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Vikram Solar Ltd: β‚Ή2,079 Cr IPO – Sunshine or Sunstroke?


1. At a Glance

Vikram Solar is asking Dalal Street for a solar blessing of β‚Ή2,079 crore. Out of this, β‚Ή1,500 Cr is fresh issue (to build new factories), and β‚Ή579 Cr is promoters cashing chips via OFS. Price band: β‚Ή315–₹332 per share, market cap ~β‚Ή12,000 Cr. Financials show 37% revenue growth and 75% PAT jump in FY25 β€” which sounds like rocket fuel, until you notice the P/E at 75–86x. Yes, priced like Adani Green’s cousin at a designer boutique.


2. Introduction

If IPOs were Netflix dramas, Vikram Solar Ltd. would be the big-budget solar saga. Founded in 2005, headquartered in Kolkata (yes, a renewable energy giant from the land of fish curry), Vikram has grown into one of India’s largest solar PV module manufacturers.

The pitch is simple: India wants more renewable energy, the government is handing out PLI schemes, and the world hates China’s monopoly on solar modules. Vikram Solar is positioning itself as the local hero β€” making PERC, TOPCon, and HJT modules (if you don’t know what those mean, don’t worry, even most fund managers don’t β€” they just nod seriously).

But here’s the catch: solar manufacturing is cutthroat. Margins are wafer-thin, global competition is brutal, and module prices crash faster than crypto during Fed rate hikes. Vikram Solar’s PAT margin is just 4% β€” meaning they make β‚Ή4 profit on β‚Ή100 revenue. Yet, the IPO asks you to pay P/E ~85x. Basically, chai-shop margins at Starbucks valuation.


3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)

Core businesses:

  1. Solar PV Module Manufacturing – Bread and butter, making panels. Fancy jargon: PERC, TOPCon, HJT. These are just generations of solar tech, each claiming higher efficiency.
  2. EPC Services – Design and build solar projects. Because someone has to install the panels.
  3. O&M – After-sales babysitting. Panels don’t wash themselves.

Manufacturing units: Falta SEZ (Kolkata) and Oragadam (Chennai). Customers: NTPC, Neyveli Lignite, Gujarat Industries Power, and big private IPPs like ACME. Distribution: 41 distributors, 64 dealers, 67 system integrators across India.

Basically, they make panels, sell panels, and then maintain panels. Full stack solar hustle.


4. Financials Overview

Source table
MetricFY25 (Latest)FY24FY23YoY %2Y CAGR %
Revenueβ‚Ή3,459 Crβ‚Ή2,524 Crβ‚Ή2,092 Cr+37%+28%
EBITDAβ‚Ή492 Crβ‚Ή399 Crβ‚Ή186 Cr+23%+62%
PATβ‚Ή140 Crβ‚Ή80 Crβ‚Ή14 Cr+75%+166%
EPS (β‚Ή) Pre4.422.520.46+75%+166%
EPS (β‚Ή) Post3.87β€”β€”β€”β€”

πŸ‘‰ Commentary: Revenue shining, PAT skyrocketing, net worth flipped from negative to positive in 2 years. But PAT margin is 4%. Which means: β€œWe worked β‚Ή100, kept β‚Ή4, and want you to value us like we kept β‚Ή40.”


5. Valuation (Fair Value Range Only)

  • P/E Method:
    Post-issue EPS = β‚Ή3.87.
    At β‚Ή315–₹332 β†’ P/E = 81.4x–85.9x.
    Peers trade at 25–40x. Way expensive.
  • EV/EBITDA Method:
    EBITDA FY25 = β‚Ή492 Cr.
    EV β‰ˆ Market Cap β‚Ή12,000 Cr + negligible debt β‰ˆ β‚Ή12,000 Cr.
    EV/EBITDA β‰ˆ 24.4x. Peers ~12–15x.
  • DCF (Assume 20% growth, 12% WACC, 3% terminal) β†’ ~β‚Ή220–₹260/share.

🎯 Fair Value Range (Educational only): β‚Ή220–₹260/share.
IPO band β‚Ή315–₹332 = solar panels sold at Gucci pricing.


6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

  • Capacity Expansion: β‚Ή1,365 Cr IPO proceeds earmarked for
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