🧾 At a Glance
Newgen Software, India’s low-key enterprise automation hero, has done what most flashy SaaS stocks dream of — 34% profit CAGR, 73% stock CAGR, and zero hype on Twitter. From digitizing banks to enabling government e-docs, this silent SaaS engine is quietly minting money… all while you were busy watching Zomato crash and bounce.
🚀 1. TL;DR — Newgen’s 5-Year Scorecard
Metric | FY20 | FY25 | Change |
---|---|---|---|
Revenue (₹ Cr) | 661 | 1,487 | 🔼 +125% |
Net Profit (₹ Cr) | 73 | 315 | 🔼 +331% |
OPM % | 16% | 25% | ✅ Expansion |
ROCE | 17% | 29% | 🔥 |
Stock Price (₹) | ~140 | ₹1,153 | 🚀 8x |
5-Year Price CAGR | — | — | 🧨 ~73% |
This isn’t a startup. This is a 30-year-old Delhi-based compounder pretending to be a GenZ SaaS poster boy. And it’s working.
🧩 2. What Exactly Does Newgen Do?
- Enterprise software for:
- 🏦 Banks (Loan origination, digital onboarding)
- 🏢 Governments (Document workflow, file tracking)
- 🛡️ Insurance (Claims automation)
- 🏥 Healthcare (Document management, billing)
- Revenue Segments:
- 💸 SaaS + AMC + ATS (recurring): ~60%
- 🧾 License sales (on-premise): ~20%
- 🔧 Services & implementation: ~20%
Think of it as India’s Adobe + Salesforce… but bootstrapped and profitable.
💹 3. Financial Performance — Compounding Is the Real UI/UX
🧾 Revenue:
- Grew from ₹661 Cr in FY20 → ₹1,487 Cr in FY25
- 5-Year CAGR = +18%
- Q4 FY25 alone was ₹430 Cr — highest ever
💰 Profit:
- 5-Year PAT CAGR = 34%
- FY25 PAT = ₹315 Cr
- Net margins expanded to 21% — high for an Indian SaaS business
🧪 Operating Metrics:
- OPM = 25% (up from 16%)
- ROCE = 29%
- ROE = 23%
These aren’t “work in progress” SaaS numbers. These are champagne-popping-at-the-concall numbers.
💸 4. Cash Flows — Healthy and Clean
Year | CFO (₹ Cr) | CFI (₹ Cr) | FCF Positive? |
---|---|---|---|
FY23 | ₹136 Cr | ₹-88 Cr | ✅ |
FY24 | ₹281 Cr | ₹-217 Cr | ✅ |
FY25 | ₹215 Cr | ₹-172 Cr | ✅ |
No burn. No dilution. No begging VCs on Zoom.
🧠 5. What’s Working?
✅ High-Margin Recurring Revenue:
- 60%+ annuity-based revenue ensures visibility
- SaaS adoption rising among BFSI + govt clients
✅ Geographic Moat:
- 17 verticals, 70+ countries
- Strong presence in Middle East, APAC, and U.S.
✅ FII Inflows Up:
- FII stake rose from 14.75% → 19.36% in 3 years
- Even DIIs are slowly waking up
✅ No Debt. No Drama.
- Zero debt. ₹508 Cr in investments = safety net
✅ Dividend Paying:
- Payout of 22% in FY25
- Not huge, but shows steady shareholder return mindset
😬 6. What’s NOT Working?
❌ Valuation Getting Frothy:
- P/E = 52x
- P/B = 10.8x
- You’re not buying cheap workflow — you’re paying for future scalability
❌ Working Capital Bloat:
- WC days shot up from 58 → 200 in FY25
- Translation: Clients are slow to pay up
❌ Promoter Stake Dip:
- Dropped from 55.16% → 53.78%
- Nothing alarming… but not ideal when stock is booming
❌ Low Liquidity:
- Despite 16,000 Cr mcap, low retail float = high volatility on bad days
🧠 7. Peer Comparison — Underdog vs the Big Boys
Metric | Newgen | Persistent | LTIMindtree | TCS |
---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue (FY25) | ₹1,487 Cr | ₹12,000 Cr est. | ₹39,000 Cr est. | ₹2.6L Cr |
PAT Margin | 21% | 12% | 10% | 19% |
ROCE | 29% | 31% | 27% | 64% |
P/E | 52x | 68x | 34x | 25x |
5Y CAGR (Price) | 73% | ~40% | ~20% | ~12% |
Verdict: Newgen = better margins, faster growth — but nowhere near the scale. Yet.
🧮 8. Fair Value Range – Can This Rally Sustain?
⚙️ Base Case
- FY26E PAT: ₹380 Cr
- P/E of 40x (discounted for small size)
- FV = ₹15,200 Cr → ₹1,075/share
🚀 Bull Case
- FY26E PAT: ₹420 Cr
- P/E = 50x (if growth holds + SaaS rerating)
- FV = ₹21,000 Cr → ₹1,485/share
🎯 EduInvesting Fair Value Range: ₹1,075 – ₹1,485
At CMP ₹1,153 — you’re somewhere in between. Decent entry if you like software with substance.
🧠 Bonus Meme
Investor 1: “Bro, I use Salesforce.”
Investor 2: “Bro, I own Newgen.”
HR Dept: “Let’s automate onboarding.”
Newgen: “Thanks. That’ll be $2 million.”
🔭 9. What to Watch Ahead
- 🧾 US Gov + BFSI deals: Company recently won a $2.5M order for a U.S. government agency
- 💻 Cloud-first Push: Migration to SaaS model continues — could boost margins
- 👀 New Verticals: Healthcare + logistics being explored
- 📉 Valuation Monitoring: Any earnings miss could trigger derating
🏁 Final Thoughts: “Newgen — Workflow Software That’s Working… Everywhere”
It’s rare to find an IT company that:
- ✅ Isn’t dependent on headcount
- ✅ Doesn’t dilute every 2 years
- ✅ Grows faster than most Tier-1 peers
- ✅ And still makes 20%+ net margin
No wonder FIIs are bingeing on it like it’s Money Heist Season 1.
✍️ Written by Prashant | 📅 June 21, 2025
Tags: Newgen Software, SaaS India, enterprise tech, workflow automation, 5-year stock recap, high ROCE stocks, EduInvesting