🧵 Bannari Amman Spinning Mills Q4 FY25: ₹1,655 Cr Revenue But Threadbare Profits – Multibagger or Just a Fabricated Dream?

🧵 Bannari Amman Spinning Mills Q4 FY25: ₹1,655 Cr Revenue But Threadbare Profits – Multibagger or Just a Fabricated Dream?

💡 At a Glance

Revenue: ₹1,655 Cr
PBT: ₹4.97 Cr
Finance Cost: ₹42.9 Cr
CMP: ₹31.98
EduFair Value: ₹120–₹180 (with margin improvement assumptions)
👉 Verdict: Deep value if debt is reduced. Otherwise… textile trap.


🏢 About the Company

Bannari Amman Spinning Mills Ltd is one of India’s leading textile players and part of the legendary Bannari Amman Group. They manufacture:

  • 🧶 Cotton yarn
  • 🧥 Woven & knitted garments
  • 🧵 Fabrics for Indian & export markets

They’ve got size, scale, and South India dominance. But is it enough to survive the brutal economics of textiles?


👨‍💼 Key Management

  • Chairman: Mr. S.V. Balasubramaniam
  • MD: Mr. S.V. Ramaswamy
    Two veterans, family-run, old-school operators. The kind who still sign balance sheets with fountain pens.

📊 Financials Snapshot (Q4 FY25)

Metric₹ Cr
Revenue from Operations1,655.5
Other Income-0.12
Finance Costs42.9
Profit Before Tax4.97
PBT Margin0.3% (!?)

This company is doing ₹1,655 Cr in sales to earn ₹5 Cr in PBT. That’s a 0.3% margin. That’s not a business, it’s a cotton-themed hobby.


📉 The Debt Trap

  • ₹42.9 Cr in finance costs.
  • That’s 8.6x higher than the quarterly PBT.
  • Unless this gets fixed, shareholders are just charity donors.

🔮 Forward Fair Value (FV) – Edu Estimate

Let’s assume:

  • FY26 revenue: ₹6,600 Cr (flat to slightly rising)
  • Net margin improves to 2% (still optimistic)
  • EPS estimate: ₹10–12
  • Sector P/E: 12–15x

Fair Value = ₹120–₹180

At CMP ₹31.98, it’s trading at:

  • 🟢 ~75% discount to FV (if turnaround plays out)
  • 🔴 But with no improvement, you’re stuck in a mill that spins dreams, not profits.

🧵 The Cotton Sector Reality

  • China+1 gave hope, but Vietnam & Bangladesh are cheaper still
  • PLI schemes helping large players, not mid-cap debt-ridden ones
  • Cotton price volatility = massive margin swings

So unless you control raw material + have killer exports, your margins get dyed red.


🧠 EduInvesting Take

“A company that makes ₹1,600 Cr in revenue and gets left with ₹5 Cr is not a multibagger — it’s a motivational speaker.”

Bannari has:
✅ Scale
✅ Group strength
❌ Margin
❌ Debt control
❌ RoE

It’s not hopeless, but it’s not investible until debt comes down or demand shoots up.


⚠️ Risks & Red Flags

  • 📉 Operating margin compressed due to input costs
  • 💳 Interest eats profit like termites on a wooden loom
  • 🧾 No EPS or PAT data disclosed = transparency issue
  • 🧺 Heavy reliance on the cyclical textile export market

📈 CMP vs FV Recap

ParameterValue
CMP₹31.98
Fair Value Range₹120 – ₹180
Upside Potential275% – 460%
Risk Level⚠️ High

If you’re buying this, you’re buying hope + a debt repayment plan.


🏁 EduFinal Word

Bannari Amman is not a multibagger — yet.

But if they:

  • Reduce debt
  • Improve margin
  • Ride a textile export wave

…it could 3x–5x from here. That’s a lot of “ifs,” though.

Until then, don’t invest your money — invest your sympathy.

Prashant Marathe

https://eduinvesting.in

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