🚌 Ashok Leyland: 16 Electric Buses, One State Transport — Is TN the New EV Capital?

🚌 Ashok Leyland: 16 Electric Buses, One State Transport — Is TN the New EV Capital?

🟢 At a Glance

Ashok Leyland’s Switch Mobility has secured an order for 16 electric buses from Tamil Nadu State Transport Corporation (TNSTC).

  • 🛻 Model: Switch EiV 12
  • 🔌 Fuel Type: 100% Electric
  • 🎯 Application: City operations (urban passenger transport)
  • 📍 Buyer: TNSTC Villupuram Division

So yes — the state where Rajinikanth smokes on screen now wants zero emissions on roads.


🚀 What’s the Deal?

  • This is TNSTC’s 1st formal order for electric buses from Switch
  • Delivery scheduled in FY26
  • Project part of Tamil Nadu’s ambitious EV transition roadmap
  • Co-funded via state EV policy incentives + FAME-II

TL;DR: Ashok Leyland’s EV arm has officially entered the sarkaari race.


🧠 EduInvesting Take

“When the government starts buying your EVs, you don’t celebrate. You wait… and follow up 200 times to get paid.”

But jokes aside, this is a crucial signal:

  • Tamil Nadu = one of the most EV-forward states in India
  • Public orders = visibility + credibility boost for Switch
  • Even a 16-bus order from TNSTC can snowball into 160

This could be a seed that grows into multi-city public contracts over the next 12–24 months.


🔋 About the Model: Switch EiV 12

  • 🧑‍🤝‍🧑 Capacity: ~65 passengers
  • 🔋 Battery: Advanced NMC chemistry
  • ⚡ Range: 300–350 km per charge
  • 🧠 Tech: Telematics, energy monitoring, regenerative braking
  • 🔌 Charging Time: ~2–2.5 hours with fast charger

It’s no Tesla, but it gets the job done — with better AC than your office.


📦 Why It Matters for Ashok Leyland

MetricValue
Switch FY24 Revenue₹572 crore
FY25 Est. Revenue (Switch)₹900–1,000 crore
Orders in Pipeline300+ buses
FY26 Target1,000+ EV buses

🧮 FV Estimate (Edu Magic Zone)

Let’s break this into core + Switch (Sum of Parts):

  • Core Ashok Leyland: EPS ~₹12, P/E 20–22×
  • Switch (subsidiary): Valued separately at ₹7,000–₹8,500 crore

🎯 Consolidated FV Range (Edu View): ₹210 – ₹245/share

(CMP skipped, per usual rules. FV ≠ prediction.)


🚌 Industry Outlook

  • State Transport Undertakings (STUs) are mandated to go electric
  • Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra, Delhi, Gujarat — leading the charge
  • Central subsidies + state PLI = robust ecosystem
  • Global export plans for Switch still brewing in UK, MEA

🚩 Risks

  • State payments = always delayed
  • 16 buses = small order, big press release
  • Infra readiness (charging stations) still a work in progress
  • Private fleet players (Olectra, PMI) scaling faster

🎓 Final Edu Scorecard

MetricGradeComments
Strategic ImportanceA-First public EV deal in TN
Financial ImpactC+Small order, big potential
Brand PositioningB+Slowly entering public radar
Long-Term MoatBInfra & delivery execution key

Prashant Marathe

https://eduinvesting.in

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