🛠️ “Hindustan Machine Tools (HMT Ltd) or Holding Massive Trouble?”

🛠️ “Hindustan Machine Tools (HMT Ltd) or Holding Massive Trouble?”

📌 At a Glance

HMT Ltd is a legendary PSU with a tragic millennial reboot story. Once India’s pride in watches and tools, it’s now mostly a zombie entity with huge losses, negative net worth, and barely any sales – but hey, it’s rallied 3x from 2020 lows because… PSU + nostalgia?


1. 🧩 WTF Do They Even Do?

HMT Ltd is the holding company for:

  • HMT Machine Tools Ltd – The only active business, making CNC lathes, transfer lines, etc.
  • Ex-watches division – Was shut down in 2016.
  • Tractors & Bearings – Also shut or sold.
  • Other drama – A mix of land, export servicing, food processing equipment, and dreams.

🎯 Business mix:

Segment% of Revenue (FY24)
Machine Tools~81%
Food machinery, etc.~19% (likely job-work, legacy ops)

But here’s the kicker: FY24 full-year sales = ₹151 Cr, while expenses = ₹258 Cr. Classic PSU math.


2. 📊 Financials – Profit? What’s That?

Let’s look at how bad it gets.

🧨 5-Year Snapshot:

MetricFY20FY21FY22FY23FY24
Revenue (₹ Cr)260204176204151
Operating Profit (₹ Cr)-39-70-85-94-107
Net Profit (₹ Cr)156*-110533*-1232,551*
OPM (%)-15%-35%-49%-46%-70%

*Profits boosted by Other Income (govt grants, asset sales, etc). Not operational.

🛑 Operating business = consistently bleeding.


3. 💸 Valuation – Is It Cheap or Just Cheating?

  • Market Cap: ₹2,295 Cr
  • Book Value: -₹50.8 per share 🤯
  • P/E: N/A (because operating profits don’t exist)

Let’s assume the market is betting on:

  • Asset monetization (real estate? PSU divestment?)
  • Revival of manufacturing (not happening since 2005)
  • Speculative PSU rally

Fair value? Honestly, a hard-to-model beast. But for kicks:


🧮 FV Range: ₹20–25 (based purely on liquidation potential)

Why?

  • Business value: NIL (loss-making)
  • Land/assets: Unclear (Govt owns most)
  • Only upside: If GoI sells land or merges with something valuable.

4. 🔍 What’s Cooking?

🥁 Q4FY24: Net Profit ₹2,551 Cr.

No, it wasn’t from selling lathes to China.

It was a one-off accounting entry – likely from:

  • Asset revaluation
  • Write-backs or settlements
  • PSU-era magical bookkeeping

Also:

  • 🧾 Fined ₹14.04 lakh by BSE & NSE for SEBI LODR non-compliance.
  • 🧑‍💼 CMD Rajesh Kohli’s term extended till 2026.
  • 🤐 Zero public communication on revival roadmap.

5. 🧾 Balance Sheet – How Much Debt, How Many Dreams?

ItemFY24
Borrowings₹1,062 Cr
Reserves-₹2,163 Cr
NetworthDeeply negative
Fixed Assets₹36 Cr
Inventory Days585 days 😭
Debtor Days299 days 🧟

6. 💰 Cash Flow – Sab Doob Raha Hai

YearCFO (₹ Cr)
FY23₹103 Cr (odd jump)
FY24-₹847 Cr

Either someone forgot to switch off the cash leak, or a large write-down happened.


7. 📉 Ratios – Stress Test Fail

  • ROE / ROCE: Negative (forever)
  • Interest Coverage: < 1
  • Working Capital Days: -2,173
  • OPM: -70%

Even ChatGPT’s calculator cried while processing this.


8. 📦 P&L Breakdown

FY24:

Line ItemAmount (₹ Cr)
Sales151
Expenses258
Operating Loss-107
Other Income2,714
Net Profit2,534

Remove “Other Income” and the stock becomes a literal rusted lathe.


9. 🏁 Peer Comparison – Not Even the Same League

CompanySales (₹ Cr)OPM (%)P/EROE (%)Market Cap (₹ Cr)
HMT151-70%N/AN/A2,295
Kaynes Tech2,72215%14111%41,370
Jyoti CNC1,81827%7221%23,273
LMW3,0124.7%2153%17,908

🥴 HMT looks more like a “listed relic” than a business.


10. 🧾 Misc – Shareholding, Promoter Gyaan

  • Promoters (Govt of India): 93.69%
  • Public: 0.71%
  • No. of shareholders: 27,000+
  • Most are retail traders hoping for a “PSU rerating” or land sale.

🧠 EduInvesting Verdict™

HMT Ltd is a financial hallucination held up by nostalgia and one-off accounting.

Would we buy this company for ₹2,000 Cr in real life?

👉 No.

Is it a great speculative play during PSU euphoria?

👉 Maybe. But only if you also invest in UFO sightings and time travel.

💥 Verdict: “Price up 3x, Business down the drain. PSU Mungerilal in action.”


✍️ Written by Prashant | 📅 3 July 2025

Tags: HMT Ltd, PSU Stocks, Machine Tools, Loss-Making PSUs, Value Trap, Asset Monetization, EduInvesting

Prashant Marathe

https://eduinvesting.in

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