⚡ From ₹100 Cr to ₹15,522 Cr Profit? GMR Power FY25 Is Straight Out of a Fantasy Budget – What’s the Catch?

⚡ From ₹100 Cr to ₹15,522 Cr Profit? GMR Power FY25 Is Straight Out of a Fantasy Budget – What’s the Catch?

✅ At a Glance

MetricFY24FY25YoY Change
Revenue (Ops)₹13,407 Cr₹15,752 Cr🔼 +17.5%
Net Profit₹100 Cr₹15,522 Cr🚀 +15,400%
EPS (Basic)₹0.17₹20.72🔥
CMP (May 19)₹147.10
TTM P/E~7.1xVery low due to one-off

From tiny PAT to “Ambani-level” net profit? Bro, this is not a power company. It’s a balance sheet magician. 🪄


🏗️ About the Company

GMR Power and Urban Infra Ltd is part of the GMR Group – dealing in:

  • Power generation & distribution
  • Smart meters and infra
  • Urban infra projects (roads, EPC, others)

It’s a mix of infra-tech and legacy public-private projects – heavy on capex, light on glamour.


📊 FY25 Financial Highlights (Consolidated)

ItemFY25 (₹ Cr)
Revenue from Operations₹15,752 Cr
Other Income₹5,138 Cr
Total Income₹68,578 Cr
Expenses₹68,477 Cr
Exceptional Items₹18,997 Cr ✅
Net Profit (PAT)₹15,522 Cr
EPS₹20.72

➡️ 98% of PAT came from exceptional items — this ain’t operational flex.
➡️ Actual PBT before exceptional = ₹101 Cr. So, yeah.


🚨 Exceptional Item Breakdown

The ₹18,997 Cr “profit” came from:

  • Asset revaluations
  • Sale of stakes or internal restructuring
  • Tax credits and deferrals

No, they didn’t build 50 dams overnight.


💰 Segmental Revenue (FY25)

SegmentRevenue (₹ Cr)
Power₹53,308 Cr
Smart Meter Infra₹3,205 Cr
Roads₹3,966 Cr
EPC₹1,907 Cr
Others₹3,152 Cr

🚨 Power biz = 81% of revenue.
Everything else = just garnish.


🧮 Forward Value (FV) Estimate

Let’s remove the accounting fireworks.

  • Normalized EPS = Assume ₹1.25 (ex-exceptionals)
  • Sector P/E = 25 (infra/utility)

👉 FV = ₹1.25 × 25 = ₹31.25

CMP = ₹147.10
📉 Massively Overvalued (based on real earnings)

Unless you’re buying into dreams of future infra dominance – this is expensive.


🏦 Balance Sheet Snapshot

Item₹ Cr
Total Assets₹1,69,867 Cr
Equity₹7,177 Cr
Borrowings (Long-term)₹87,704 Cr
Cash & Bank₹6,886 Cr
Trade Receivables₹17,049 Cr
D/E Ratio12.2x (brutal)
Interest Expense₹15,710 Cr

This is a debt volcano with EBITDA hiding behind the mountain.


💸 Cash Flow Insights

Flow₹ Cr
OCF₹28,327 Cr
Capex₹2,703 Cr
FCF₹25,624 Cr ✅
Finance Outflow (Loans + Interest)₹35,388 Cr ❌

They earned cash. But almost all of it went into debt service.


📉 Red Flags

  • 🧨 PAT driven by one-offs
  • 🧮 EPS not sustainable
  • 🏦 Insanely high debt
  • 📉 Low interest coverage ratio (1.05x)
  • 🏗️ Infra execution risks
  • 🏛️ Dependent on state discom payments

🧠 EduInvesting Take

“This is not a power stock. It’s a circus tent for financial engineering.”

If you think FY26 will have another ₹19,000 Cr exception item – good luck.
But if not – stock is 25–30% overvalued based on core earnings.

Also, massive debt risk still looms large.


🏁 Final Verdict

✔️ One-time earnings bonanza
✔️ Infra leadership
❌ Profit not from ops
❌ EPS unsustainable
❌ D/E ratio = madness

“Great for quarterly headlines. Not so much for long-term compounding.”


Tags: GMR Power FY25 results, EPS ₹20.72, exceptional item PAT, one-time profit stocks, infra stock analysis, smart meter stocks India, EduInvesting power sector

Prashant Marathe

https://eduinvesting.in

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