🛡️ NIACL Earned ₹1,456 Cr in FY25 — So Why Did the Stock Crash 3.6% Today?

🛡️ NIACL Earned ₹1,456 Cr in FY25 — So Why Did the Stock Crash 3.6% Today?

📌 At a glance:

  • FY25 PAT: ₹1,456 crore (vs ₹1,368 crore in FY24)
  • Gross Premium: ₹41,799 crore (+5.9%)
  • Underwriting Loss: ₹1,758 crore (widened from ₹1,407 cr)
  • Investment Income: ₹6,181 crore
  • CMP: ₹174.77 (–3.61% today)

🏢 About the Company

The New India Assurance Company Ltd (NIACL) is India’s largest government-owned general insurance company. From insuring mango farmers to luxury yachts, they do it all — though the claims might take longer than a Marvel reboot.

👨‍💼 Key Managerial Personnel

  • CMD: Neerja Kapur

📊 FY25 Financials

MetricFY25FY24YoY Change
Gross Premium₹41,799 cr₹39,460 cr+5.9%
Net Earned Premium₹22,739 cr₹21,478 cr+5.9%
Underwriting Loss–₹1,758 cr–₹1,407 crLoss ↑
Investment Income₹6,181 cr₹6,304 cr–1.9%
Net Profit (PAT)₹1,456 cr₹1,368 cr+6.4%

🔍 Key Points

  • Underwriting performance continues to bleed
  • Investment income held up profits
  • Combined Ratio remains >100%, indicating operational inefficiency

🧮 Fair Value Estimate

  • FY27E PAT = ₹2,000 cr (assume 11% CAGR)
  • P/E = 10x (public insurance avg)
  • Target MCap = ₹20,000 cr → FV/share = ₹225 (1.2B shares)
  • CMP = ₹174.77 → Undervalued, but with caveats

⚠️ Risks

  • Higher claim ratios in health & motor segments
  • Regulatory changes & pricing pressure
  • Government ownership = unpredictability

📉 So Why Did It Fall 3.6% Today?

  • Underwriting loss widening = negative signal
  • Likely investor disappointment on margin front
  • Market wanted a bigger investment buffer

😂 EduInvesting Take

  • PAT may look pretty, but it’s investment-fueled makeup hiding a wounded underwriting face
  • This is the LIC of general insurance: big, slow, stable-ish
  • Verdict: “Sarkari insurer with FD returns and IPO-style drama. Buy for the dividend, not for dopamine.”

Prashant Marathe

https://eduinvesting.in

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