Search for stocks /

Tata Power – ₹1.23 Lakh Crore Dinosaur Trying to Go Vegan By 2045


1. At a Glance

Tata Power is India’s largest integrated power company, juggling everything from coal plants to EV chargers to solar rooftops. Market cap ₹1.23 lakh crore, debt ₹62,866 crore, and dreams bigger than Elon Musk’s Twitter promises. They want 100% clean energy by 2045. Current reality? 9,300 MW coal, 5,384 MW renewables. Basically, half gym bro, half samosa addict.


2. Introduction

Born in 1915, Tata Power is the old uncle at the energy family wedding who suddenly started wearing sneakers and talking about startups. For decades, it was about generating, transmitting, and distributing power in Mumbai and beyond. But the last decade turned into a green pivot: solar panels, EV chargers, rooftop installations, and even pumped hydro storage projects.

The irony? While they promise net-zero by 2045, their coal plants still supply the bulk of juice. Mundra plant went from 25% load factor in FY22 to 63% in FY25. So, while PR campaigns shout “Go Green,” the reality is still “burn coal, bill customers.”


3. Business Model – WTF Do They Even Do?

Let’s simplify:

  • Transmission & Distribution (62%): Supplying electricity to 12.5 million customers across Mumbai, Delhi (TPDDL), Odisha, and Ajmer. AT&C losses are impressively low — Mumbai 0.5%, Delhi 5.6%, Ajmer 8.2%. That’s better than many state discoms that leak like a cracked bucket.
  • Thermal & Hydro (24%): Coal plants (9,300 MW), hydro (880 MW). Plus coal mining in Indonesia (78 MT). So, yes, they’re still digging dirty.
  • Renewables (13%): 5,384 MW solar & wind, solar manufacturing (cells: 4,530 MW, modules: 4,982 MW), rooftop solar, and 1.3 lakh EV charging points. Basically, the Tesla showroom of India, minus the hype.
  • Others (1%): Project management, infra services, satellite comms. Small fry.

Tata Power wants to be 70% clean by 2030. For now, it’s like that guy on keto who still sneaks butter naan at midnight.


4. Financials Overview

Quarterly Snapshot (₹ Cr):

MetricLatest Qtr (Jun’25)YoY Qtr (Jun’24)Prev Qtr (Mar’25)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue18,03517,29417,0964.3%5.5%
EBITDA3,5653,0623,06816.4%16.2%
PAT1,2621,1891,3066.1%-3.4%
EPS (₹)3.323.233.262.8%1.8%

Commentary: Revenues up mildly, PAT steady. EPS annualised at ~₹13.3 → P/E ~29.9. Reasonable for utilities, but not exactly a screaming bargain.


5. Valuation – Fair Value Range Only

  • P/E Method: EPS (TTM) = ₹12.7, Industry P/E ~21.
    Fair Value = 20×–25× = ₹254 – ₹317.
  • EV/EBITDA Method: EV ~₹1.75 lakh Cr, EBITDA ~₹15,700 Cr. EV/EBITDA = 11.1×. Peer range = 8–12×. Fair Value = ₹350 – ₹450.
  • DCF (10% revenue CAGR, WACC 10.5%): ₹320 – ₹420.

Consensus Fair Value Range: ₹260 – ₹450. Current Price = ₹386. So it’s in the middle, like a student who always scores 60%.

⚠️ Disclaimer: This fair value range is for educational purposes only and not investment advice.


6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

  • MoUs flying around: ONGC for battery storage, Rajasthan for rooftop solar. Every week there’s a new tie-up, like college kids making group projects.
  • Capex ₹10,000 Cr in Q4 FY25: Rooftop solar, storage, transmission lines. Basically, spending like

Eduinvesting Team

https://eduinvesting.in/

Leave a Reply

Don't Miss

error: Content is protected !!