Nucleus Software Exports Ltd: ₹720 Cr Order Book + The Banker’s Silent Weapon

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Nucleus Software Exports Ltd: ₹720 Cr Order Book + The Banker’s Silent Weapon

1. At a Glance

Imagine a company that doesn’t build cars, doesn’t dig mines, doesn’t make toothpaste — but still has RBL Bank, Bajaj Finserv, ICICI, and HDFC running on its code. That’s Nucleus Software. It sits quietly in Noida, while its software is busy moving $700 billion worth of loans and processing 26 million daily transactions across 50 countries. Market cap? ₹2,673 Cr. Stock P/E? 15.9 (basically a discount store compared to IT peers). Order book? ₹720 Cr. For a company that sells invisible banking plumbing, Nucleus is the one fixing financial arteries without making a lot of noise.

2. Introduction

Let’s be clear — Nucleus Software is not your average IT services body-shop. No army of freshers billing hours in U.S. time zones. Nope. This is afintech product company— a rare species in India, where most IT firms still chase outsourced projects like a student begging for attendance.

Born in 1986, Nucleus has somehow managed to survive Y2K, dot-com crash, demonetisation, Covid, and the rise of ChatGPT, all while making banks look less prehistoric. Their flagship?FinnOne Neo— a loan management solution that ensures your EMI reminders are sent right on time (and that you never escape the clutches of your bank). Then there’sFinnAxia, their transaction banking suite, which is basically the digital version of “paisa double karne ka promise,” minus the fraud. And let’s not forgetPaySe— the world’s first hybrid offline + online payment solution, which sounds like UPI’s eccentric cousin.

The company’s revenue engine runs86% on products(licenses + customisation + support) and 14% on services (consulting, testing, infra mgmt). Translation: unlike Infosys, they don’t need to beg every quarter for large deals — recurring product revenues keep them afloat.

But the real kicker? Theirgeo splithas shifted massively towards India (57% now vs 43% in FY22). Translation: Indian banks are finally paying up instead of relying only on American/European vendors.

So why is the stock down 17% in one year despite decent earnings? Because IT stocks are like Bollywood marriages — short-term excitement, long-term disillusionment. Let’s investigate.

3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)

Think of Nucleus Software as theplumber of global banking. When your favourite bank flashes “approved loan in 30 seconds,” behind the scenes, it’s probably Nucleus’ code sweating it out.

  • Lending Platform (FinnOne Neo): Handles everything from origination to collections. Manages $500 Bn of loans in India and $700 Bn globally. Yes, that’s bigger than the GDP of Switzerland.
  • Transaction Banking (FinnAxia): Runs liquidity, cash management, trade finance. Basically ensures corporates don’t misplace their working capital.
  • Digital Payments (PaySe): Tried to be a revolutionary payment solution. Honestly, UPI stole the limelight, but PaySe still
  • hangs around like an underrated indie musician.
  • Services Division: Handholding banks through digital transformation. Think of it as IT therapy for banks still running on COBOL.

Their business model islicense + implementation + AMC + upgrades. Once a bank is hooked, it can’t just unplug. Switching costs are huge — replacing core lending software is like replacing your spine.

Revenue visibility? Strong. Recurring AMC fees + upgrades keep money flowing. Add a ₹720 Cr order book, and they’re not running out of clients anytime soon.

4. Financials Overview

MetricLatest Qtr (Q1 FY26)YoY Qtr (Q1 FY25)Prev Qtr (Q4 FY25)YoY %QoQ %
Revenue₹218 Cr₹196 Cr₹229 Cr11.4%-4.8%
EBITDA₹44 Cr₹41 Cr₹74 Cr7.3%-40.5%
PAT₹35.2 Cr₹30.2 Cr₹65 Cr16.6%-45.8%
EPS (₹)13.1511.2824.1916.6%-45.6%

Commentary:

  • YoY growth? Decent double digits.
  • QoQ? Ugly — EBITDA and PAT halved like a Bollywood producer’s career after two flops.
  • Annualised EPS = ₹52.6 → P/E = ~19x. Industry median P/E = 31x. Translation: Nucleus is still cheap sushi compared to Oracle FinServ.

5. Valuation (Fair Value RANGE only)

Method 1: P/EAnnualised EPS = ₹52.6.Assign a reasonable P/E band = 18x (bearish) to 25x (bullish).→ FV range = ₹950 – ₹1,315.

Method 2: EV/EBITDAFY25 EBITDA ~ ₹173 Cr. EV/EBITDA industry ~ 15x, Nucleus trades at ~10.5x.Range: 11x – 14x = EV = ₹1,900 – ₹2,422 Cr. Add cash ~₹600 Cr, subtract debt negligible.→ FV range = ₹930 – ₹1,180.

Method 3: DCF (simplified)FCF last year ~ ₹126 Cr. Assume 10% growth for 5 years, terminal 4%, discount 12%.→ FV range ~

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