GMDC Q1 FY26: Can a State Miner Strike Gold Again or Is It Just Digging Debt?

GMDC Q1 FY26: Can a State Miner Strike Gold Again or Is It Just Digging Debt?

1. At a Glance

Once famous for its lignite… now trying everything from rare earths to solar power to stay relevant. Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation (GMDC) posted ₹733 Cr in Q1 revenue and ₹164 Cr PAT — down from its ₹1,200 Cr glory quarters. It’s got cash, limestone contracts, and 40-year deals, but is this miner still worth mining?


2. Introduction with Hook

GMDC is that PSU relative who once made a fortune in coal and now claims to be “into renewables and critical minerals.” It’s trying to reinvent itself like a 90s actor in an OTT web series. Revenue growth is sluggish, but dividend yield is a meaty 2.2%. Also, they signed two 40-year limestone supply deals this year.

Highlights:

  • PAT down 33% YoY
  • Revenue ₹733 Cr, OPM 23% (was 38% just last year)
  • Market cap: ₹13,822 Cr
  • PE: 20.8x

The business may be earthy, but the stock’s expectations are sky-high.


3. Business Model (WTF Do They Even Do?)

GMDC is Gujarat’s mining mafia — the legal kind.

Core Biz:

  • Mining of lignite, bauxite, manganese, fluorspar, ball clay, and even rare earth minerals
  • Has its fingers in power, wind, and solar projects for good measure

Recent Ventures:

  • Cement-linked limestone supplies (hello, 40-year contracts)
  • Power biz mostly chilling
  • Rare earths = future bet, if it ever materializes

Tagline: Dig dirt, sell it, and call it sustainable.


4. Financials Overview

MetricFY23FY24FY25 TTM
Revenue (₹ Cr)3,4982,4632,851
EBITDA (₹ Cr)1,337626637
Net Profit (₹ Cr)1,204617666
EPS (₹)37.8819.4120.92
Dividend Yield3.1%2.2%2.2%

Commentary:
They made ₹1,204 Cr in FY23. Now, they’re crawling back with less than ₹700 Cr TTM. PSU energy, PSU volatility, PSU dividend = full combo meal.


5. Valuation

Current price: ₹434
Book value: ₹202
P/E: 20.8x
P/BV: 2.15x

Fair Value Range: ₹350 – ₹420 (based on 16–18x earnings)

Still holding at premium for a cyclical business. Unless rare earths explode, this pricing feels like it’s high on silica fumes.


6. What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

  • 2x 40-Year Limestone Deals: One with JK Cement, another with City Gold Pipes
  • Rare Earths Foray: Ambadongar project could be India’s rare earth savior
  • Coal Project Delays: Baitarni-West mine facing timeline issues
  • Capex Alert: ₹13,000 Cr planned till 2030 — PSU trying its best startup cosplay
  • IT Security Incident: Data safe, just some miner mischief

Basically, GMDC is doing everything but starting an EV company — and we’re only halfway through the fiscal.


7. Balance Sheet

FYEquityReservesBorrowingsNet WorthTotal Assets
FY23₹64 Cr₹5,722 Cr₹2 Cr₹5,786 Cr₹6,953 Cr
FY25₹64 Cr₹6,348 Cr₹126 Cr₹6,412 Cr₹7,750 Cr

Minimal debt. Solid PSU balance sheet. Like the Maruti 800 of corporate finance — may not be fancy, but it works.


8. Cash Flow – Sab Number Game Hai

FYCFOCFICFFNet CF
FY23₹933 Cr-₹787 Cr-₹137 Cr₹8 Cr
FY24₹109 Cr₹238 Cr-₹365 Cr-₹18 Cr
FY25₹1,059 Cr-₹808 Cr-₹183 Cr₹68 Cr

Cash flow from ops rebounded hard in FY25 — great! But investing outflows show the capex spree is real.


9. Ratios – Sexy or Stressy?

MetricFY23FY24FY25 TTM
ROCE31%14%14%
ROE26%11%11%
OPM38%25%22%
P/E11x20.8x20.8x
Dividend Payout30%47%42%

ROCE was 🔥. Now it’s… warm. Margins melting faster than arctic ice.


10. P&L Breakdown – Show Me the Money

FYRevenueEBITDAPAT
FY23₹3,498 Cr₹1,337 Cr₹1,204 Cr
FY24₹2,463 Cr₹626 Cr₹617 Cr
FY25 TTM₹2,851 Cr₹637 Cr₹666 Cr

PAT halved from FY23, and revenue still struggling to cross ₹3,000 Cr again. But hey, at least they aren’t bleeding.


11. Peer Comparison

CompanyRevenue (₹ Cr)PAT (₹ Cr)P/EROCE
NMDC23,9056,5329.629.6%
GMDC2,85166620.814.2%
MOIL1,5853822019.1%
Gravita India3,8693124421.6%

Looks like the PSU cousin who’s trying to be cool — but still borrows the car from NMDC.


12. Miscellaneous – Shareholding, Promoters

Promoter Holding: Rock solid at 74%
FIIs: Barely hanging in at 2.25%
DIIs: Microscopic — under 1%
Public: ~23%, because retail loves a PSU dividend play
Shareholders: Down from 2.5L to 2.27L in the past 2 quarters — not exactly confidence-inspiring


13. EduInvesting Verdict™

GMDC is a curious PSU — one eye on the past (coal), one foot in the future (rare earths), and both hands deep in limestone. With falling profits, margin pressure, and a capex-fueled transformation plan, this is a “watch it, don’t worship it” type story.

More mineral than magical. Solid for dividends, shaky for growth thrills.


Written by EduInvesting Team | 25 July 2025
Tags: GMDC, PSU, Lignite, Rare Earth, Limestone Contracts, Dividend Stocks, EduInvesting Premium, Q1 FY26 Analysis

Leave a Comment

Popular News

error: Content is protected !!
Scroll to Top