1. At a Glance
Mahanagar Gas Ltd (MGL) is basically Mumbai’s oxygen tank—except it’s methane. From fueling 10 lakh vehicles and 2,346 buses to piping gas into 25 lakh homes, this company has more pipelines under Mumbai than local trains have delays. With exclusivity in some zones till 2040, a recent expansion viaUnison Enviro, and a detour into EVs and biogas, MGL is the uncle who suddenly started going to the gym and now thinks he’s a startup founder.
2. Introduction
MGL is the OG city gas distributor, born when CNG was just “poor man’s petrol.” Fast forward, it’s now the boss of Mumbai’s fuel network, running 347 CNG stations, 6,400 km of pipelines, and a customer base that covers everything from autorickshaws to five-star hotels.
But the story isn’t just boring gas pipes anymore. In 2024, they went shopping and boughtUnison Envirofor ₹562 Cr, giving them new turf in Maharashtra & Karnataka. Then, as if running CNG wasn’t enough, they bought 31% in3EV Industries(yes, EVs) and tied up with BMC to process 1,000 TPD of food waste into compressed biogas. Because nothing says “green energy” like fermenting paneer leftovers from Andheri.
The financials? Rock solid. FY25 revenue at ₹7,310 Cr, PAT at ₹1,085 Cr, and still paying 23% of profits as dividends. But the market isn’t thrilled—the stock is down ~26% in a year. Maybe investors can’t digest the biogas pivot yet.
3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)
MGL’s model is a “gas buffet” with three trays:
- Automotive CNG (69% share):Powering cars, autos, and buses. Volumes grew 22% in 2 years. They even set up exclusive CNG outlets—basically petrol pumps that don’t smell like petrol.
- PNG (30% share):
- Domestic PNG: 25 lakh homes connected. Cooking gas that doesn’t require cylinder delivery bhaiya.
- Industrial/Commercial PNG: Supplies to 4,769 establishments. From dosa joints to pharma plants.
- Automotive LNG & Other (1%):Focused on long-haul trucking. First station at Savroli is scaling from 700 to 4,000 kg/day. Plans for 6 more stations.
Geographies:GA1 (Mumbai city), GA2 (Thane &
Navi Mumbai), GA3 (Raigad). Infrastructure exclusivity till 2030–2040 for GA2 & GA3, making MGL the “default monopoly.”
Supplies:Gas mostly from GAIL/APM allocation for CNG & PNG households, spot/term deals for commercial PNG. Translation: stable supply, but dependent on MoPNG mood swings.
4. Financials Overview
| Metric | Jun 2025 (Latest Qtr) | Jun 2024 (YoY Qtr) | Mar 2025 (Prev Qtr) | YoY % | QoQ % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₹1,976 Cr | ₹1,590 Cr | ₹1,865 Cr | 24.3% ↑ | 5.9% ↑ |
| EBITDA | ₹485 Cr | ₹418 Cr | ₹378 Cr | 16.0% ↑ | 28.3% ↑ |
| PAT | ₹324 Cr | ₹285 Cr | ₹252 Cr | 13.7% ↑ | 28.6% ↑ |
| EPS (₹) | 32.8 | 28.8 | 25.5 | 14.0% ↑ | 28.6% ↑ |
Commentary:Strong quarter. Volumes +24% YoY, margins improved to 25%. EPS bounced back hard QoQ, proving MGL is still the king of steady utilities.
5. Valuation (Fair Value RANGE only)
- P/E Method:EPS ~₹110. Industry P/E ~20. FV = 20 × 110 = ₹2,200.
- EV/EBITDA Method:EBITDA FY25 ~₹1,577 Cr. EV/EBITDA range 8–10× → EV = ₹12,600–₹15,700 Cr. Net debt negligible → Equity FV ~₹2,000–₹2,500/share.
- DCF Method:Assuming 6–7% volume growth, 8% WACC, terminal growth 3% → FV ₹1,800–₹2,400.
Educational FV Range:₹1,800 – ₹2,400.Disclaimer: This FV range is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama
- Unison Enviro Acquisition:Expanded reach to 5 new districts. Merger effective August 2025. Adds ~0.16 MMSCMD volumes.
- EV Stake:31% in 3EV Industries for
