🏦 Bank of Baroda: PSU Bank with Private Ambitions or Just a Low-P/E Trap?

🏦 Bank of Baroda: PSU Bank with Private Ambitions or Just a Low-P/E Trap?

At a Glance

Bank of Baroda has gone from NPA-ridden dinosaur to a 15.5% ROE dividend-yielding machine. It’s now India’s third-largest public sector bank by market cap with ₹20,865 Cr net profit in FY25 and a P/E of just 5.9x. So… value buy or value trap?


1. 🧲 Introduction with Hook

Once upon a time, Bank of Baroda was just another PSU bank where profits went missing and NPAs went partying.

But today? It’s:

  • Printing ₹5,400 Cr quarterly profits
  • Paying 3.5% dividend yield
  • Trading at 0.84x Book Value

Yet the stock still falls on good results. Why? Let’s dive in.


2. 🏦 WTF Do They Even Do?

Baroda Bhai handles it all:

  • Retail & Corporate Banking
    Home loans, MSME, working capital, corporate credit.
  • NRI & International
    BoB has a large presence in the UAE, UK, and Mauritius.
  • Digital Push
    BOB World app (which also saw controversy), and QR code war with fintechs.
  • Treasury & Rural
    One of the most spread-out PSU banks with 9,300+ branches.

3. 💰 Financials Overview – Profit, Margins, ROE, Growth

MetricFY23FY24FY25
Revenue₹94,503 Cr₹1,18,379 Cr₹1,27,945 Cr
Net Profit₹15,005 Cr₹18,869 Cr₹20,865 Cr
ROE15%17%16%
EPS₹28.82₹36.29₹40.06

⚠️ Fun Fact: Profit is 14x higher than FY20 levels. PSU comeback story? Absolutely.


4. 💸 Valuation – Cheap, Meh, or Crack?

MetricValue
P/E5.94x
P/B0.84x
ROE15.5%
Dividend Yield3.52%
Fair Value Range (EduInvesting)₹280–₹310

🎯 FV Logic:

At 1x book (₹283) and 7.5–8x P/E on ₹40 EPS, fair value range = ₹280–₹310.
Current price ₹237 = undervalued on both fronts… unless market is pricing in PSU pessimism.


5. 🔥 What’s Cooking – News, Triggers, Drama

  • 💥 Q4FY25: ₹5,447 Cr profit, EPS ₹10.48
  • 📈 Global business at ₹26.4 Lakh Cr
  • 🧾 Revised MCLR (overnight at 8.1%) for FY26 — positive for margins
  • ⚠️ ₹8.5 Lakh Cr contingent liabilities – mainly guarantees + derivatives

Also…

  • RBI pulled them up for BOB World data issues last year
  • Fintech partnerships cautious, but UPI traction is strong

6. 🏦 Balance Sheet – How Much Debt, How Many Dreams?

ItemFY25
Total Deposits₹14.96 L Cr
Borrowings₹1.36 L Cr
Total Liabilities₹18.6 L Cr
Total Assets₹18.6 L Cr
Equity Capital₹1,036 Cr
Reserves₹1.45 L Cr

💰 CASA Ratio ~40%
🧾 Gross Advances: ₹10.5 L Cr
🛡️ CAR: ~15.3% (healthy)


7. 💵 Cash Flow – Sab Number Game Hai

YearCFOCFICFFNet CF
FY25₹34,892 Cr₹(6,494) Cr₹3,790 Cr₹32,188 Cr

Strong operating cash, minimal investing cash burn, and no crazy capital raising = clean cycle.


8. 📉 Ratios – Sexy or Stressy?

MetricValue
ROE15.5%
ROA1.18%
NIM~3.3%
Net NPA~0.8% (est.)
Cost-to-Income~47%
GNPA~2.92% (expected FY26 Q1)

✅ Massive improvement from GNPA of 10%+ in FY18
🔋 Credit cost falling, recovery improving


9. 🧾 P&L Breakdown – Show Me the Money

  • FY25 Net Profit: ₹20,865 Cr
  • EPS: ₹40.06
  • Dividend Payout: ~21%
  • Interest Income: ₹78,265 Cr
  • Other Income: ₹24,939 Cr

Q1FY26 expected to maintain ₹5,000 Cr+ profit unless NIM shock or treasury losses hit.


10. 🏦 Peer Comparison – Who Else in the Game?

BankP/EROEP/BYield
SBI9.3x17.2%1.48x1.97%
PNB6.9x15.2%0.95x2.63%
Canara5.8x17.8%0.96x3.6%
Union Bank6.1x17%0.96x3.3%
BoB5.9x15.5%0.84x3.52%

🧮 BoB is among the cheapest of the Big 5 PSUs. Higher dividend, similar ROE = value buyer’s pick.


11. 🧿 Miscellaneous – Shareholding, Promoters

StakeholderJun 2025
Govt (Promoter)63.97%
FIIs8.98%
DIIs17.97%
Public8.83%
Shareholders16.9 Lakh+

📉 FII stake fell from 12.4% to 8.9% over last 4 quarters
📈 Retail + DII have picked it up instead. PSU banks now in everyone’s long-only portfolios.


12. 🧠 EduInvesting Verdict™

🚩 Let’s not sugarcoat it: BoB is cheap for a reason — PSU baggage, volatility, regulatory risk.

But…

✅ 16% ROE
✅ ₹40 EPS
✅ 3.5% yield
✅ 0.84x Book

If BoB were a private bank, you’d be paying 2.5x P/B and calling it HDFC Lite.

So until the next PSU scandal or rate cycle dip, this one looks like a cash cow wrapped in undervaluation.

🎯 Fair Value Range: ₹280–₹310


✍️ Written by Prashant | 📅 11 July 2025
Tags: Bank of Baroda, PSU Banks, Dividend Yield, BoB World, Public Sector Stocks, NPA Reduction, EduInvesting, Banking Sector, SBI Peers, Value Stocks India

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