At a Glance
India’s #2 PVC pipes brand has been around forever, but it’s still stuck in slow mode. Sales have flatlined, profits are riding on other income, and margins went from juicy to “just okay.” Great brand recall, boring returns. Welcome to the plumbing paradox.
1. 🚨 TL;DR
- Revenue (FY21 → FY25): ₹3,462 Cr → ₹4,142 Cr ⛔ +4.6% CAGR
- Net Profit: ₹728 Cr → ₹778 Cr — up only due to bumper other income
- Operating Margin: From 29% (COVID pipe party) → 11% in FY25
- ROCE: Down from 36% to 10%
- Stock Performance: Down 33% in the past year
- P/E: ~30x (lol what?)
- Fair Value Range (FY26E): ₹140 – ₹165
- Verdict: Debt-free, cash-rich — but losing operating mojo.
2. 🧱 Business Model: Pipe Dream That’s Aging Fast
Finolex Industries operates two main segments:
- PVC Pipes & Fittings (~70%)
- PVC Resin (~30%) — backward integration edge
It’s India’s only fully backward-integrated pipe company, which is a big deal… when resin margins behave. Sadly, resin has been erratic, and the once-golden cost advantage is now a capex burden.
Also: they’re absent in CPVC, HDPE, and value-added categories where rivals like Astral and Supreme are growing like steroid-fed unicorns.
3. 📉 Financial Performance: Pipes Are Holding. Profits, Not So Much.
💸 Revenue (Standalone):
- FY21: ₹3,462 Cr
- FY22: ₹4,647 Cr
- FY23: ₹4,397 Cr
- FY24: ₹4,317 Cr
- FY25: ₹4,142 Cr
Flatline since FY22. Volume’s okay, but realizations are weak.
📉 Operating Profit:
- FY22: ₹1,025 Cr
- FY23: ₹293 Cr
- FY24: ₹585 Cr
- FY25: ₹476 Cr
Covid boom (FY21–22) made everyone think pipes = passive income. Welcome back to reality.
💰 Net Profit:
- FY21: ₹728 Cr
- FY22: ₹1,053 Cr
- FY23: ₹237 Cr
- FY24: ₹455 Cr
- FY25: ₹778 Cr ✅
FY25 profit includes ₹665 Cr other income. Core business is barely breathing.
4. 🧮 Key Ratios
Metric | FY22 | FY24 | FY25 |
---|---|---|---|
Operating Margin | 22% | 14% | 11% |
ROCE | 27% | 10% | 10% |
ROE | 14% | 7.3% | 7.9% |
Debt | ₹278 Cr | ₹394 Cr | ₹237 Cr |
Dividend Payout | 24% | 34% | 29% |
They’re low on debt, yes — but also low on ambition.
5. 👑 Promoters, Shareholding & Governance
- Promoter Holding: Rock solid at 52.47% for 3+ years
- FIIs: Slightly up — 5.5% → 6.5%
- DIIs: Stable at ~11%
- Public Holding: ~29% — mostly investors waiting for a second wave of PVC rallies
Management has stayed conservative — maybe too conservative.
Also: minor recent auditor/internal auditor changes. Flag to track.
6. 🧻 Peer Comparison: Piped Down by Supreme, Astral & Others
Company | Sales FY25 | Net Profit | OPM | ROCE | P/E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Supreme Inds. | ₹12,000+ Cr | ₹1,000+ Cr | 22% | 22% | 61x |
Astral Ltd | ₹5,000+ Cr | ₹500+ Cr | 20% | 20% | 79x |
Finolex Inds. | ₹4,142 Cr | ₹778 Cr* | 11% | 10% | 30x |
*Includes ₹665 Cr of non-core income.
Finolex is the elder statesman with weak knees.
7. 📉 Valuation & Fair Value Estimate
Current Price: ₹221
FY25 EPS: ₹12.5 (but core ~₹3–4)
Realistic EPS for FY26: ₹5–6
Fair P/E Range: 28–30x (if market believes in a pipe revival)
👉 Fair Value Range (FY26E): ₹140 – ₹165
There is no reason for this stock to trade above ₹200 unless margins bounce back and resin volatility calms down.
🧾 Final Verdict: More Flow in Pipes Than Profits
Finolex isn’t going bankrupt. It’s just… boring. Zero innovation. Zero aggression. Pure vanilla PVC. That worked in 2005. It won’t work in 2025.
They could:
- Launch higher-margin products
- Push exports
- Partner with infra firms
- Expand aggressively like Astral
But they won’t. And that’s why this stock might be a “dividend hold,” not a growth story.
Unless something fundamentally changes — enjoy your 1% yield and carry on.
✍️ Written by Prashant | 📅 19 June 2025
🏷️ Tags
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