🧠 “Newgenious?” — How This Workflow Wala Stock Quietly 8x’d in 5 Years

🧠 “Newgenious?” — How This Workflow Wala Stock Quietly 8x’d in 5 Years

🧾 At a Glance

Newgen Software, India’s low-key enterprise automation hero, has done what most flashy SaaS stocks dream of — 34% profit CAGR, 73% stock CAGR, and zero hype on Twitter. From digitizing banks to enabling government e-docs, this silent SaaS engine is quietly minting money… all while you were busy watching Zomato crash and bounce.


🚀 1. TL;DR — Newgen’s 5-Year Scorecard

MetricFY20FY25Change
Revenue (₹ Cr)6611,487🔼 +125%
Net Profit (₹ Cr)73315🔼 +331%
OPM %16%25%✅ Expansion
ROCE17%29%🔥
Stock Price (₹)~140₹1,153🚀 8x
5-Year Price CAGR🧨 ~73%

This isn’t a startup. This is a 30-year-old Delhi-based compounder pretending to be a GenZ SaaS poster boy. And it’s working.


🧩 2. What Exactly Does Newgen Do?

  • Enterprise software for:
    • 🏦 Banks (Loan origination, digital onboarding)
    • 🏢 Governments (Document workflow, file tracking)
    • 🛡️ Insurance (Claims automation)
    • 🏥 Healthcare (Document management, billing)
  • Revenue Segments:
    • 💸 SaaS + AMC + ATS (recurring): ~60%
    • 🧾 License sales (on-premise): ~20%
    • 🔧 Services & implementation: ~20%

Think of it as India’s Adobe + Salesforce… but bootstrapped and profitable.


💹 3. Financial Performance — Compounding Is the Real UI/UX

🧾 Revenue:

  • Grew from ₹661 Cr in FY20 → ₹1,487 Cr in FY25
  • 5-Year CAGR = +18%
  • Q4 FY25 alone was ₹430 Cr — highest ever

💰 Profit:

  • 5-Year PAT CAGR = 34%
  • FY25 PAT = ₹315 Cr
  • Net margins expanded to 21% — high for an Indian SaaS business

🧪 Operating Metrics:

  • OPM = 25% (up from 16%)
  • ROCE = 29%
  • ROE = 23%

These aren’t “work in progress” SaaS numbers. These are champagne-popping-at-the-concall numbers.


💸 4. Cash Flows — Healthy and Clean

YearCFO (₹ Cr)CFI (₹ Cr)FCF Positive?
FY23₹136 Cr₹-88 Cr
FY24₹281 Cr₹-217 Cr
FY25₹215 Cr₹-172 Cr

No burn. No dilution. No begging VCs on Zoom.


🧠 5. What’s Working?

High-Margin Recurring Revenue:

  • 60%+ annuity-based revenue ensures visibility
  • SaaS adoption rising among BFSI + govt clients

Geographic Moat:

  • 17 verticals, 70+ countries
  • Strong presence in Middle East, APAC, and U.S.

FII Inflows Up:

  • FII stake rose from 14.75% → 19.36% in 3 years
  • Even DIIs are slowly waking up

No Debt. No Drama.

  • Zero debt. ₹508 Cr in investments = safety net

Dividend Paying:

  • Payout of 22% in FY25
  • Not huge, but shows steady shareholder return mindset

😬 6. What’s NOT Working?

Valuation Getting Frothy:

  • P/E = 52x
  • P/B = 10.8x
  • You’re not buying cheap workflow — you’re paying for future scalability

Working Capital Bloat:

  • WC days shot up from 58 → 200 in FY25
  • Translation: Clients are slow to pay up

Promoter Stake Dip:

  • Dropped from 55.16% → 53.78%
  • Nothing alarming… but not ideal when stock is booming

Low Liquidity:

  • Despite 16,000 Cr mcap, low retail float = high volatility on bad days

🧠 7. Peer Comparison — Underdog vs the Big Boys

MetricNewgenPersistentLTIMindtreeTCS
Revenue (FY25)₹1,487 Cr₹12,000 Cr est.₹39,000 Cr est.₹2.6L Cr
PAT Margin21%12%10%19%
ROCE29%31%27%64%
P/E52x68x34x25x
5Y CAGR (Price)73%~40%~20%~12%

Verdict: Newgen = better margins, faster growth — but nowhere near the scale. Yet.


🧮 8. Fair Value Range – Can This Rally Sustain?

⚙️ Base Case

  • FY26E PAT: ₹380 Cr
  • P/E of 40x (discounted for small size)
  • FV = ₹15,200 Cr → ₹1,075/share

🚀 Bull Case

  • FY26E PAT: ₹420 Cr
  • P/E = 50x (if growth holds + SaaS rerating)
  • FV = ₹21,000 Cr → ₹1,485/share

🎯 EduInvesting Fair Value Range: ₹1,075 – ₹1,485

At CMP ₹1,153 — you’re somewhere in between. Decent entry if you like software with substance.


🧠 Bonus Meme

Investor 1: “Bro, I use Salesforce.”
Investor 2: “Bro, I own Newgen.”

HR Dept: “Let’s automate onboarding.”
Newgen: “Thanks. That’ll be $2 million.”


🔭 9. What to Watch Ahead

  • 🧾 US Gov + BFSI deals: Company recently won a $2.5M order for a U.S. government agency
  • 💻 Cloud-first Push: Migration to SaaS model continues — could boost margins
  • 👀 New Verticals: Healthcare + logistics being explored
  • 📉 Valuation Monitoring: Any earnings miss could trigger derating

🏁 Final Thoughts: “Newgen — Workflow Software That’s Working… Everywhere”

It’s rare to find an IT company that:

  • ✅ Isn’t dependent on headcount
  • ✅ Doesn’t dilute every 2 years
  • ✅ Grows faster than most Tier-1 peers
  • ✅ And still makes 20%+ net margin

No wonder FIIs are bingeing on it like it’s Money Heist Season 1.


✍️ Written by Prashant | 📅 June 21, 2025
Tags: Newgen Software, SaaS India, enterprise tech, workflow automation, 5-year stock recap, high ROCE stocks, EduInvesting

Prashant Marathe

https://eduinvesting.in

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