support.


2. Introduction

JMFL is like that college topper who also moonlights as the class prankster: brilliant in capital markets, occasionally caught by the principal (read: RBI).

From being #1 in IPO/QIP fundraising in FY24 (80% share in top 10 IPOs, 60% share in top 5 QIPs) to having its wings clipped by regulators in May 2024, JMFL has been through drama that even Ekta Kapoor would envy. The ban got lifted in Oct 2024, but the reputational scar remains.

Meanwhile, its bread-and-butter lending book (β‚Ή11,465 Cr) is still 35% exposed to real estateβ€”basically financing builders when most NBFCs treat them like plague patients. Add to this an asset-light restructuring plan where wholesale lending will be spun into syndication/alternatives, and you get a company trying to β€œdetox” from risky loans while doubling down on IPO fees and wealth clients.

And yet, despite governance hiccups, ROE is still stuck below 10%. For a financial player, that’s like Sachin scoring single digits in Sharjah.


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

JMFL wears many hats:

  1. Investment Banking (39%)
    • IPOs, QIPs, block deals, M&A.
    • Wealth Mgmt, PMS, Private Equity funds, Institutional Research.
    • Flex: bagged Bajaj HFC’s β‚Ή6,560 Cr IPO & Vedanta’s β‚Ή8,500 Cr QIP.
  2. Mortgage Lending (29%)
    • CRE loans, housing finance, education institution funding.
    • Loan book mix: 35% real estate, 18% affordable housing, 18% capital markets funding.
  3. Asset & Wealth Management (25%)
    • Retail & elite wealth advisory, distribution, brokerage.
    • AUM skyrocketed to β‚Ή1.1 lakh Cr in Q2 FY25.
  4. Distressed Credit (3%)
    • Once glory, now ghost. Revenue share down from 13% (FY22) to 3%.
    • Still holding β‚Ή13,700 Cr distressed AUM – call it the β€œhaunted house” of JMFL.
  5. Others (4%)
    • Rental income, treasury gains, random odds & ends.

So, in short: Investment bank peacock, NBFC cow, wealth manager puppy, and ARC ghost – all in one zoo.


4. Financials Overview

Source table
MetricLatest Qtr (Jun’25)YoY Qtr (Jun’24)Prev Qtr (Mar’25)YoY %QoQ %
Revenueβ‚Ή1,111 Crβ‚Ή1,077 Crβ‚Ή1,004 Cr+3.2%+10.7%
EBITDAβ‚Ή850 Crβ‚Ή615 Crβ‚Ή578 Cr+38.2%+47.0%
PATβ‚Ή454 Crβ‚Ή170 Crβ‚Ή235 Cr+166%+93%
EPS (β‚Ή)4.751.792.19+165%+117%

Comment: Profit boom while revenues barely grew β†’ operating leverage + RBI ban lifting = jackpot.


5. Valuation Discussion – Fair Value Range

  • P/E method: EPS TTM ~β‚Ή11.6. Apply 12–18x β†’ β‚Ή140 – β‚Ή210/share.
  • EV/EBITDA method: EBITDA TTM ~β‚Ή2,526 Cr, EV ~β‚Ή24,515 Cr β†’ 9.7x multiple. Apply 8–10x β†’ β‚Ή20,200 – β‚Ή25,200 Cr EV β†’ β‚Ή150 – β‚Ή190/share.
  • DCF method: Assume 10% growth, CoF ~9%, discount 12%. Valuation ~β‚Ή160 – β‚Ή200/share.

πŸ“’ Fair Value Range: β‚Ή140 – β‚Ή210/share
(Educational purpose only, not SEBI-blessed prasad.)


6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

  • Aug 2025: PAT growth
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